AC Milan vs Juventus
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Milan1
Juventus1Full timeAllianz StadiumBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Sunday, September 6, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 1–1
Proj1.1–1.0
JuventusHOME✗35%1.1proj+183fair+133mkt-7.6%Draw32%—proj+209fair+225mkt+1.6%
AC MilanAWAY32%1.0proj+209fair+280mktModel lean+6.0%O2.5 36% · mkt 43% ✓BTTS 44% · mkt 52% ✗
Paramount+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Serie A tablePlayer props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Kenan Yildiz1+ Goals21%––DNPChristian Pulisic1+ Goals20%26%+300DNPAdrien Rabiot1+ Goals20%17%+600✗ 0Alexis Saelemaekers1+ Goals18%13%+700✗ 0Teun Koopmeiners1+ Goals16%13%+850✗ 0Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Kenan Yildiz1+ Shots89%––DNPFrancisco Conceição1+ Shots89%97%-3000✓ 3Randal Kolo Muani1+ Shots88%96%-2500✓ 1Alexis Saelemaekers1+ Shots86%76%-310✗ 0Dusan Vlahovic1+ Shots83%––DNPShots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Kenan Yildiz1+ Shots on Target57%––DNPRandal Kolo Muani1+ Shots on Target51%71%-250✗ 0Francisco Conceição1+ Shots on Target48%66%-190✓ 2Alexis Saelemaekers1+ Shots on Target46%39%+155✗ 0Dusan Vlahovic1+ Shots on Target42%––DNPAssists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Alexis SaelemaekersO0.519%19%+420✗ 0Adrien RabiotO0.517%10%+900✗ 0Francisco ConceiçãoO0.512%22%+360✗ 0Manuel LocatelliO0.512%14%+600✗ 0Kenan YildizO0.512%––DNPScore or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Adrien Rabiot34%––✗ 0Alexis Saelemaekers34%––✗ 0Kenan Yildiz30%––DNPChristian Pulisic27%––DNPDusan Vlahovic24%––DNPOur number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsJuventus lead 1-02 draws3–1 on goals