Lazio vs Udinese
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Lazio2
Udinese1Full timeStadio FriuliBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Monday, September 7, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 1–2
Proj0.9–1.3
UdineseHOME25%0.9proj+306fair+186mkt-10.3%Draw31%—proj+225fair+218mkt-0.7%
LazioAWAY45%1.3proj+124fair+192mktModel lean+10.3%O2.5 38% · mkt 43%BTTS 45% · mkt 53%
Paramount+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Serie A tablePlayer props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Matteo Cancellieri1+ Goals17%26%+3600Valentín Castellanos1+ Goals17%––Keinan Davis1+ Goals15%31%+2450Jakub Piotrowski1+ Goals15%14%+7500Jurgen Ekkelenkamp1+ Goals13%19%+4500Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Matteo Cancellieri1+ Shots85%95%-20002Valentín Castellanos1+ Shots85%––Mattia Zaccagni1+ Shots84%89%-8004Nicolò Zaniolo1+ Shots81%––Keinan Davis1+ Shots81%96%-25003Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Matteo Cancellieri1+ Shots on Target51%62%-1651Valentín Castellanos1+ Shots on Target50%––Keinan Davis1+ Shots on Target43%69%-2202Mattia Zaccagni1+ Shots on Target38%55%-1202Matteo Guendouzi1+ Shots on Target37%––
Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Boulaye DiaO0.515%––
Danilo CataldiO0.511%––Toma BasicO0.510%––
Jurgen EkkelenkampO0.510%15%+5500Nuno TavaresO0.510%14%+6000Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Valentín Castellanos24%––Matteo Cancellieri22%––0Jurgen Ekkelenkamp22%––0Keinan Davis21%––1Jakub Piotrowski20%––0Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsLazio lead 1-02 draws4–3 on goals