MatchWiz

Cagliari vs Atalanta

Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.

CAGCagliariATAAtalanta2:45 PM ETNew Balance Arena📺 Paramount+

Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.

What the model says

Saturday, September 12, 2026
MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge
2:45 PM ET
Proj1.30.8
ATAAtalantaHOME46%1.3proj+119fair-144mkt-13.4%
Draw32%proj+215fair+322mktModel lean+8.1%
CAGCagliariAWAY23%0.8proj+343fair+480mktModel lean+5.3%
O2.5 34% · mkt 50%BTTS 41% · mkt 51%
Paramount+

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.

Going in

Serie A table
Away
CAGCagliari9th6 pts2-0-1WWWLW
Home
ATAAtalanta8th6 pts2-0-1LDWWL

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Giacomo Raspadori1+ Goals27%36%+185
Gianluca Scamacca1+ Goals22%41%+145
Nikola Krstovic1+ Goals18%43%+145
Daniel Maldini1+ Goals15%19%+440
Éderson1+ Goals14%13%+900
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Giacomo Raspadori1+ Shots92%98%-5000
Gianluca Scamacca1+ Shots81%99%-10000
Paul Mendy1+ Shots80%91%-1000
Daniel Maldini1+ Shots75%89%-800
Giacomo Raspadori2+ Shots73%87%-650

Shots on Target

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Giacomo Raspadori1+ Shots on Target58%71%-250
Gianluca Scamacca1+ Shots on Target51%81%-425
Nikola Krstovic1+ Shots on Target49%83%-475
Éderson1+ Shots on Target42%47%+115
Paul Mendy1+ Shots on Target39%56%-125
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Nicola ZalewskiO0.512%30%+230
Lorenzo BernasconiO0.510%21%+380
Charles De KetelaereO0.59%20%+410
Giacomo RaspadoriO0.58%25%+300
Eljif ElmasO0.58%26%+280

The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Head to head

Last 3 meetings
Level at 1 apiece1 draw44 on goals