AS Monaco vs Paris Saint-Germain
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Monaco2
PSG1Full timeParc des PrincesBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Friday, September 4, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 1–2
Proj1.7–1.1
Paris Saint-GermainHOME✗51%1.7proj-105fair-245mkt-19.8%Draw26%—proj+283fair+512mktModel lean+9.8%
AS MonacoAWAY23%1.1proj+341fair+686mktModel lean+9.9%O2.5 53% ✓BTTS 55% · mkt 61% ✓
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Ligue 1 tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Folarin Balogun1+ Goals21%29%+260DNPDésiré Doué1+ Goals18%48%+110✗ 0Bradley Barcola1+ Goals18%––DNP
João Neves1+ Goals17%22%+400✗ 0Khvicha Kvaratskhelia1+ Goals16%53%+105✗ 0Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Désiré Doué1+ Shots86%99%-10000✓ 3João Neves1+ Shots83%88%-700✓ 2Folarin Balogun1+ Shots83%91%-1000DNPVitinha1+ Shots79%––✓ 3Khvicha Kvaratskhelia1+ Shots78%99%-10000✓ 3Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Folarin Balogun1+ Shots on Target51%63%-170DNPDésiré Doué1+ Shots on Target48%75%-300✓ 2Bradley Barcola1+ Shots on Target47%––DNP
João Neves1+ Shots on Target44%55%-120✗ 0Khvicha Kvaratskhelia1+ Shots on Target42%87%-650✓ 2Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
VitinhaO0.522%––✗ 0Aleksandr GolovinO0.517%18%+470✓ 1Eric DierO0.515%4%+2700✗ 0João NevesO0.513%30%+230✗ 0Fabián RuizO0.513%34%+195✗ 0Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Vitinha32%––✗ 0Eric Dier29%––✗ 0João Neves27%––✗ 0Folarin Balogun27%––DNPBradley Barcola25%––DNP
Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsAS Monaco lead 2-14–5 on goals