Paris FC vs Marseille
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Paris FC3
Marseille2Full timeStade VélodromeBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Sunday, September 6, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 2–3
Proj1.7–1.0
MarseilleHOME✗54%1.7proj-116fair+102mktModel lean+4.2%Draw26%—proj+282fair+294mkt+0.8%
Paris FCAWAY20%1.0proj+399fair+305mkt-4.7%O2.5 50% · mkt 56% ✗BTTS 52% · mkt 59% ✓
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Ligue 1 tablePlayer props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Amine Gouiri1+ Goals37%39%+155✓ 2Mason Greenwood1+ Goals33%––DNP
Igor Paixão1+ Goals26%31%+245✗ 0Timothy Weah1+ Goals21%16%+600✗ 0Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang1+ Goals20%––DNP
Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Igor Paixão1+ Shots92%94%-1500✓ 1Amine Gouiri1+ Shots92%99%-7000✓ 5Mason Greenwood1+ Shots90%––DNP
Timothy Weah1+ Shots87%80%-400✓ 1Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang1+ Shots79%––DNP
Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Amine Gouiri1+ Shots on Target66%85%-550✓ 3Igor Paixão1+ Shots on Target65%––✗ 0Mason Greenwood1+ Shots on Target61%––DNP
Timothy Weah1+ Shots on Target52%36%+175✓ 1Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang1+ Shots on Target48%––DNP
Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Pierre-Emerick AubameyangO0.520%––DNP
Ilan KebbalO0.518%27%+270✗ 0Angel GomesO0.515%19%+440✗ 0Mason GreenwoodO0.514%––DNP
Benjamin PavardO0.513%––DNP
Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Mason Greenwood43%––DNP
Amine Gouiri43%––✓ 2Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang36%––DNP
Igor Paixão33%––✗ 0Timothy Weah29%––✗ 0Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 2 meetingsLevel at 1 apiece5–7 on goals