AJ Auxerre vs Lyon
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Auxerre1
Lyon3Full timeGroupama StadiumBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Friday, September 4, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 3–1
Proj2.3–1.0
LyonHOME✓65%2.3proj-186fair-169mkt+2.2%Draw20%—proj+389fair+362mkt-1.2%
AJ AuxerreAWAY15%1.0proj+588fair+537mkt-1.2%O2.5 64% · mkt 56% ✓BTTS 58% · mkt 52% ✓
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Ligue 1 tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Alexandre Lacazette1+ Goals40%––DNPLassine Sinayoko1+ Goals31%––DNP
Ernest Nuamah1+ Goals28%30%+240✓ 1Danny Namaso1+ Goals28%22%+390✗ 0Gaetan Perrin1+ Goals24%––DNP
Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Alexandre Lacazette1+ Shots95%––DNPLassine Sinayoko1+ Shots92%––DNP
Ernest Nuamah1+ Shots92%96%-2500✓ 4Danny Namaso1+ Shots90%85%-550✓ 2Corentin Tolisso1+ Shots90%98%-4000✓ 1Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Alexandre Lacazette1+ Shots on Target71%––DNPDanny Namaso1+ Shots on Target60%––✓ 1Lassine Sinayoko1+ Shots on Target60%––DNP
Ernest Nuamah1+ Shots on Target59%74%-290✓ 1Corentin Tolisso1+ Shots on Target59%76%-310✓ 1Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Corentin TolissoO0.523%20%+400✗ 0Afonso MoreiraO0.523%––DNP
Rayan CherkiO0.518%––DNP
Thiago AlmadaO0.516%––DNPPavel SulcO0.515%36%+175✓ 1Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Alexandre Lacazette47%––DNPAfonso Moreira40%––DNP
Lassine Sinayoko38%––DNP
Ernest Nuamah36%––✓ 2Rayan Cherki35%––DNP
Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsLyon lead 2-01 draw6–2 on goals