Arsenal vs Sunderland
Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.
Arsenal–
Sunderland–3:00 PM ETStadium of Light📺 USA Net · TeleLineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.
What the model says
Saturday, September 12, 2026MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge
3:00 PM ET
Proj0.8–1.5
SunderlandHOME20%0.8proj+400fair+633mktModel lean+6.3%Draw29%—proj+246fair+350mktModel lean+6.7%
ArsenalAWAY51%1.5proj-104fair-179mkt-13.0%O2.5 41% · mkt 47%BTTS 45% · mkt 43%
USA Net · Tele
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.
Going in
Premier League tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Bukayo Saka1+ Goals36%31%+280Kai Havertz1+ Goals35%38%+175Christos Tzolis1+ Goals18%31%+260Eberechi Eze1+ Goals13%27%+310Declan Rice1+ Goals11%14%+700Shots
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Bukayo Saka1+ Shots96%98%-4000Kai Havertz1+ Shots90%98%-4000Christos Tzolis1+ Shots86%97%-3000Bukayo Saka2+ Shots83%86%-600Declan Rice1+ Shots74%79%-370Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Bukayo Saka1+ Shots on Target71%71%-250Kai Havertz1+ Shots on Target60%72%-260Christos Tzolis1+ Shots on Target55%71%-240Bukayo Saka2+ Shots on Target36%34%+195Brian Brobbey1+ Shots on Target31%53%-115Assists
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Christos TzolisO0.520%29%+240Declan RiceO0.518%26%+290Bukayo SakaO0.518%29%+240Kai HavertzO0.517%20%+390Riccardo CalafioriO0.517%13%+650The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 2 meetingsArsenal lead 1-01 draw5–2 on goals