MatchWiz

Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur

Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.

AVLAston VillaTOTSpurs7:30 AM ETTottenham Hotspur Stadium

Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.

What the model says

Saturday, September 19, 2026
MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge
7:30 AM ET
Proj1.11.3
TOTTottenham HotspurHOME31%1.1proj+224fair+112mkt-16.3%
Draw30%proj+235fair+283mkt+3.7%
AVLAston VillaAWAY39%1.3proj+155fair+274mktModel lean+12.5%
O2.5 44% · mkt 55%BTTS 51%

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.

Going in

Premier League table
Away
AVLAston Villa19th1 pts0-1-3WLLDL
Home
TOTTottenham Hotspur17th2 pts0-2-2WLLDD

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

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PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Ollie Watkins1+ Goals48%
Richarlison1+ Goals20%
Omar Marmoush1+ Goals17%
Nicolas Jackson1+ Goals16%
João Palhinha1+ Goals14%
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Ollie Watkins1+ Shots94%
Omar Marmoush1+ Shots86%
Emiliano Buendía1+ Shots84%
Sávio1+ Shots83%
Richarlison1+ Shots81%

Shots on Target

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PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Ollie Watkins1+ Shots on Target74%
Richarlison1+ Shots on Target49%
Sávio1+ Shots on Target46%
Omar Marmoush1+ Shots on Target43%
Nicolas Jackson1+ Shots on Target39%
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
John McGinnO0.519%
Lucas DigneO0.517%
Ollie WatkinsO0.514%
Boubacar KamaraO0.59%
Ross BarkleyO0.58%

Score or Assist

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Ollie Watkins55%
John McGinn30%
Richarlison27%
Omar Marmoush24%
Nicolas Jackson22%

The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Head to head

Last 3 meetings
Aston Villa lead 2-153 on goals