Sunderland vs Manchester City
Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.
Sunderland–
Man City–9:00 AM ETEtihad StadiumLineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.
What the model says
Sunday, September 20, 2026MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge
9:00 AM ET
Proj2.0–0.8
Manchester CityHOME65%2.0proj-185fair-298mkt-9.9%Draw22%—proj+349fair+524mktModel lean+6.2%
SunderlandAWAY13%0.8proj+682fair+1000mkt+3.7%O2.5 53%BTTS 48%
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.
Going in
Premier League tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Erling Haaland1+ Goals57%––Antoine Semenyo1+ Goals35%––Jérémy Doku1+ Goals31%––Enzo Fernández1+ Goals24%––Erling Haaland2+ Goals21%––Shots
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Erling Haaland1+ Shots98%––Antoine Semenyo1+ Shots93%––Erling Haaland2+ Shots92%––Jérémy Doku1+ Shots91%––Enzo Fernández1+ Shots89%––Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Erling Haaland1+ Shots on Target85%––Antoine Semenyo1+ Shots on Target67%––Iliman Ndiaye1+ Shots on Target62%––Jérémy Doku1+ Shots on Target57%––Erling Haaland2+ Shots on Target57%––Assists
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Phil FodenO0.532%––Antoine SemenyoO0.521%––Rayan CherkiO0.521%––Erling HaalandO0.520%––Matheus NunesO0.517%––Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Erling Haaland66%––Antoine Semenyo49%––Phil Foden44%––Jérémy Doku42%––Enzo Fernández36%––The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 2 meetingsManchester City lead 1-01 draw3–0 on goals