Crystal Palace vs Leeds United
Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.
C Palace–
Leeds–9:00 AM ETElland RoadLineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.
What the model says
Sunday, September 20, 2026MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge
9:00 AM ET
Proj1.8–1.0
Leeds UnitedHOME54%1.8proj-117fair+112mktModel lean+6.9%Draw26%—proj+291fair+273mkt-1.2%
Crystal PalaceAWAY20%1.0proj+389fair+284mkt-5.6%O2.5 53% · mkt 51%BTTS 54%
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.
Going in
Premier League tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Dominic Calvert-Lewin1+ Goals37%––
Noah Okafor1+ Goals26%––
Anton Stach1+ Goals21%––
Jørgen Strand Larsen1+ Goals13%––
Ismaïla Sarr1+ Goals13%––Shots
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Dominic Calvert-Lewin1+ Shots92%––
Anton Stach1+ Shots86%––
Noah Okafor1+ Shots81%––
Eddie Nketiah1+ Shots74%––
Dominic Calvert-Lewin2+ Shots72%––Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Dominic Calvert-Lewin1+ Shots on Target68%––
Noah Okafor1+ Shots on Target47%––
Anton Stach1+ Shots on Target44%––
Eddie Nketiah1+ Shots on Target42%––
Jørgen Strand Larsen1+ Shots on Target37%––Assists
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Daichi KamadaO0.518%––
Ao TanakaO0.513%––
Brenden AaronsonO0.511%––
Eddie NketiahO0.510%––
Adam WhartonO0.510%––Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Dominic Calvert-Lewin40%––
Noah Okafor32%––
Anton Stach28%––
Daichi Kamada21%––
Ao Tanaka21%––The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 2 meetingsLeeds United lead 1-01 draw4–1 on goals