Chelsea vs Brentford
Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.
Chelsea–
Brentford–3:00 PM ETGtech Community StadiumLineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.
What the model says
Friday, September 18, 2026MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge
3:00 PM ET
Proj2.0–1.5
BrentfordHOME47%2.0proj+113fair+203mktModel lean+14.0%Draw24%—proj+324fair+298mkt-1.6%
ChelseaAWAY29%1.5proj+239fair+138mkt-12.5%O2.5 68%BTTS 69%
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.
Going in
Premier League tablePlayer props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
João Pedro1+ Goals46%––Igor Thiago1+ Goals37%––Kevin Schade1+ Goals35%––Cole Palmer1+ Goals34%––Morgan Rogers1+ Goals34%––Shots
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Cole Palmer1+ Shots95%––João Pedro1+ Shots95%––Igor Thiago1+ Shots94%––Morgan Rogers1+ Shots92%––Kevin Schade1+ Shots89%––Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Igor Thiago1+ Shots on Target68%––Cole Palmer1+ Shots on Target67%––João Pedro1+ Shots on Target65%––Kevin Schade1+ Shots on Target60%––Morgan Rogers1+ Shots on Target60%––Assists
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
João PedroO0.528%––Mamadou SangareO0.521%––Cole PalmerO0.520%––Morgan RogersO0.520%––Keane Lewis-PotterO0.519%––Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
João Pedro61%––Cole Palmer48%––Morgan Rogers47%––Kevin Schade41%––Igor Thiago41%––The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsChelsea lead 1-02 draws4–2 on goals