MatchWiz

Liverpool vs AFC Bournemouth

Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.

LIVLiverpoolBOUBournemouth9:00 AM ETVitality Stadium

Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.

What the model says

Sunday, September 20, 2026
MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge
9:00 AM ET
Proj1.61.4
BOUAFC BournemouthHOME43%1.6proj+134fair+228mktModel lean+12.3%
Draw26%proj+282fair+310mkt+1.8%
LIVLiverpoolAWAY31%1.4proj+222fair+122mkt-14.1%
O2.5 58%BTTS 61%

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.

Going in

Premier League table
Away
LIVLiverpool6th6 pts1-3-0DDDWD
Home
BOUAFC Bournemouth15th3 pts0-3-1DLDDD

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

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PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Alexander Isak1+ Goals42%
Junior Kroupi1+ Goals34%
Hugo Ekitike1+ Goals30%
Marcus Tavernier1+ Goals29%
Cody Gakpo1+ Goals24%
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Cody Gakpo1+ Shots94%
Alexander Isak1+ Shots93%
Rayan1+ Shots93%
Hugo Ekitike1+ Shots91%
Marcus Tavernier1+ Shots91%

Shots on Target

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PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Alexander Isak1+ Shots on Target69%
Marcus Tavernier1+ Shots on Target64%
Justin Kluivert1+ Shots on Target59%
Rayan1+ Shots on Target57%
Junior Kroupi1+ Shots on Target56%
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Cody GakpoO0.527%
Mohamed SalahO0.522%
EvanilsonO0.519%
Dominik SzoboszlaiO0.519%
Florian WirtzO0.516%

Score or Assist

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Alexander Isak46%
Cody Gakpo45%
Hugo Ekitike40%
Mohamed Salah39%
Junior Kroupi37%

The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Head to head

Last 3 meetings
Liverpool lead 2-185 on goals