Manchester City vs Manchester United
Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.
Man City–
Man United–11:30 AM ETOld Trafford📺 Peacock · TeleLineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.
What the model says
Sunday, September 13, 2026MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge
11:30 AM ET
Proj1.7–1.8
Manchester UnitedHOME34%1.7proj+190fair+229mktModel lean+4.1%Draw24%—proj+314fair+303mkt-0.7%
Manchester CityAWAY41%1.8proj+141fair+123mkt-3.4%O2.5 68%BTTS 69%
Peacock · Tele
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.
Going in
Premier League tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Erling Haaland1+ Goals62%––Antoine Semenyo1+ Goals38%––Bryan Mbeumo1+ Goals36%––Jérémy Doku1+ Goals34%––Bruno Fernandes1+ Goals31%––Shots
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Erling Haaland1+ Shots99%––Antoine Semenyo1+ Shots94%––Erling Haaland2+ Shots94%––Bryan Mbeumo1+ Shots94%––Bruno Fernandes1+ Shots93%––Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Erling Haaland1+ Shots on Target88%––Antoine Semenyo1+ Shots on Target70%––Iliman Ndiaye1+ Shots on Target65%––Bryan Mbeumo1+ Shots on Target64%––Erling Haaland2+ Shots on Target62%––Assists
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Bruno FernandesO0.539%––Phil FodenO0.536%––Antoine SemenyoO0.524%––Rayan CherkiO0.523%––Erling HaalandO0.522%––Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Erling Haaland70%––Bruno Fernandes58%––Antoine Semenyo53%––Phil Foden49%––Jérémy Doku46%––The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsLevel at 1 apiece1 draw3–2 on goals