Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa
Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.
Nottm Forest–
Aston Villa–10:00 AM ETVilla Park📺 PeacockLineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.
What the model says
Saturday, September 12, 2026MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge
10:00 AM ET
Proj1.5–1.2
Aston VillaHOME41%1.5proj+141fair+136mkt-0.8%Draw28%—proj+257fair+261mkt+0.3%
Nottingham ForestAWAY31%1.2proj+228fair+236mkt+0.8%O2.5 51% · mkt 49%BTTS 56% · mkt 54%
Peacock
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.
Going in
Premier League tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Morgan Gibbs-White1+ Goals32%28%+270Igor Jesus1+ Goals22%27%+300Nicolas Jackson1+ Goals17%32%+250Dan Ndoye1+ Goals16%17%+650John McGinn1+ Goals14%19%+500Shots
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Igor Jesus1+ Shots92%95%-2000Morgan Gibbs-White1+ Shots88%91%-1000Nicolas Jackson1+ Shots85%97%-3000Emiliano Buendía1+ Shots84%95%-2000Ross Barkley1+ Shots76%91%-1000Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Igor Jesus1+ Shots on Target59%65%-185Morgan Gibbs-White1+ Shots on Target55%64%-175Nicolas Jackson1+ Shots on Target44%71%-250Emiliano Buendía1+ Shots on Target35%61%-155Dan Ndoye1+ Shots on Target34%49%+105Assists
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Morgan Gibbs-WhiteO0.516%25%+300John McGinnO0.513%19%+420Igor JesusO0.512%19%+420James McAteeO0.510%15%+550Boubacar KamaraO0.59%14%+600The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsAston Villa lead 2-01 draw6–3 on goals