Manchester United vs Everton
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Man United2
Everton2Full timeHill Dickinson StadiumBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Sunday, September 6, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 2–2
Proj1.8–1.2
EvertonHOME✗50%1.8proj-100fair+241mktModel lean+20.7%Draw26%—proj+289fair+282mkt-0.5%
Manchester UnitedAWAY24%1.2proj+312fair+124mkt-20.5%O2.5 56% · mkt 56% ✓BTTS 58% · mkt 61% ✓
USA Net · Tele
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Premier League tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Bruno Fernandes1+ Goals34%30%+280✗ 0Bryan Mbeumo1+ Goals28%32%+260✓ 1Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall1+ Goals23%22%+425✗ 0Thierno Barry1+ Goals23%29%+310✗ 0Amad Diallo1+ Goals23%24%+320DNPShots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Bryan Mbeumo1+ Shots94%96%-2500✓ 2Matheus Cunha1+ Shots93%98%-4000✓ 2Bruno Fernandes1+ Shots91%96%-2500✓ 4Amad Diallo1+ Shots89%94%-1500DNPIliman Ndiaye1+ Shots87%––DNP
Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Bryan Mbeumo1+ Shots on Target65%68%-210✓ 1Matheus Cunha1+ Shots on Target64%71%-250✗ 0Iliman Ndiaye1+ Shots on Target59%––DNP
Bruno Fernandes1+ Shots on Target55%64%-180✗ 0Amad Diallo1+ Shots on Target54%59%-145DNPAssists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Bruno FernandesO0.525%41%+145✗ 0Harrison ArmstrongO0.520%15%+550✗ 0Abdoulaye DoucouréO0.519%––DNPIliman NdiayeO0.518%––DNP
Matheus CunhaO0.517%19%+440✗ 0Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Bruno Fernandes50%––✗ 0Bryan Mbeumo34%––✓ 1Matheus Cunha34%––✗ 0Amad Diallo33%––DNPAbdoulaye Doucouré33%––DNPOur number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsEverton lead 1-02 draws5–4 on goals