Chelsea vs Arsenal
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Chelsea1
Arsenal2Full timeEmirates StadiumBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Sunday, September 6, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 2–1
Proj2.2–1.0
ArsenalHOME✓64%2.2proj-174fair-123mktModel lean+8.3%Draw21%—proj+377fair+302mkt-4.0%
ChelseaAWAY16%1.0proj+544fair+402mkt-4.4%O2.5 64% · mkt 53% ✓BTTS 59% · mkt 53% ✓
USA Net · Tele
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Premier League tablePlayer props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Leandro Trossard1+ Goals44%––DNPBukayo Saka1+ Goals42%30%+280✗ 0Kai Havertz1+ Goals35%36%+195✓ 1João Pedro1+ Goals31%28%+280✗ 0Martin Ødegaard1+ Goals25%––✓ 1Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Bukayo Saka1+ Shots96%96%-2500✓ 4Leandro Trossard1+ Shots93%––DNPKai Havertz1+ Shots91%96%-2500✓ 3João Pedro1+ Shots91%93%-1250✓ 1Viktor Gyökeres1+ Shots88%95%-2000✗ 0Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Bukayo Saka1+ Shots on Target70%71%-240✓ 3Kai Havertz1+ Shots on Target65%71%-240✓ 2Leandro Trossard1+ Shots on Target61%––DNPJoão Pedro1+ Shots on Target58%59%-145✗ 0Viktor Gyökeres1+ Shots on Target52%71%-240✗ 0Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Riccardo CalafioriO0.529%13%+700✗ 0Leandro TrossardO0.529%––DNPJoão PedroO0.522%13%+650✗ 0Ben WhiteO0.521%18%+470✗ 0Martin ØdegaardO0.517%––✗ 0Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Leandro Trossard60%––DNPBukayo Saka51%––✗ 0João Pedro46%––✗ 0Kai Havertz43%––✓ 1Martin Ødegaard38%––✓ 1Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsArsenal lead 2-01 draw4–2 on goals