Manchester City vs Crystal Palace
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Man City4
C Palace1Full timeSelhurst ParkBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Friday, August 28, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 1–4
Proj1.3–1.4
Crystal PalaceHOME34%1.3proj+198fair+431mktModel lean+14.7%Draw28%—proj+258fair+334mktModel lean+4.9%
Manchester CityAWAY✓39%1.4proj+160fair-139mkt-19.6%O2.5 52% · mkt 57% ✓BTTS 57% · mkt 56% ✓
USA Net
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Premier League tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Erling Haaland1+ Goals42%56%-110✓ 2Phil Foden1+ Goals29%25%+320✗ 0Jérémy Doku1+ Goals22%26%+285DNPJosko Gvardiol1+ Goals21%11%+1200✗ 0Ismaïla Sarr1+ Goals19%26%+333DNPShots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Erling Haaland1+ Shots96%––✓ 5Phil Foden1+ Shots90%95%-2000✓ 3Jérémy Doku1+ Shots87%––DNPErling Haaland2+ Shots84%98%-4000✓ 5Ismaïla Sarr1+ Shots82%––DNPShots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Erling Haaland1+ Shots on Target78%88%-700✓ 3Jérémy Doku1+ Shots on Target53%––DNPPhil Foden1+ Shots on Target48%67%-200✗ 0Ismaïla Sarr1+ Shots on Target45%––DNPErling Haaland2+ Shots on Target45%61%-155✓ 3Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Rayan CherkiO0.551%40%+150✗ 0Matheus NunesO0.520%23%+330DNPJérémy DokuO0.516%––DNPPhil FodenO0.515%26%+280✓ 2Erling HaalandO0.514%17%+490✗ 0Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Rayan Cherki59%––✓ 2Erling Haaland50%––✓ 2Phil Foden39%––✓ 2Jérémy Doku34%––DNPMatheus Nunes29%––DNPOur number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsManchester City lead 3-012–3 on goals