Villarreal vs Málaga
Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.
Villarreal–
Málaga–3:30 PM ETLa Rosaleda📺 ESPN Deportes · ESPN+Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.
What the model says
Thursday, September 17, 2026MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge
3:30 PM ET
Proj1.0–1.4
MálagaHOME25%1.0proj+305fair+265mkt-2.7%Draw30%—proj+237fair+300mktModel lean+4.7%
VillarrealAWAY46%1.4proj+119fair+110mkt-2.1%O2.5 42%BTTS 48%
ESPN Deportes · ESPN+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.
Going in
La Liga tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Georges Mikautadze1+ Goals39%––Nicolas Pépé1+ Goals37%––Ayoze Pérez1+ Goals25%––Pape Gueye1+ Goals21%––Carlos Romero1+ Goals20%––Shots
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Georges Mikautadze1+ Shots95%––Nicolas Pépé1+ Shots94%––Ayoze Pérez1+ Shots86%––Chupete1+ Shots84%––Carlos Romero1+ Shots82%––Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Georges Mikautadze1+ Shots on Target71%––Nicolas Pépé1+ Shots on Target71%––Ayoze Pérez1+ Shots on Target57%––Chupete1+ Shots on Target45%––Pape Gueye1+ Shots on Target44%––Assists
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Nicolas PépéO0.525%––Georges MikautadzeO0.521%––Ayoze PérezO0.519%––Alberto MoleiroO0.515%––Santi ComesañaO0.513%––Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Nicolas Pépé53%––Georges Mikautadze52%––Ayoze Pérez39%––Carlos Romero28%––Pape Gueye27%––The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).