Málaga vs Celta Vigo
Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.
Málaga–
Celta Vigo–8:00 AM ETBalaidos📺 ESPN+Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.
What the model says
Sunday, September 13, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
8:00 AM ET
Proj1.2–0.7
Celta VigoHOME47%1.2proj+114fair-120mkt-7.7%Draw34%—proj+197fair+288mktModel lean+7.9%
MálagaAWAY20%0.7proj+411fair+408mkt-0.1%O2.5 27% · mkt 46%BTTS 34%
ESPN+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.
Going in
La Liga tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Borja Iglesias1+ Goals19%––Chupete1+ Goals16%––Iago Aspas1+ Goals14%––Ferran Jutglà1+ Goals12%––David Larrubia1+ Goals11%––Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Chupete1+ Shots84%––David Larrubia1+ Shots82%––Borja Iglesias1+ Shots76%––Carlos Domínguez1+ Shots67%––Fernando López1+ Shots63%––Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Borja Iglesias1+ Shots on Target46%––Chupete1+ Shots on Target45%––David Larrubia1+ Shots on Target43%––Iago Aspas1+ Shots on Target34%––Carlos Domínguez1+ Shots on Target33%––Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Miguel RománO0.511%––Borja IglesiasO0.59%––Óscar MinguezaO0.57%––
Iago AspasO0.56%––Ferran JutglàO0.55%––Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Borja Iglesias26%––Chupete20%––Iago Aspas18%––Miguel Román16%––Ferran Jutglà16%––Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).