Real Madrid vs Real Betis
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Real Madrid0
Betis1Full timeEstadio La CartujaBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Friday, September 4, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 1–0
Proj1.4–1.9
Real BetisHOME28%1.4proj+255fair+520mktModel lean+12.0%Draw24%—proj+316fair+431mktModel lean+5.2%
Real MadridAWAY✗48%1.9proj+109fair-185mkt-17.1%O2.5 65% ✗BTTS 66% · mkt 64% ✗
ESPN Deportes · ESPN+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
La Liga tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Kylian Mbappé1+ Goals75%66%-190✗ 0Jude Bellingham1+ Goals43%29%+280✗ 0Kylian Mbappé2+ Goals40%––✗ 0Vinícius Júnior1+ Goals39%42%+150✗ 0Rodrygo1+ Goals27%––DNPShots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Kylian Mbappé1+ Shots100%––✓ 7Kylian Mbappé2+ Shots99%98%-4000✓ 7Vinícius Júnior1+ Shots98%99%-7000✓ 4Kylian Mbappé3+ Shots96%88%-750✓ 7Antony1+ Shots95%95%-2000✓ 4Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Kylian Mbappé1+ Shots on Target97%94%-1500✓ 4Kylian Mbappé2+ Shots on Target86%74%-280✓ 4Vinícius Júnior1+ Shots on Target76%82%-450✓ 1Jude Bellingham1+ Shots on Target74%71%-250✓ 1Antony1+ Shots on Target68%64%-175✓ 1Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Vinícius JúniorO0.543%36%+175✗ 0Jude BellinghamO0.542%36%+175✗ 0Arda GülerO0.530%36%+180✗ 0Federico ValverdeO0.530%25%+300✗ 0Trent Alexander-ArnoldO0.521%28%+260✗ 0Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Kylian Mbappé80%––✗ 0Jude Bellingham67%––✗ 0Vinícius Júnior66%––✗ 0Arda Güler49%––✗ 0Rodrygo38%––DNPOur number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 2 meetingsReal Betis lead 2-03–1 on goals