Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Alavés1
Rayo1Full timeEstadio Municipal de ButarqueBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Thursday, August 20, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 1–1
Proj1.2–1.0
Rayo VallecanoHOME✗40%1.2proj+151fair+149mkt-0.4%Draw32%—proj+215fair+219mkt+0.4%
AlavésAWAY28%1.0proj+251fair+260mkt+0.7%O2.5 37% · mkt 40% ✓BTTS 45% · mkt 48% ✗
ESPN Deportes · ESPN+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
La Liga tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lucas Boyé1+ Goals24%31%+260✗ 0Álvaro García1+ Goals15%22%+370✗ 0Jorge de Frutos1+ Goals14%32%+240✗ 0Abde Rebbach1+ Goals13%11%+1000✗ 0Toni Martínez1+ Goals13%––✗ 0Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lucas Boyé1+ Shots89%95%-2000✓ 2Toni Martínez1+ Shots79%––✓ 4Abde Rebbach1+ Shots77%90%-900✓ 1Antonio Blanco1+ Shots70%70%-230✗ 0Victor Parada1+ Shots70%––DNPShots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lucas Boyé1+ Shots on Target57%65%-185✗ 0Abde Rebbach1+ Shots on Target45%52%-110✗ 0Fran Pérez1+ Shots on Target40%57%-130✗ 0Jorge de Frutos1+ Shots on Target38%66%-190✗ 0Álvaro García1+ Shots on Target38%61%-155✗ 0Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Mariano DíazO0.59%13%+700✗ 0Antonio BlancoO0.59%11%+850✗ 0Victor ParadaO0.58%––DNPIsi PalazónO0.58%22%+360✗ 0Unai LópezO0.58%17%+480✗ 0Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lucas Boyé30%––✗ 0Álvaro García21%––✗ 0Toni Martínez18%––✗ 0Abde Rebbach18%––✗ 0Jorge de Frutos18%––✓ 1Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsRayo Vallecano lead 2-01 draw4–1 on goals