Athletic Club vs Barcelona
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Athletic0
Barcelona2Full timeSpotify Camp NouBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Thursday, August 27, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 2–0
Proj3.0–0.8
BarcelonaHOME✓81%3.0proj-429fair-362mkt+2.8%Draw13%—proj+682fair+639mkt-0.8%
Athletic ClubAWAY6%0.8proj+1536fair+1153mkt-1.9%O2.5 73% ✗BTTS 52% · mkt 53% ✗
ESPN2 · ESPN Deportes · ESPN+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
La Liga tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Raphinha1+ Goals68%––✓ 1
Lamine Yamal1+ Goals48%51%+105✗ 0
Robert Lewandowski1+ Goals47%––DNP
Fermín López1+ Goals46%37%+175✓ 1Ferran Torres1+ Goals40%––DNP
Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lamine Yamal1+ Shots99%99%-10000✓ 7
Raphinha1+ Shots98%––✓ 3
Robert Lewandowski1+ Shots95%––DNP
Lamine Yamal2+ Shots94%94%-1500✓ 7
Dani Olmo1+ Shots92%96%-2500✓ 1Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Raphinha1+ Shots on Target82%––✓ 1
Lamine Yamal1+ Shots on Target79%83%-500✓ 3
Robert Lewandowski1+ Shots on Target72%––DNP
Fermín López1+ Shots on Target61%74%-280✓ 3Ferran Torres1+ Shots on Target60%––DNP
Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
RaphinhaO0.539%––✗ 0
Lamine YamalO0.532%43%+130✗ 0
PedriO0.526%––✓ 1
Dani OlmoO0.522%31%+220✗ 0
Frenkie de JongO0.520%––DNPScore or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Raphinha80%––✓ 1
Lamine Yamal65%––✗ 0
Fermín López56%––✓ 1
Robert Lewandowski55%––DNPFerran Torres49%––DNP
Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsBarcelona lead 3-09–0 on goals