1. FC Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich
Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.
Union Berlin–
Bayern–2:30 PM ETAllianz ArenaLineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.
What the model says
Friday, September 18, 2026MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge
2:30 PM ET
Proj3.9–1.0
Bayern MunichHOME87%3.9proj-663fair-590mkt+1.4%Draw9%—proj+1070fair+1031mkt-0.3%
1. FC Union BerlinAWAY5%1.0proj+2093fair+1676mkt-1.1%O2.5 86%BTTS 61%
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.
Going in
Bundesliga tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Harry Kane1+ Goals81%––Luis Díaz1+ Goals62%––Nicolas Jackson1+ Goals57%––
Serge Gnabry1+ Goals52%––Harry Kane2+ Goals50%––Shots
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Harry Kane1+ Shots100%––Luis Díaz1+ Shots100%––Harry Kane2+ Shots98%––Serge Gnabry1+ Shots98%––Nicolas Jackson1+ Shots98%––
Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Harry Kane1+ Shots on Target94%––Luis Díaz1+ Shots on Target88%––Nicolas Jackson1+ Shots on Target83%––
Harry Kane2+ Shots on Target77%––Serge Gnabry1+ Shots on Target76%––Assists
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Joshua KimmichO0.551%––Luis DíazO0.550%––Konrad LaimerO0.544%––Michael OliseO0.536%––Serge GnabryO0.531%––Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Harry Kane86%––Luis Díaz81%––Serge Gnabry67%––Nicolas Jackson66%––
Michael Olise61%––The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsBayern Munich lead 1-02 draws7–3 on goals