FC Cologne vs VfB Stuttgart
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Cologne1
Stuttgart4Full timeMHPArenaBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Friday, September 4, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 4–1
Proj2.5–1.3
VfB StuttgartHOME✓61%2.5proj-159fair—mkt—Draw20%—proj+403fair—mkt—
FC CologneAWAY19%1.3proj+435fair—mkt—O2.5 73% ✓BTTS 68% ✓
Fandango
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Bundesliga tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Deniz Undav1+ Goals46%––✗ 0Ermedin Demirovic1+ Goals37%––✓ 1Jamie Leweling1+ Goals31%––✗ 0Tiago Tomás1+ Goals27%––DNPSaid El Mala1+ Goals22%––DNPShots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Deniz Undav1+ Shots97%––✓ 1Ermedin Demirovic1+ Shots95%––✓ 1Jamie Leweling1+ Shots93%––✗ 0Tiago Tomás1+ Shots90%––DNPDeniz Undav2+ Shots87%––✗ 1Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Deniz Undav1+ Shots on Target73%––✓ 1Jamie Leweling1+ Shots on Target62%––✗ 0Ermedin Demirovic1+ Shots on Target61%––✓ 1Tiago Tomás1+ Shots on Target58%––DNPJakub Kaminski1+ Shots on Target51%––DNPAssists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Jamie LewelingO0.522%––✗ 0Angelo StillerO0.519%––✗ 0Bilal El KhannoussO0.517%––✗ 0Maximilian MittelstädtO0.515%––✓ 1Deniz UndavO0.514%––✗ 0Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Deniz Undav54%––✗ 0Jamie Leweling46%––✗ 0Ermedin Demirovic45%––✓ 1Tiago Tomás35%––DNPEnzo Millot30%––DNPOur number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 2 meetingsVfB Stuttgart lead 2-06–2 on goals