Manchester City vs FC Porto
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Man City2
FC Porto0Full timeEstádio do DragãoBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Tuesday, September 8, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMkt
FT · 0–2
Proj1.8–1.4
FC PortoHOME46%1.8proj+116fair+454mktDraw25%—proj+300fair+320mkt
Manchester CityAWAY29%1.4proj+248fair-135mktO2.5 62% · mkt 54%BTTS 64% · mkt 55%
Paramount+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Champions League tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Erling Haaland1+ Goals37%52%-1052Jérémy Doku1+ Goals26%––Enzo Fernández1+ Goals19%––0Rayan Cherki1+ Goals19%23%+3600Phil Foden1+ Goals12%25%+3100Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Erling Haaland1+ Shots93%99%-100006Jérémy Doku1+ Shots89%––Enzo Fernández1+ Shots78%––2Rayan Cherki1+ Shots78%95%-20001Erling Haaland2+ Shots75%93%-12506Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Erling Haaland1+ Shots on Target73%86%-6004Jérémy Doku1+ Shots on Target59%––Rayan Cherki1+ Shots on Target48%61%-1551Enzo Fernández1+ Shots on Target40%––1Erling Haaland2+ Shots on Target37%57%-1304Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Jérémy DokuO0.520%––Enzo FernándezO0.515%––1Erling HaalandO0.510%17%+5000Nico O'ReillyO0.510%19%+430Matheus NunesO0.59%23%+3300Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Erling Haaland44%––2Jérémy Doku41%––Enzo Fernández31%––1Rayan Cherki25%––0Phil Foden20%––0Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last meetingManchester City lead 1-02–0 on goals