Champions League Match Board
Every match priced by our goals-based goal model — our line (win/draw/win probabilities and their fair odds) next to the books' vig-free consensus, plus total-goals and both-teams-to-score reads.
⚙ New model, graded in the open. The soccer model is brand new and hasn't proven anything — nothing here is a pick. A gold Model lean just marks where we and the books disagree the most — and this league is priced off actual goals, not xG, so trust it even less until it grades out; we're tracking every match publicly to find out if those disagreements mean anything. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
No Champions League fixtures in the next week.
Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Champions League table
Updated daily from final resultsLeague Phase
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 4 | +19 | 24 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Bayern Munich | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 8 | +14 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 8 | +12 | 18 | LWWLW |
| 4 |  Tottenham Hotspur | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 7 | +10 | 17 | DDWLW |
| 5 |  Barcelona | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 14 | +8 | 16 | LWDLW |
| 6 |  Chelsea | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | +7 | 16 | WWDWL |
| 7 |  Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11 | +6 | 16 | LWDWL |
| 8 |  Manchester City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 16 | DWWLW |
| 9 |  Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 12 | +9 | 15 | WWLWL |
| 10 |  Internazionale | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 15 | WWWLL |
| 11 |  Paris Saint-Germain | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 11 | +10 | 14 | WWLWD |
| 12 |  Newcastle United | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | +10 | 14 | WWWLD |
| 13 |  Juventus | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 13 | DLDWW |
| 14 |  Atlético Madrid | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 13 | WLWWW |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 13 | WDWWW |
| 16 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 12 | DLWWD |
| 17 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 17 | +2 | 11 | WWLWD |
| 18 |  Olympiacos | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 11 | LLDLW |
| 19 |  Club Brugge | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 10 | LLDLL |
| 20 |  Galatasaray | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 | WWWLL |
| 21 |  AS Monaco | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 10 | DDWDW |
| 22 |  FK Qarabag | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 | WLDLL |
| 23 |  Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 9 | DLLLD |
| 24 |  Benfica | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 9 | LLLWW |
| 25 |  Marseille | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 9 | WLLWW |
| 26 |  Pafos | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 9 | LDWDL |
| 27 |  Union St.-Gilloise | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 | LLLWL |
| 28 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 8 | DWDWL |
| 29 |  Athletic Club | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 8 | LWLDD |
| 30 |  Napoli | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 8 | WLDWL |
| 31 |  F.C. København | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 8 | LLLWW |
| 32 |  Ajax Amsterdam | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 6 | LLLLW |
| 33 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 4 | LLDLL |
| 34 |  Slavia Prague | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 3 | LDLDL |
| 35 |  Villarreal | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 1 | DLLLL |
| 36 |  Kairat Almaty | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 1 | LDLLL |