Villarreal vs Borussia Dortmund
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Villarreal2
Dortmund3Full timeSignal Iduna ParkBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Tuesday, September 8, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMkt
FT · 3–2
Proj2.3–1.3
Borussia DortmundHOME60%2.3proj-152fair-122mktDraw21%—proj+384fair+322mkt
VillarrealAWAY19%1.3proj+428fair+367mktO2.5 70%BTTS 66% · mkt 63%
CBSSN · Paramount+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Champions League tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Serhou Guirassy1+ Goals33%53%-1102Tani Oluwaseyi1+ Goals31%25%+3500Maximilian Beier1+ Goals28%32%+2200Ayoze Pérez1+ Goals20%26%+3300Nicolas Pépé1+ Goals20%20%+4250Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Tani Oluwaseyi1+ Shots91%94%-15001Serhou Guirassy1+ Shots89%99%-100006Maximilian Beier1+ Shots89%97%-30002Nicolas Pépé1+ Shots85%91%-10002Ayoze Pérez1+ Shots82%93%-12500Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Tani Oluwaseyi1+ Shots on Target64%68%-2100Serhou Guirassy1+ Shots on Target63%85%-5503Maximilian Beier1+ Shots on Target59%71%-2400Nicolas Pépé1+ Shots on Target55%58%-1401Ayoze Pérez1+ Shots on Target49%64%-1750Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Serhou GuirassyO0.518%19%+4300Jobe BellinghamO0.515%17%+4800Joey VeermanO0.514%––0Maximilian BeierO0.513%26%+2900Marcel SabitzerO0.513%36%+1750Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Serhou Guirassy45%––2Tani Oluwaseyi39%––0Maximilian Beier37%––0Nicolas Pépé28%––0Ayoze Pérez28%––0Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 2 meetingsBorussia Dortmund lead 2-07–2 on goals