Internazionale vs Real Madrid
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Inter Milan1
Real Madrid2Full timeSantiago BernabéuBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Tuesday, September 8, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMkt
FT · 2–1
Proj2.5–1.3
Real MadridHOME62%2.5proj-163fair-154mktDraw20%—proj+410fair+370mkt
InternazionaleAWAY18%1.3proj+443fair+451mktO2.5 74%BTTS 69% · mkt 64%
Paramount+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Champions League tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Kylian Mbappé1+ Goals59%62%-1601Vinícius Júnior1+ Goals41%39%+1700Marcus Thuram1+ Goals27%27%+2700Lautaro Martínez1+ Goals25%29%+2600Luis Henrique1+ Goals25%––0Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Vinícius Júnior1+ Shots98%99%-100002Kylian Mbappé1+ Shots96%––4Marcus Thuram1+ Shots94%95%-20004Kylian Mbappé2+ Shots92%98%-50004Vinícius Júnior2+ Shots91%92%-11002Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Kylian Mbappé1+ Shots on Target86%93%-12504Vinícius Júnior1+ Shots on Target79%81%-4250Marcus Thuram1+ Shots on Target61%62%-1601Kylian Mbappé2+ Shots on Target59%70%-2304Luis Henrique1+ Shots on Target56%––0Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Vinícius JúniorO0.528%34%+1950Federico ValverdeO0.524%23%+3400Kylian MbappéO0.518%29%+2400Arda GülerO0.517%––Jude BellinghamO0.514%34%+1950Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Kylian Mbappé67%––1Vinícius Júnior57%––0Federico Valverde41%––1Marcus Thuram36%––0Luis Henrique33%––0Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last meetingReal Madrid lead 1-02–1 on goals