Toronto FC vs St. Louis CITY SC
Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.
Toronto–
St. Louis–8:30 PM ETEnergizer Park📺 Apple TVLineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.
What the model says
Saturday, September 19, 2026MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge
8:30 PM ET
xG1.8–1.1
St. Louis CITY SCHOME52%1.8xG-108fair—mkt—Draw26%—xG+292fair—mkt—
Toronto FCAWAY23%1.1xG+343fair—mkt—O2.5 55%BTTS 57%
Apple TV
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.
Going in
MLS tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Rafael Navarro1+ Goals44%––Simon Becher1+ Goals37%––Josh Sargent1+ Goals31%––Marcel Hartel1+ Goals30%––Ola Brynhildsen1+ Goals23%––Shots
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Marcel Hartel1+ Shots96%––Rafael Navarro1+ Shots94%––Simon Becher1+ Shots91%––Josh Sargent1+ Shots90%––Dániel Sallói1+ Shots85%––Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Marcel Hartel1+ Shots on Target70%––Rafael Navarro1+ Shots on Target68%––Simon Becher1+ Shots on Target65%––Josh Sargent1+ Shots on Target64%––Dániel Sallói1+ Shots on Target57%––Assists
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Marcel HartelO0.523%––Djordje MihailovicO0.515%––Tomas TotlandO0.515%––Federico BernardeschiO0.514%––José CifuentesO0.513%––Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Rafael Navarro49%––Marcel Hartel46%––Simon Becher43%––Josh Sargent36%––Federico Bernardeschi30%––The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last meetingSt. Louis CITY SC lead 1-01–0 on goals