MLS 1+ Shots Board
Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots number — over the line the books hang — volume shooters vs soft defenses rise here. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.
⚙ New model, graded in the open. Props are priced by a brand-new model with no public track record — nothing here is a pick. Where the books quote one-sided, "books" includes their margin and edges read conservative. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
- 1
Lionel MessiSun 7:00 PM✓ 10100%Books no lineMatchWiz -9900 - 2
Germán BerterameSun 7:00 PM✓ 196%Books no lineMatchWiz -2243 - 3
Anders DreyerSun 7:00 PM✓ 595%Books -5000-2.8%MatchWiz -1988 - 4
Luis SuárezSun 7:00 PM✓ 595%Books no lineMatchWiz -1839 - 5
Mateo SilvettiSun 7:00 PMDNP91%Books no lineMatchWiz -1031 - 6
Marcus IngvartsenSun 7:00 PM✓ 191%Books -5000-7.4%MatchWiz -963 - 7
Mohamed Elias AchouriSun 7:00 PM✓ 189%Books no lineMatchWiz -784 - 8
Benjamin CremaschiSun 7:00 PMDNP87%Books no lineMatchWiz -662 - 9
Tadeo AllendeSun 7:00 PMDNP87%Books no lineMatchWiz -645 - 10
Gabriel PiraniSun 7:00 PMDNP83%Books no lineMatchWiz -497 - 11
Baltasar RodríguezSun 7:00 PMDNP81%Books no lineMatchWiz -438 - 12
Tomás ÁngelSun 7:00 PMDNP79%Books no lineMatchWiz -381 - 13
Rodrigo de PaulSun 7:00 PM✓ 177%Books -900-12.6%MatchWiz -342 - 14
Matías GalarzaSun 7:00 PM✓ 272%Books no lineMatchWiz -258 - 15
Alex MightenSun 7:00 PMDNP67%Books -650-19.2%MatchWiz -207 - 16
Telasco SegoviaSun 7:00 PMDNP66%Books -800-22.9%MatchWiz -194 - 17
Wilson EisnerSun 7:00 PMDNP66%Books no lineMatchWiz -192 - 18
Onni ValakariSun 7:00 PMDNP63%Books -475-19.7%MatchWiz -169 - 19
CasemiroSun 7:00 PM✗ 062%Books -900-27.5%MatchWiz -166 - 20
Jordi AlbaSun 7:00 PMDNP61%Books no lineMatchWiz -157 - 21
Amahl PellegrinoSun 7:00 PMDNP61%Books -4000-36.9%MatchWiz -154 - 22
Ian FraySun 7:00 PMDNP57%Books -280-16.2%MatchWiz -135 - 23
Sergio BusquetsSun 7:00 PMDNP57%Books no lineMatchWiz -132 - 24
Sergio ReguilónSun 7:00 PM✗ 054%Books -300-21.3%MatchWiz -116 - 25
Federico RedondoSun 7:00 PMDNP53%Books no lineMatchWiz -113 - 26
Fricio CaicedoSun 7:00 PM✗ 052%Books no lineMatchWiz -107 - 27
MicaelSun 7:00 PMDNP49%Books -270-23.5%MatchWiz +102 - 28
Preston PlambeckSun 7:00 PMDNP48%Books -4000-49.6%MatchWiz +108 - 29
Aníbal GodoySun 7:00 PM✗ 048%Books -155-12.8%MatchWiz +108 - 30
David VazquezSun 7:00 PMDNP48%Books no lineMatchWiz +110 - 31
Daniel PinterSun 7:00 PM✗ 047%Books -7000-51.8%MatchWiz +114 - 32
Jeppe TverskovSun 7:00 PM✗ 045%Books -140-13.3%MatchWiz +122 - 33
Aiden HarangiSun 7:00 PMDNP45%Books no lineMatchWiz +124 - 34
Allen ObandoSun 7:00 PMDNP44%Books no lineMatchWiz +127 - 35
Marcelo WeigandtSun 7:00 PMDNP44%Books no lineMatchWiz +128 - 36
Kieran SargeantSun 7:00 PM✓ 142%Books no lineMatchWiz +140 - 37
Emmanuel BoatengSun 7:00 PMDNP41%Books no lineMatchWiz +141 - 38
Oscar VerhoevenSun 7:00 PMDNP40%Books no lineMatchWiz +152 - 39
Yannick BrightSun 7:00 PM✗ 039%Books -220-29.6%MatchWiz +156 - 40
David MartínezSun 7:00 PMDNP38%Books no lineMatchWiz +163 - 41
Alejandro Alvarado Jr.Sun 7:00 PM✗ 038%Books -210-29.8%MatchWiz +164 - 42
Pedro SomaSun 7:00 PMDNP37%Books no lineMatchWiz +169 - 43
Gonzalo LujanSun 7:00 PMDNP37%Books -105-14.3%MatchWiz +171 - 44
Osvald SøeSun 7:00 PMDNP35%Books no lineMatchWiz +183 - 45
Dagur Dan ThórhallssonSun 7:00 PM✗ 034%Books no lineMatchWiz +192 - 46
Anisse SaidiSun 7:00 PMDNP31%Books no lineMatchWiz +218 - 47
David AyalaSun 7:00 PMDNP30%Books -290-43.9%MatchWiz +229 - 48
Alexander ShawSun 7:00 PM✗ 029%Books no lineMatchWiz +250 - 49
Maximiliano FalcónSun 7:00 PM✗ 028%Books -130-29.0%MatchWiz +263 - 50
Manu DuahSun 7:00 PM✗ 027%Books +105-22.0%MatchWiz +274 - 51
Luca BombinoSun 7:00 PMDNP23%Books no lineMatchWiz +327 - 52
Hamady DiopSun 7:00 PMDNP22%Books no lineMatchWiz +347 - 53
Jasper LöeffelsendSun 7:00 PMDNP21%Books no lineMatchWiz +387 - 54
Ian MurphySun 7:00 PM✗ 019%Books no lineMatchWiz +440 - 55
Paddy McNairSun 7:00 PMDNP17%Books no lineMatchWiz +472 - 56
Bryce DukeSun 7:00 PMDNP17%Books no lineMatchWiz +498 - 57
Cesar Abadia-RedaSun 7:00 PMDNP16%Books no lineMatchWiz +514 - 58
Facundo MuraSun 7:00 PM✗ 015%Books -370-64.2%MatchWiz +589 - 59
Christopher McVeySun 7:00 PM✗ 014%Books +105-34.9%MatchWiz +623 - 60
Willy KumadoSun 7:00 PMDNP13%Books no lineMatchWiz +669 - 61
Ian PilcherSun 7:00 PM✗ 09%Books +115-37.6%MatchWiz +1019 - 62
Duran Michael FerreeSun 7:00 PMDNP4%Books no lineMatchWiz +2222 - 63
Óscar UstariSun 7:00 PMDNP0%Books no lineMatchWiz +9900 - 64
Pablo SisniegaSun 7:00 PMDNP0%Books no lineMatchWiz +9900 - 65
Rocco Rios NovoSun 7:00 PMDNP0%Books no lineMatchWiz +9900 - 66
CJ dos SantosSun 7:00 PM✗ 00%Books no lineMatchWiz +9900 - 67
Dayne St. ClairSun 7:00 PM✗ 00%Books no lineMatchWiz +9900
MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game xG rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).