MLS 1+ Shots Board
Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots number — over the line the books hang — volume shooters vs soft defenses rise here. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.
⚙ New model, graded in the open. Props are priced by a brand-new model with no public track record — nothing here is a pick. Where the books quote one-sided, "books" includes their margin and edges read conservative. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
- 1
Lionel MessiSun 7:00 PM✓ 3100%Books no lineMatchWiz -9900 - 2
Luis SuárezSun 7:00 PM✗ 094%Books -7000-4.7%MatchWiz -1535 - 3
Germán BerterameSun 7:00 PMDNP93%Books no lineMatchWiz -1304 - 4
Diego RossiSun 7:00 PMDNP93%Books no lineMatchWiz -1283 - 5
Wessam Abou AliSun 7:00 PMDNP92%Books no lineMatchWiz -1184 - 6
Brais MéndezSun 7:00 PM✓ 490%Books -2000-5.1%MatchWiz -916 - 7
Mateo SilvettiSun 7:00 PMDNP89%Books no lineMatchWiz -780 - 8
Santiago RodríguezSun 7:00 PM✓ 187%Books -1500-6.6%MatchWiz -678 - 9
Benjamin CremaschiSun 7:00 PMDNP84%Books no lineMatchWiz -524 - 10
Tadeo AllendeSun 7:00 PMDNP83%Books no lineMatchWiz -489 - 11
Baltasar RodríguezSun 7:00 PMDNP78%Books no lineMatchWiz -355 - 12
Matías GalarzaSun 7:00 PMDNP74%Books no lineMatchWiz -286 - 13
Josef MartínezSun 7:00 PM✓ 273%Books no lineMatchWiz -273 - 14
Rodrigo de PaulSun 7:00 PM✓ 172%Books -350-5.4%MatchWiz -262 - 15
Jamal ThiaréSun 7:00 PM✓ 171%Books -2000-24.2%MatchWiz -245 - 16
Chase AdamsSun 7:00 PMDNP71%Books no lineMatchWiz -245 - 17
Max ArfstenSun 7:00 PMDNP66%Books no lineMatchWiz -194 - 18
Gonzalo TapiaSun 7:00 PMDNP66%Books no lineMatchWiz -192 - 19
Telasco SegoviaSun 7:00 PMDNP61%Books no lineMatchWiz -156 - 20
Jordi AlbaSun 7:00 PMDNP58%Books no lineMatchWiz -137 - 21
CasemiroSun 7:00 PM✓ 156%Books -390-23.2%MatchWiz -129 - 22
Ian FraySun 7:00 PMDNP54%Books -195-12.1%MatchWiz -117 - 23
Federico RedondoSun 7:00 PMDNP53%Books no lineMatchWiz -112 - 24
Brooks LennonSun 7:00 PMDNP50%Books -120-4.1%MatchWiz -102 - 25
Jacen Russell-RoweSun 7:00 PMDNP50%Books no lineMatchWiz -102 - 26
Darlington NagbeSun 7:00 PMDNP49%Books no lineMatchWiz +102 - 27
Sergio BusquetsSun 7:00 PMDNP49%Books no lineMatchWiz +103 - 28
André GomesSun 7:00 PMDNP49%Books -170-14.0%MatchWiz +104 - 29
Sekou BangouraSun 7:00 PM✗ 048%Books -350-29.5%MatchWiz +107 - 30
Hugo PicardSun 7:00 PMDNP47%Books no lineMatchWiz +113 - 31
MicaelSun 7:00 PM✗ 046%Books -175-18.0%MatchWiz +119 - 32
Preston PlambeckSun 7:00 PMDNP44%Books -2000-50.9%MatchWiz +125 - 33
Mohamed FarsiSun 7:00 PM✗ 044%Books -140-14.0%MatchWiz +126 - 34
Fricio CaicedoSun 7:00 PMDNP43%Books no lineMatchWiz +131 - 35
Daniel PinterSun 7:00 PM✗ 043%Books -2500-53.1%MatchWiz +132 - 36
Marcelo WeigandtSun 7:00 PMDNP41%Books no lineMatchWiz +142 - 37
Sergio ReguilónSun 7:00 PM✗ 041%Books -380-37.9%MatchWiz +142 - 38
Taha HabrouneSun 7:00 PM✓ 141%Books -200-25.7%MatchWiz +144 - 39
Malte AmundsenSun 7:00 PM✗ 041%Books -125-14.8%MatchWiz +145 - 40
Allen ObandoSun 7:00 PMDNP41%Books no lineMatchWiz +146 - 41
Yannick BrightSun 7:00 PM✗ 036%Books -150-23.6%MatchWiz +175 - 42
Steven MoreiraSun 7:00 PMDNP36%Books no lineMatchWiz +176 - 43
Lassi LappalainenSun 7:00 PMDNP36%Books no lineMatchWiz +182 - 44
David MartínezSun 7:00 PMDNP34%Books no lineMatchWiz +190 - 45
Tarun KarumanchiSun 7:00 PMDNP34%Books no lineMatchWiz +194 - 46
Gonzalo LujanSun 7:00 PM✗ 034%Books +140-7.9%MatchWiz +196 - 47
Sean ZawadzkiSun 7:00 PM✗ 032%Books +115-14.6%MatchWiz +214 - 48
Rudy CamachoSun 7:00 PMDNP30%Books +180-6.0%MatchWiz +237 - 49
David AyalaSun 7:00 PM✗ 026%Books -230-43.4%MatchWiz +280 - 50
Maximiliano FalcónSun 7:00 PMDNP24%Books +115-22.6%MatchWiz +319 - 51
Alexander ShawSun 7:00 PMDNP23%Books no lineMatchWiz +336 - 52
Cesar RuvalcabaSun 7:00 PMDNP19%Books +150-20.5%MatchWiz +414 - 53
Dylan ChambostSun 7:00 PM✗ 018%Books -300-56.6%MatchWiz +444 - 54
Laurtaro GiacconeSun 7:00 PMDNP18%Books -900-71.9%MatchWiz +451 - 55
Andrés HerreraSun 7:00 PM✓ 116%Books -210-51.3%MatchWiz +507 - 56
Cesar Abadia-RedaSun 7:00 PM✗ 015%Books no lineMatchWiz +559 - 57
Facundo MuraSun 7:00 PM✗ 013%Books -150-47.5%MatchWiz +698 - 58
Nicholas HagenSun 7:00 PMDNP1%Books no lineMatchWiz +9900 - 59
Evan BushSun 7:00 PMDNP1%Books no lineMatchWiz +9900 - 60
Óscar UstariSun 7:00 PMDNP1%Books no lineMatchWiz +9900 - 61
Rocco Rios NovoSun 7:00 PM✗ 00%Books no lineMatchWiz +9900 - 62
Dayne St. ClairSun 7:00 PMDNP0%Books no lineMatchWiz +9900 - 63
Patrick SchulteSun 7:00 PM✗ 00%Books no lineMatchWiz +9900
MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game xG rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).