MLS 1+ Shots Board
Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots number — over the line the books hang — volume shooters vs soft defenses rise here. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.
⚙ New model, graded in the open. Props are priced by a brand-new model with no public track record — nothing here is a pick. Where the books quote one-sided, "books" includes their margin and edges read conservative. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
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Marcel HartelSun 7:00 PM97%Books no lineMatchWiz -3635 - 2
Gabriel PecSun 7:00 PM96%Books no lineMatchWiz -2531 - 3
Rafael NavarroSun 7:00 PM95%Books no lineMatchWiz -2088 - 4
Hirving LozanoSun 7:00 PM92%Books no lineMatchWiz -1232 - 5
Carlo HolseSun 7:00 PM90%Books no lineMatchWiz -935 - 6
Joseph PaintsilSun 7:00 PM85%Books no lineMatchWiz -585 - 7
Erik ThommySun 7:00 PM81%Books no lineMatchWiz -414 - 8
Simon BecherSun 7:00 PM80%Books no lineMatchWiz -409 - 9
Kyogo FuruhashiSun 7:00 PM78%Books no lineMatchWiz -354 - 10
Robert TaylorSun 7:00 PM76%Books no lineMatchWiz -310 - 11
Pablo RuizSun 7:00 PM75%Books no lineMatchWiz -293 - 12
Harbor MillerSun 7:00 PM74%Books no lineMatchWiz -287 - 13
Jeong Sang-BinSun 7:00 PM72%Books no lineMatchWiz -254 - 14
João KlaussSun 7:00 PM70%Books no lineMatchWiz -235 - 15
Conrad WallemSun 7:00 PM69%Books no lineMatchWiz -226 - 16
Alexandru MatanSun 7:00 PM64%Books no lineMatchWiz -179 - 17
Célio PompeuSun 7:00 PM63%Books no lineMatchWiz -168 - 18
Jake Girdwood-ReichSun 7:00 PM59%Books no lineMatchWiz -146 - 19
Tomas TotlandSun 7:00 PM58%Books no lineMatchWiz -139 - 20
Rafael SantosSun 7:00 PM58%Books no lineMatchWiz -136 - 21
Sergio CórdovaSun 7:00 PM57%Books no lineMatchWiz -134 - 22
Daniel EdelmanSun 7:00 PM57%Books no lineMatchWiz -133 - 23
Marco ReusSun 7:00 PM56%Books no lineMatchWiz -126 - 24
Chris DurkinSun 7:00 PM55%Books no lineMatchWiz -121 - 25
Dante PolvaraSun 7:00 PM54%Books no lineMatchWiz -118 - 26
Jannes HornSun 7:00 PM53%Books no lineMatchWiz -113 - 27
CalegariSun 7:00 PM52%Books no lineMatchWiz -107 - 28
Edwin CerrilloSun 7:00 PM51%Books no lineMatchWiz -105 - 29
Elijah WynderSun 7:00 PM50%Books no lineMatchWiz +101 - 30
Sergi RobertoSun 7:00 PM47%Books no lineMatchWiz +111 - 31
Cedric TeuchertSun 7:00 PM45%Books no lineMatchWiz +121 - 32
Justin HaakSun 7:00 PM42%Books no lineMatchWiz +138 - 33
Josh YaroSun 7:00 PM41%Books no lineMatchWiz +144 - 34
Matheus NascimentoSun 7:00 PM41%Books no lineMatchWiz +146 - 35
Mauricio CuevasSun 7:00 PM37%Books no lineMatchWiz +172 - 36
Jakob GlesnesSun 7:00 PM36%Books no lineMatchWiz +176 - 37
Fallou FallSun 7:00 PM34%Books no lineMatchWiz +192 - 38
Chris RindovSun 7:00 PM34%Books no lineMatchWiz +193 - 39
Miki YamaneSun 7:00 PM34%Books no lineMatchWiz +194 - 40
ZankaSun 7:00 PM34%Books no lineMatchWiz +196 - 41
Isaiah ParenteSun 7:00 PM32%Books no lineMatchWiz +208 - 42
Alfredo MoralesSun 7:00 PM31%Books no lineMatchWiz +220 - 43
Jaziel OrozcoSun 7:00 PM30%Books no lineMatchWiz +233 - 44
Akil WattsSun 7:00 PM26%Books no lineMatchWiz +288 - 45
Timo BaumgartlSun 7:00 PM25%Books no lineMatchWiz +301 - 46
Julián AudeSun 7:00 PM24%Books no lineMatchWiz +313 - 47
Joseph ZalinskySun 7:00 PM24%Books no lineMatchWiz +325 - 48
Miguel BerrySun 7:00 PM22%Books no lineMatchWiz +361 - 49
Lucas SanabriaSun 7:00 PM21%Books no lineMatchWiz +385 - 50
Mykhi JoynerSun 7:00 PM20%Books no lineMatchWiz +408 - 51
Kyle HiebertSun 7:00 PM19%Books no lineMatchWiz +433 - 52
Xande SilvaSun 7:00 PM17%Books no lineMatchWiz +502 - 53
Joakim NilssonSun 7:00 PM14%Books no lineMatchWiz +609 - 54
John NelsonSun 7:00 PM12%Books no lineMatchWiz +711 - 55
Lukas MacNaughtonSun 7:00 PM10%Books no lineMatchWiz +913 - 56
Ben LundtSun 7:00 PM1%Books no lineMatchWiz +9900 - 57
John McCarthySun 7:00 PM1%Books no lineMatchWiz +9900 - 58
Novak MićovićSun 7:00 PM0%Books no lineMatchWiz +9900 - 59
Roman BürkiSun 7:00 PM0%Books no lineMatchWiz +9900 - 60
JT MarcinkowskiSun 7:00 PM0%Books no lineMatchWiz +9900
MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game xG rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).