Liverpool

Premier League · 6th · 9 pts · GD +3

DDWDW

Liverpool are 6th in Premier League, 2-3-0, with 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded a game — a goal difference built on the attack.

Next match

Oct 11 · 11:30 AM ET

MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge

11:30 AM ET

Proj1.4–1.6

Match page →

LiverpoolHOME31%1.4proj+225fair+182mkt-4.8%

Draw26%—proj+279fair+286mkt+0.4%

Manchester CityAWAY43%1.6proj+133fair+160mktModel lean+4.5%

O2.5 57% · mkt 60%BTTS 61%1H O1.5 39%

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This season

Premier League · 2026-27

Record2-3-05 played

Scored1.407 goals

Conceded0.804 against

Clean sheets3Of 5 matches

Both scored40%Of their matches

Over 2.540%Three goals or more

Home0-2-02–22 matches

Away2-1-05–23 matches

How the model graded them

2026-27

Win/draw/win0-50%

Over 2.52-340%

Both to score2-340%

Every pick the model made on Liverpool this season, wins and losses both. The three samples differ because a market only grades where a book quoted it. 5 matches is far too few to read anything into — soccer is a high-variance sport and a season is the horizon. Not betting advice.

In the table

Full Premier League table

#ClubPGDPts

Brighton & Hove Albion5+1110

Brentford5+69

Leeds United5+49

Liverpool5+39

Everton5+39

Hull City5+28

Newcastle United508

Liverpool's season

2026-27

Where they stand

Liverpool sit 6th on 9 points after 5 matches. That's mid-table — clear of trouble, short of Europe. That's 1.80 points a game.

Going forward

The attack has produced 7 goals across 5 matches — 1.4 a game. That's steady rather than prolific, and it puts a lot of weight on the defence. 40% of their matches have finished with three goals or more.

At the back

Liverpool have conceded 4 goals, 0.8 a game. Concede at that rate and you're in most games before you've kicked a ball. They've kept 3 clean sheets — 60% of their matches.

Current run

Liverpool are unbeaten in 5 matches. Form is the noisiest thing on this page — a five-match window in a sport this low-scoring is a handful of bounces, and the model weights a full season of results far more heavily than the last fortnight of them.

Next up

Liverpool are at home to Manchester City. The board above carries our win/draw/win probabilities for it, the goals total, both-teams-to-score, and the fair odds each of those implies — with the book's number beside ours wherever a book has hung one. 6 more fixtures follow on the schedule below.