Liverpool vs Newcastle United
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Liverpool2
Newcastle2Full timeSt. James' ParkBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Sunday, August 23, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 2–2
Proj1.9–1.2
Newcastle UnitedHOME✗53%1.9proj-113fair+309mktModel lean+28.5%Draw24%—proj+309fair+305mkt-0.3%
LiverpoolAWAY23%1.2proj+343fair-104mkt-28.5%O2.5 59% ✓BTTS 60% · mkt 64% ✓
USA Net · Tele
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Premier League tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Hugo Ekitike1+ Goals33%––DNPNick Woltemade1+ Goals29%29%+270DNPCody Gakpo1+ Goals24%32%+265✓ 1Mohamed Salah1+ Goals24%––DNPAlexander Isak1+ Goals19%43%+145✗ 0Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Mohamed Salah1+ Shots93%––DNPCody Gakpo1+ Shots89%96%-2500✓ 6Hugo Ekitike1+ Shots89%––DNPNick Woltemade1+ Shots86%89%-800DNPDominik Szoboszlai1+ Shots80%91%-1000✓ 3Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Mohamed Salah1+ Shots on Target58%––DNPHugo Ekitike1+ Shots on Target55%––DNPNick Woltemade1+ Shots on Target54%57%-135DNPCody Gakpo1+ Shots on Target51%64%-180✓ 1Dominik Szoboszlai1+ Shots on Target44%52%-110✓ 1Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Mohamed SalahO0.517%––DNPLewis MileyO0.515%13%+650✗ 0Ryan GravenberchO0.514%22%+360✓ 1Alexis Mac AllisterO0.514%22%+360✗ 0Dominik SzoboszlaiO0.513%24%+310✗ 0Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Hugo Ekitike38%––DNPMohamed Salah36%––DNPNick Woltemade35%––DNPCody Gakpo32%––✓ 1Bruno Guimarães28%––DNP
Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsLiverpool lead 2-01 draw7–4 on goals