Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 9
Tue, October 6, 2026 — Meta APEX · Las Vegas · NV · 📺 Paramount+. Model record on this card: 3-2. Tap a fight for the tale of the tape.
Card complete
5 of 5 fights finalLeans vs the book
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where we disagreed with the book
Every fight we priced, graded against the result — not a curated subset. A method call counts when the outcome we made most likely is the one that happened. Leans are only the spots where we disagreed with the book, which is the subset worth betting.
Main Card
fight lengthwe said 57% under 2½ · went R1 2:24 ✓ under
how it endswe said KO/TKO 46% · was KO/TKO ✓
fight lengthwe said 53% over 2½ · went R1 3:03 ✗ under
how it endswe said Decision 48% · was KO/TKO ✗ we had it 33%
fight lengthwe said 51% under 2½ · went R1 3:37 ✓ under
how it endswe said Decision 45% · was Submission ✗ we had it 19%
fight lengthwe said 52% over 2½ · went R1 3:57 ✗ under
how it endswe said Decision 48% · was KO/TKO ✗ we had it 33%
fight lengthwe said 66% over 2½ · went the distance ✓ over
how it endswe said Decision 63% · was Decision - Unanimous ✓