UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse

Sat, September 5, 2026 — Accor Arena · Paris · France · 📺 Paramount+. Model record on this card: 7-7. Tap a fight for the tale of the tape.

Card complete

14 of 14 fights final

Every fight we priced, graded against the result — not a curated subset. A method call counts when the outcome we made most likely is the one that happened. Leans are only the spots where we disagreed with the book, which is the subset worth betting.

WizLays

This card1-4-2.07u

🛡 +10012-14-1.09u

⚡ +5001-7-1.23u

🔥 +10002-5+5.74u

The model's most-likely stacks for UFC Fight Night, across a range of payouts. Frozen when posted, graded after the card. The moonshot is just for fun. Not a tip.

🛡 1u playWon +0.93u

-107

Live hit prob

100%

Pintovs Spann · Heavyweight
-276✓
Over 2.5 RdsCornolle vs Syguła · Women's Bantamweight
-238✓

🛡 1u playLost -1.00u

-113

Live hit prob

0.0%

Campbellvs Peek · Featherweight
-375✓
Syvs Bukauskas · Light Heavyweight
-205✕

🛡 1u playLost -1.00u

+112

Live hit prob

0.0%

Limavs Charrière · Featherweight
-189✓
Over 2.5 RdsBenouaich vs Montenegro · Women's Strawweight
-260✕

⚡ 0.5u playLost -0.50u

+404

Live hit prob

0.0%

Ruziboevvs Page · Middleweight
+140✕
SS
Sintesvs Aljarouj · Flyweight
+110✓

🔥 0.5u playLost -0.50u

+1034

Live hit prob

0.0%

Hookervs Parnasse · Lightweight
+440✕
SS
Sintesvs Aljarouj · Flyweight
+110✓

🌙 for funNot graded

+2094

Live hit prob

0.0%

Hookervs Parnasse · Lightweight
+440✕
Diasvs Duclos · Middleweight
-107✕
SS
Sintesvs Aljarouj · Flyweight
+110✓

Prices are frozen at the best book number when the slip posts, and each slip grades at that price. UFC grades out efficient in our model, so this is for fun, not an edge — stacking legs multiplies the book's vig. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

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Main Card

Lightweight · 5 RDSKO/TKO · R1 2:25⚔ compare

Dan Hooker24-15-0✗ WizPick

WizLine-104 (51%)+104 (49%)best book+410 (19%)-550 (81%)

Salahdine Parnasse24-2-0

fight lengthwe said 53% over 2½ · went R1 2:25 ✗ under

how it endswe said KO/TKO 48% · was KO/TKO ✓

LightweightKO/TKO · R1 3:19⚔ compare

Farés Ziam18-6-0✗ WizPick

WizLine-168 (63%)+168 (37%)best book-154 (58%)+143 (42%)

Axel Sola13-1-1

fight lengthwe said 55% over 2½ · went R1 3:19 ✗ under

how it endswe said Decision 51% · was KO/TKO ✗ we had it 29%

MiddleweightDecision⚔ compare

Michael Page26-3-0✓ WizPick

WizLine-108 (52%)+108 (48%)best book-195 (64%)+166 (36%)

Nursulton Ruziboev37-10-2

fight lengthwe said 63% over 2½ · went the distance ✓ over

how it endswe said Decision 59% · was Decision ✓

WelterweightDecision - Unanimous⚔ compare

Daniil Donchenko16-2-0✓ WizPick

WizLine-156 (61%)+156 (39%)best book-230 (68%)+200 (32%)

Punahele Soriano13-5-0

fight lengthwe said 56% over 2½ · went the distance ✓ over

how it endswe said Decision 52% · was Decision - Unanimous ✓

FeatherweightSubmission · R3 1:53⚔ compare

Kurtis Campbell9-1-0✓ WizPick

WizLine-216 (68%)+216 (32%)best book-395 (77%)+320 (23%)

Trevor Peek9-4-0

fight lengthwe said 55% under 2½ · went R3 1:53 ✓ under

how it endswe said Decision 42% · was Submission ✗ we had it 28%

FeatherweightKO/TKO · R1 2:54⚔ compare

Losene Keita17-2-0✓ WizPick

WizLine-136 (58%)+136 (42%)best book-380 (77%)+310 (23%)

Muhammad Naimov13-5-0

fight lengthwe said 56% over 2½ · went R1 2:54 ✗ under

how it endswe said Decision 51% · was KO/TKO ✗ we had it 32%

Prelims

FeatherweightDecision - Unanimous⚔ compare

Morgan Charrière21-13-1

WizLine+171 (37%)-171 (63%)best book+180 (35%)-196 (65%)

Felipe Lima15-2-0✓ WizPick

fight lengthwe said 55% under 2½ · went the distance ✗ over

how it endswe said Decision 40% · was Decision - Unanimous ✓

HeavyweightKO/TKO · R2 4:03⚔ compare

Mario Pinto13-0-0✓ WizPick

WizLine-315 (76%)+315 (24%)best book-320 (74%)+275 (26%)

Ryan Spann24-12-0

fight lengthwe said 69% under 2½ · went R2 4:03 ✓ under

how it endswe said KO/TKO 49% · was KO/TKO ✓

Light HeavyweightKO/TKO · R2 1:01⚔ compare

Oumar Sy12-3-0✗ WizPick

WizLine-235 (70%)+235 (30%)best book-235 (68%)+200 (32%)

Modestas Bukauskas21-7-0

fight lengthwe said 58% under 2½ · went R2 1:01 ✓ under

how it endswe said KO/TKO 46% · was KO/TKO ✓

FeatherweightDecision - Unanimous⚔ compare

Nathaniel Wood23-7-0✗ WizPick

WizLine-198 (66%)+198 (34%)best book-285 (72%)+245 (28%)

Pavel Andrusca9-0-0

fight lengthwe said 61% over 2½ · went the distance ✓ over

how it endswe said Decision 56% · was Decision - Unanimous ✓

FlyweightDecision - Unanimous⚔ compare

Michael Aljarouj13-4-0

WizLine+388 (21%)-388 (80%)best book-125 (53%)+108 (47%)

Fabia Sintes12-3-0✓ WizPick

fight lengthwe said 55% under 2½ · went the distance ✗ over

how it endswe said KO/TKO 43% · was Decision - Unanimous ✗ we had it 39%

Women's BantamweightDecision - Unanimous⚔ compare

Nora Cornolle10-4-0

WizLine+149 (40%)-149 (60%)best book-104 (49%)-112 (51%)

Klaudia Syguła8-3-0✗ WizPick

fight lengthwe said 70% over 2½ · went the distance ✓ over

how it endswe said Decision 67% · was Decision - Unanimous ✓

MiddleweightKO/TKO · R1 4:35⚔ compare

Matthieu Duclos11-3-0

WizLine+163 (38%)-163 (62%)best book-110 (50%)-110 (50%)

Luis Felipe Dias18-6-0✗ WizPick

fight lengthwe said 53% over 2½ · went R1 4:35 ✗ under

how it endswe said Decision 50% · was KO/TKO ✗ we had it 30%

Women's StrawweightSubmission · R2 0:38⚔ compare

Delphine Benouaich8-2-0

WizLine+155 (39%)-155 (61%)best book-135 (56%)+122 (44%)

Sofia Montenegro6-3-0✗ WizPick

fight lengthwe said 66% over 2½ · went R2 0:38 ✗ under

how it endswe said Decision 63% · was Submission ✗ we had it 20%

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