🛡 1u playLocked
+102
Model win prob40%
- DDDarbyvs Rivera · Welterweight-400
Livingstonvs Smith · Lightweight-162
Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 4
Tue, September 1, 2026 — Meta APEX · Las Vegas · NV · 📺 Paramount+. Tap a fight for the tale of the tape.
WizLays
This cardPosted
Season8-10+5.27u+29% ROI
🛡 +1006-5+1.43u
⚡ +5001-3+0.77u
🔥 +10001-2+3.06u
The model's most-likely stacks for Dana White's Contender Series, across a range of payouts. Frozen when posted, graded after the card. The moonshot is just for fun. Not a tip.
🛡 1u playLocked
+118
Model win prob25%
- MMMcCrackenvs Sanchez · Lightweight-265
- CCClevelandvs Lourenço · Heavyweight-172
⚡ 0.5u playLocked
+468
Model win prob18%
- RRRodriguesvs Holmes · Middleweight+122
- CCClevelandvs Lourenço · Heavyweight-172
- Livingstonvs Smith · Lightweight-162
Prices are frozen at the best book number when the slip posts, and each slip grades at that price. UFC grades out efficient in our model, so this is for fun, not an edge — stacking legs multiplies the book's vig. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Main Card
fight lengthwe say 53% it goes past 2½ rounds
how it endsKO/TKO 34% · Submission 17% · Decision 49%
fight lengthwe say 50% it goes past 2½ rounds
how it endsKO/TKO 38% · Submission 16% · Decision 45%
fight lengthwe say 52% it goes past 2½ rounds
how it endsKO/TKO 33% · Submission 20% · Decision 48%
fight lengthwe say 43% it goes past 2½ rounds
how it endsKO/TKO 46% · Submission 15% · Decision 39%
fight lengthwe say 57% it goes past 2½ rounds
how it endsKO/TKO 29% · Submission 20% · Decision 51%