MatchWiz

King Green

36-17-1 · MatchWiz rating 1586

Age39Height5'10"Reach71"StanceOrthodoxDivisionLightweightCampPinnacle MMACountryUSA

Rating trend

1500201620172018201920202021202220232024202520261586

current 1586 · hover or touch the chart to trace each fight

Our Elo-style rating after each UFC fight — 1500 is average; champions live around 1700+ (full leaderboard). This is the backbone of our win probabilities.

Career rates

Where he stands

King Green is 13-11 across 25 fights on our tape. He's on a 4-fight winning run. Our rating has him at 1586 — it moves with every result and weights who he beat, so a win over a ranked opponent counts for far more than one over a debutant. A record on its own says very little in this sport — two fighters at 12-3 can have faced completely different opposition, which is exactly the gap the rating is built to close.

He's a volume striker

King lands 7.2 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 3.9. The gap between what he lands and what he takes is the good kind — output without a matching cost is the most durable striking edge there is. His takedown defense sits at 65% — for a striker that's the number that decides whether he gets to fight his fight at all.

Age matters more here than in most sports

King is 39. MMA decline tends to arrive suddenly rather than gradually — durability goes before output does, so a fighter can look sharp on the stats right up until he doesn't. The model factors age in, and it's one of the places we'd trust the number least on any individual fight.

How the model reads him

The number attached to King is a matchup output, not a ranking. Rating versus rating, then style versus style, then the things that bite in this sport specifically — age and time off. It gets graded on the fight board like every other call.

What we'd flag

Two limits worth carrying. We only hold UFC and Contender Series fights from 2015, so anything before that is invisible to these numbers. And a single punch can settle a fight the better fighter was winning — this sport punishes confident predictions more than most.

King Green — FAQ

What is King Green's record?

13-11 across 25 fights on our tape, which covers UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 to the present. Our rating has him at 1586 — it weights who he beat, not just how often he won.

What kind of fighter is King Green?

He lands 7.2 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 3.9, with 1.3 takedowns per 15 minutes and 65% takedown defense. Those rates decide where his fights happen, which decides most of the rest.

Are King Green's ratings betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with its graded record. The UFC model is calibrated but has not proven it can out-price the books, so we post no picks. Not betting advice, no guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Fight history

DateOpponentResultEventΔ rating
Jul 12, 2026Terrance McKinneyW · KO/TKO R1UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2+19
May 10, 2026Jeremy StephensW · Submission R1UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland+14
Mar 1, 2026Daniel ZellhuberW · KO/TKO R2UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh+20
Dec 14, 2025Lance Gibson Jr.W · Decision - Split R3UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape+14
Mar 9, 2025Mauricio RuffyL · KO/TKO R1UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev-16
Jul 28, 2024Paddy PimblettL · Submission R1UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2-13
Apr 13, 2024Jim MillerW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill+17
Dec 3, 2023Jalin TurnerL · KO/TKO R1UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan-17
Oct 7, 2023Grant DawsonW · KO/TKO R1UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green+29
Jul 30, 2023Tony FergusonW · Submission R3UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2+24
Apr 22, 2023Jared GordonNC · No Contest R1UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes
Dec 18, 2022Drew DoberL · KO/TKO R2UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland-14
Feb 27, 2022Islam MakhachevL · KO/TKO R1UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green-11
Feb 13, 2022Nasrat HaqparastW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2+18
Nov 7, 2021Al IaquintaW · KO/TKO R1UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2+24
Aug 8, 2021Rafael FizievL · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane-12
Oct 31, 2020Thiago MoisésL · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva-14
Sep 13, 2020Alan PatrickW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill+18
Aug 2, 2020Lando VannataW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan+17
Jun 20, 2020Clay GuidaW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov+18
Nov 16, 2019Francisco TrinaldoL · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare-9
Dec 15, 2018Drakkar KloseL · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta 2-25
Jan 27, 2018Erik KochW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2+36
Oct 8, 2017Lando VannataD · Draw R3UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee+4
Apr 15, 2017Rashid MagomedovL · Decision - Split R3UFC Fight Night: Johnson vs. Reis-26
Jun 5, 2016Dustin PoirierL · KO/TKO R1UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2-27

Record is career MMA (including pre-UFC fights); the history and rating cover UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 on. Back to the fight board →