MatchWiz

Carlos Leal “The Lion”

23-7-0 · MatchWiz rating 1535

Age32Height5'11"Reach74"StanceOrthodoxDivisionWelterweightCampThai BrasilCountryBrazil

Rating trend

15002024202520261535

current 1535 · hover or touch the chart to trace each fight

Our Elo-style rating after each UFC fight — 1500 is average; champions live around 1700+ (full leaderboard). This is the backbone of our win probabilities.

Career rates

Where he stands

Carlos Leal is 2-2 across 4 fights on our tape. Our rating has him at 1535 — it moves with every result and weights who he beat, so a win over a ranked opponent counts for far more than one over a debutant. A record on its own says very little in this sport — two fighters at 12-3 can have faced completely different opposition, which is exactly the gap the rating is built to close.

He's a volume striker

Carlos lands 8.8 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 7.8. That differential is modest, which puts him in the large middle of the division rather than the top of it. His takedown defense sits at 91% — for a striker that's the number that decides whether he gets to fight his fight at all.

How the model reads him

Carlos's number is a matchup output — rating against rating, then style against style, plus age and layoff — graded on the fight board like every other call. Our tape covers UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 on, and one punch can settle a fight the better fighter was winning. For Carlos specifically, Carlos has only 4 fights on our tape, so every rate here is built on very little.

The full method is on the fight board, and every published call is graded on the report card.

Carlos Leal — FAQ

What is Carlos Leal's record?

2-2 across 4 fights on our tape, which covers UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 to the present. Our rating has him at 1535 — it weights who he beat, not just how often he won.

What kind of fighter is Carlos Leal?

He lands 8.8 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 7.8, with 0.4 takedowns per 15 minutes and 91% takedown defense. Those rates decide where his fights happen, which decides most of the rest.

Fight history

DateOpponentResultEventΔ rating
Feb 21, 2026Chidi NjokuaniW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez+36
Jul 26, 2025Muslim SalikhovL · KO/TKO R1UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridder-29
Mar 9, 2025Alex MoronoW · KO/TKO R1UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev+47
Oct 26, 2024Rinat FakhretdinovL · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway-20

Record is career MMA (including pre-UFC fights); the history and rating cover UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 on. Back to the fight board →