MatchWiz

WizEdge Dashboard

Every play our model likes more than the book does, across every sport, in one table. Beside each one: how plays like it have actually done. Sort it, filter it, tag what you like and cast it as a slip.

10plays today4strong5–3–2graded so far
Sports
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Show10/10
  1. MLBSD MLSan Diego Padres · MoneylineAZ at SDWizLine52%Book42% +130+10.7%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 4-9✓—
  2. MLBNRFIATL at MIA · 1st inning · NRFIATL at MIAWizLine60%Book51% −115+9.8%leanNo track record yet for plays like this.1st: 0 R✓—
  3. MLBWSH MLWashington Nationals · MoneylineNYM at WSHWizLine59%Book50% −108+9.5%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 4-6✓—
  4. SoccerMLSLuis Suárez 1+ GoalsLuis Suárez · Anytime ScorerColumbus Crew v Inter Miami CF · MLSWizLine47.2%Book39.2% +165draftkings+8.0%strong18% on 1592 plays · −41.2% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–1✗—
  5. SoccerMLSGermán Berterame 1+ GoalsGermán Berterame · Anytime ScorerColumbus Crew v Inter Miami CF · MLSWizLine41.9%Book34.5% +190betmgm+7.5%lean18% on 2519 plays · −43.7% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–1=—
  6. SoccerMLSRodrigo de Paul O0.5Rodrigo de Paul · AssistsColumbus Crew v Inter Miami CF · MLSWizLine26.1%Book19.2% +420fanduel+6.9%lean18% on 2519 plays · −43.7% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–1✗—
  7. MLBMIN MLMinnesota Twins · MoneylineTEX at MINWizLine55%Book48% −102+6.2%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 4-6✓—
  8. SoccerMLSColumbus Crew to winColumbus Crew · Match resultColumbus Crew v Inter Miami CF · MLSWizLine37.6%Book31.8%+5.8%lean34% on 101 plays since Feb 22 · −16.5% ROI · worse than backing the home side (44%)FT 2–1✓—
  9. SoccerMLSIan Fray 1+ GoalsIan Fray · Anytime ScorerColumbus Crew v Inter Miami CF · MLSWizLine11.2%Book5.7% +1700fanduel+5.5%lean18% on 2519 plays · −43.7% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–1=—
  10. MLBCLE MLCleveland Guardians · MoneylineCLE at KCWizLine55%Book50% −109+4.7%leanUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 2-3✗—

How to read it

Every row is one play our model likes more than the book does. The WizLine is our number, Book is theirs with the best price we found, and the WizEdge is the gap between them. Gold rows are the biggest gaps for that market. The bar a play has to clear is set per sport and market, because a 1.5-strikeout gap in baseball and a four-point lean in soccer aren't the same thing, and “Elite” is just a filter for the very biggest ones.

Track record is the honest column. It's how plays like this one have actually done — hit rate, how many, since when, and whether that beats the dumbest possible rule, like betting every over. Some rows say we haven't measured that yet, or that plays like this have run worse than the blind rule. We show those anyway and say so, rather than hide them. “Has a track record” hides the unmeasured ones with one tap.

Two markets never appear: NBA game totals and team totals. We've graded them and lost, so they stay on their own board under a caveat. The graded so far tile counts only plays a sport has actually graded; a finished game whose grader hasn't run yet sits under awaiting grade.

Sports on this build: NFL · CFB · NBA · NHL · MLB · Soccer · Golf · UFC. Boards: Plays of the Day · MLB leans · NFL · NHL · NBA · SlipCast.