NFL Matchups

Projected score, spread and win probability for every NFL game this week — plus the quarterback and skill-player numbers behind each one.

MatchupWin %MarketProj ptsFinal

Wednesday, September 9

8:20 PM ET41.0our total44.5market

NENew England Patriots35%36%market18.1proj pts——

Drake MayeQB293 pass yd · 0.9 TD · 0.7 INT · 32 rush yd9%TD

A.J. BrownWR62 rec yd · 4.9 rec7%TD

Romeo DoubsWR45 rec yd · 3.4 rec21%TD

TreVeyon HendersonRB30 rush yd · 13 rec yd · 1.9 rec17%TD

Rhamondre StevensonRB23 rush yd · 20 rec yd · 2.2 rec39%TD

Other receivers16 rec yd · 0.0 rec

SEASeattle Seahawks65%64%market23.2proj pts——

Sam DarnoldQB276 pass yd · 0.9 TD · 0.8 INT · 14 rush yd9%TD

Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR107 rec yd · 7.4 rec22%TD

Zach CharbonnetRB32 rush yd · 8 rec yd · 1.0 rec62%TD

Jadarian PriceRB23 rush yd · 10 rec yd · 1.3 rec25%TD

Rashid ShaheedWR27 rec yd · 2.2 rec10%TD

Other receivers45 rec yd · 0.0 rec

Thursday, September 10

8:35 PM ET57.0our total48.5market

SFSan Francisco 49ers22%36%market23.1proj pts——

Brock PurdyQB285 pass yd · 1.2 TD · 1.3 INT · 22 rush yd10%TD

Christian McCaffreyRB37 rush yd · 43 rec yd · 4.9 rec52%TD

Deebo Samuel Sr.WR47 rec yd · 4.4 rec13%TD

George KittleTE46 rec yd · 4.3 rec14%TD

Mike EvansWR41 rec yd · 3.3 rec37%TD

Other receivers13 rec yd · 0.0 rec

LARLos Angeles Rams78%64%market34.2proj pts——

Matthew StaffordQB291 pass yd · 1.8 TD · 0.6 INT · 12 rush yd14%TD

Puka NacuaWR88 rec yd · 6.6 rec37%TD

Kyren WilliamsRB63 rush yd · 14 rec yd · 1.8 rec78%TD

Davante AdamsWR45 rec yd · 3.4 rec57%TD

Blake CorumRB32 rush yd40%TD

Other receivers55 rec yd · 0.0 rec

Sunday, September 13

1:00 PM ET44.0our total42.5market

ATLAtlanta Falcons45%40%market21.5proj pts——

Tua TagovailoaQB269 pass yd · 1.2 TD · 1.2 INT · 13 rush yd7%TD

Bijan RobinsonRB62 rush yd · 45 rec yd · 4.7 rec52%TD

Drake LondonWR69 rec yd · 5.2 rec42%TD

Kyle PittsTE50 rec yd · 4.8 rec11%TD

Olamide ZaccheausWR20 rec yd · 2.1 rec7%TD

Other receivers36 rec yd · 0.0 rec

PITPittsburgh Steelers55%60%market23.4proj pts——

Aaron RodgersQB269 pass yd · 0.9 TD · 0.6 INT · 13 rush yd7%TD

Jaylen WarrenRB48 rush yd · 17 rec yd · 2.1 rec58%TD

Rico DowdleRB36 rush yd · 15 rec yd · 2.1 rec42%TD

DK MetcalfWR49 rec yd · 3.5 rec22%TD

Jakobie Keeney-JamesWR43 rec yd · 3.5 rec0%TD

Other receivers48 rec yd · 0.0 rec

1:00 PM ET51.0our total48.5market

BALBaltimore Ravens47%62%market25.2proj pts——

Lamar JacksonQB276 pass yd · 1.0 TD · 0.8 INT · 33 rush yd7%TD

Zay FlowersWR80 rec yd · 5.8 rec9%TD

Derrick HenryRB52 rush yd · 8 rec yd · 0.9 rec80%TD

Mark AndrewsTE29 rec yd · 3.1 rec36%TD

Rashod BatemanWR22 rec yd · 1.8 rec10%TD

Other receivers78 rec yd · 0.0 rec

INDIndianapolis Colts53%38%market26.1proj pts——

Daniel JonesQB270 pass yd · 1.0 TD · 0.8 INT · 21 rush yd39%TD

Jonathan TaylorRB74 rush yd · 21 rec yd · 2.7 rec71%TD

Alec PierceWR50 rec yd · 2.7 rec3%TD

Tyler WarrenTE48 rec yd · 4.5 rec32%TD

Keenan AllenWR37 rec yd · 3.6 rec21%TD

Other receivers61 rec yd · 0.0 rec

1:00 PM ET43.0our total44.5market

BUFBuffalo Bills45%50%market21.1proj pts——

Josh AllenQB283 pass yd · 0.9 TD · 0.8 INT · 38 rush yd41%TD

James CookRB58 rush yd · 16 rec yd · 1.9 rec36%TD

Khalil ShakirWR47 rec yd · 4.6 rec6%TD

Keon ColemanWR39 rec yd · 3.3 rec15%TD

Dalton KincaidTE38 rec yd · 3.0 rec2%TD

Other receivers36 rec yd · 0.0 rec

HOUHouston Texans55%50%market22.8proj pts——

C.J. StroudQB269 pass yd · 1.0 TD · 0.9 INT · 21 rush yd25%TD

Nico CollinsWR61 rec yd · 4.2 rec26%TD

Woody MarksRB35 rush yd · 11 rec yd · 1.4 rec29%TD

Jawhar JordanRB29 rush yd · 9 rec yd · 1.3 rec7%TD

David MontgomeryRB26 rush yd · 8 rec yd · 1.1 rec44%TD

Other receivers71 rec yd · 0.0 rec

1:00 PM ET49.0our total46.0market

CHIChicago Bears56%57%market25.9proj pts——

Caleb WilliamsQB285 pass yd · 1.2 TD · 0.7 INT · 29 rush yd13%TD

D'Andre SwiftRB47 rush yd · 17 rec yd · 2.0 rec55%TD

Rome OdunzeWR53 rec yd · 3.6 rec38%TD

Colston LovelandTE46 rec yd · 3.8 rec26%TD

Luther Burden IIIWR39 rec yd · 3.0 rec3%TD

Other receivers65 rec yd · 0.0 rec

CARCarolina Panthers44%43%market23.7proj pts——

Bryce YoungQB268 pass yd · 1.6 TD · 0.8 INT · 22 rush yd9%TD

Tetairoa McMillanWR75 rec yd · 5.3 rec23%TD

Jalen CokerWR42 rec yd · 3.3 rec27%TD

Chuba HubbardRB25 rush yd · 14 rec yd · 1.8 rec31%TD

Jonathon BrooksRB23 rush yd · 14 rec yd · 1.7 rec27%TD

Other receivers6 rec yd · 0.0 rec

1:00 PM ET36.0our total40.5market

CLECleveland Browns27%24%market14.3proj pts——

Deshaun WatsonQB248 pass yd · 0.5 TD · 0.8 INT · 15 rush yd4%TD

Quinshon JudkinsRB45 rush yd · 15 rec yd · 2.2 rec33%TD

Harold Fannin Jr.TE45 rec yd · 4.5 rec14%TD

KC ConcepcionWR40 rec yd · 3.2 rec4%TD

Jerry JeudyWR35 rec yd · 2.8 rec4%TD

Other receivers26 rec yd · 0.0 rec

JAXJacksonville Jaguars73%76%market22.0proj pts——

Trevor LawrenceQB264 pass yd · 0.9 TD · 0.8 INT · 28 rush yd41%TD

Parker WashingtonWR51 rec yd · 3.6 rec18%TD

Brian Thomas Jr.WR43 rec yd · 3.1 rec10%TD

Jakobi MeyersWR41 rec yd · 3.6 rec10%TD

Travis HunterCB32 rec yd · 2.8 rec17%TD

Other receivers40 rec yd · 0.0 rec

1:00 PM ET42.0our total49.0market

NONew Orleans Saints40%26%market19.6proj pts——

Tyler ShoughQB267 pass yd · 0.5 TD · 0.8 INT · 18 rush yd35%TD

Chris OlaveWR63 rec yd · 5.3 rec5%TD

Travis EtienneRB25 rush yd · 19 rec yd · 2.3 rec17%TD

Jordyn TysonWR37 rec yd · 2.9 rec5%TD

Audric EstiméRB20 rush yd · 17 rec yd · 2.1 rec25%TD

Other receivers19 rec yd · 0.0 rec

DETDetroit Lions60%74%market23.1proj pts——

Jared GoffQB280 pass yd · 1.1 TD · 0.6 INT · 12 rush yd3%TD

Jahmyr GibbsRB59 rush yd · 31 rec yd · 4.0 rec63%TD

Amon-Ra St. BrownWR70 rec yd · 5.8 rec37%TD

Jameson WilliamsWR53 rec yd · 3.3 rec5%TD

Sam LaPortaTE46 rec yd · 4.0 rec10%TD

Other receivers27 rec yd · 0.0 rec

1:00 PM ET45.0our total39.5market

NYJNew York Jets32%43%market19.8proj pts——

Geno SmithQB259 pass yd · 0.8 TD · 1.2 INT · 19 rush yd15%TD

Garrett WilsonWR71 rec yd · 6.1 rec8%TD

Breece HallRB46 rush yd · 22 rec yd · 2.5 rec36%TD

Kenyon SadiqTE40 rec yd · 3.8 rec15%TD

Mason TaylorTE33 rec yd · 3.6 rec13%TD

Other receivers5 rec yd · 0.0 rec

TENTennessee Titans68%57%market26.3proj pts——

Cam WardQB255 pass yd · 1.6 TD · 0.6 INT · 19 rush yd18%TD

Carnell TateWR60 rec yd · 4.8 rec22%TD

Tony PollardRB50 rush yd · 10 rec yd · 1.4 rec30%TD

Wan'Dale RobinsonWR57 rec yd · 5.0 rec26%TD

Michael CarterRB23 rush yd · 12 rec yd · 1.6 rec29%TD

Other receivers6 rec yd · 0.0 rec

1:00 PM ET50.0our total51.5market

TBTampa Bay Buccaneers50%37%market25.5proj pts——

Baker MayfieldQB272 pass yd · 1.2 TD · 0.8 INT · 27 rush yd5%TD

Bucky IrvingRB46 rush yd · 23 rec yd · 2.8 rec50%TD

Emeka EgbukaWR56 rec yd · 3.9 rec24%TD

Kenny GainwellRB22 rush yd · 26 rec yd · 3.8 rec37%TD

Cade OttonTE35 rec yd · 3.5 rec15%TD

Other receivers37 rec yd · 0.0 rec

CINCincinnati Bengals50%63%market25.6proj pts——

Joe BurrowQB280 pass yd · 1.3 TD · 0.8 INT · 15 rush yd7%TD

Chase BrownRB55 rush yd · 25 rec yd · 3.6 rec69%TD

Ja'Marr ChaseWR72 rec yd · 6.2 rec7%TD

Tee HigginsWR48 rec yd · 3.4 rec25%TD

Andrei IosivasWR22 rec yd · 1.7 rec17%TD

Other receivers61 rec yd · 0.0 rec

4:25 PM ET44.0our total46.5market

ARIArizona Cardinals27%18%market18.2proj pts——

Jacoby BrissettQB267 pass yd · 0.5 TD · 0.7 INT · 16 rush yd10%TD

Trey McBrideTE59 rec yd · 5.9 rec15%TD

Jeremiyah LoveRB28 rush yd · 23 rec yd · 3.0 rec26%TD

Michael WilsonWR37 rec yd · 2.9 rec2%TD

Marvin Harrison Jr.WR37 rec yd · 2.6 rec10%TD

Other receivers37 rec yd · 0.0 rec

LACLos Angeles Chargers73%82%market26.6proj pts——

Justin HerbertQB264 pass yd · 0.9 TD · 0.8 INT · 34 rush yd29%TD

Omarion HamptonRB44 rush yd · 21 rec yd · 3.2 rec62%TD

Ladd McConkeyWR48 rec yd · 3.9 rec18%TD

Quentin JohnstonWR47 rec yd · 3.5 rec19%TD

Kimani VidalRB27 rush yd · 10 rec yd · 1.2 rec39%TD

Other receivers55 rec yd · 0.0 rec

4:25 PM ET43.0our total45.0market

GBGreen Bay Packers38%48%market19.5proj pts——

Jordan LoveQB280 pass yd · 0.8 TD · 0.5 INT · 19 rush yd5%TD

Josh JacobsRB40 rush yd · 16 rec yd · 2.1 rec61%TD

Christian WatsonWR54 rec yd · 3.5 rec6%TD

Tucker KraftTE46 rec yd · 3.6 rec17%TD

Drake DabneyTE41 rec yd · 4.1 rec26%TD

Other receivers31 rec yd · 0.0 rec

MINMinnesota Vikings62%52%market23.6proj pts——

Kyler MurrayQB247 pass yd · 1.3 TD · 0.7 INT · 38 rush yd13%TD

Justin JeffersonWR61 rec yd · 4.9 rec33%TD

Aaron JonesRB31 rush yd · 18 rec yd · 2.5 rec19%TD

Jordan MasonRB36 rush yd41%TD

Jordan AddisonWR39 rec yd · 2.8 rec31%TD

Other receivers49 rec yd · 0.0 rec

4:25 PM ET46.0our total40.5market

MIAMiami Dolphins55%36%market24.2proj pts——

Malik WillisQB255 pass yd · 1.0 TD · 0.7 INT · 31 rush yd15%TD

De'Von AchaneRB62 rush yd · 33 rec yd · 4.5 rec46%TD

Greg DulcichTE35 rec yd · 3.0 rec29%TD

Theo Wease Jr.WR31 rec yd · 2.1 rec5%TD

Malik WashingtonWR24 rec yd · 2.7 rec16%TD

Other receivers55 rec yd · 0.0 rec

LVLas Vegas Raiders45%64%market22.6proj pts——

Kirk CousinsQB251 pass yd · 1.0 TD · 0.7 INT · 12 rush yd4%TD

Ashton JeantyRB62 rush yd · 26 rec yd · 3.8 rec70%TD

Brock BowersTE51 rec yd · 4.9 rec31%TD

Tre TuckerWR42 rec yd · 3.4 rec4%TD

Albert OkwuegbunamTE29 rec yd · 3.0 rec10%TD

Other receivers11 rec yd · 0.0 rec

4:25 PM ET51.0our total47.0market

WSHWashington Commanders23%34%market20.8proj pts——

Jayden DanielsQB281 pass yd · 0.8 TD · 0.7 INT · 39 rush yd31%TD

Terry McLaurinWR58 rec yd · 4.0 rec8%TD

Stefon DiggsWR46 rec yd · 3.9 rec10%TD

Rachaad WhiteRB23 rush yd · 14 rec yd · 2.1 rec34%TD

Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB28 rush yd31%TD

Other receivers40 rec yd · 0.0 rec

PHIPhiladelphia Eagles77%66%market31.5proj pts——

Jalen HurtsQB267 pass yd · 1.4 TD · 0.6 INT · 35 rush yd57%TD

Saquon BarkleyRB55 rush yd · 18 rec yd · 2.5 rec63%TD

DeVonta SmithWR54 rec yd · 4.3 rec9%TD

Dallas GoedertTE39 rec yd · 3.9 rec46%TD

Dontayvion WicksWR27 rec yd · 2.3 rec6%TD

Other receivers43 rec yd · 0.0 rec

8:20 PM ET58.0our total48.5market

DALDallas Cowboys35%57%market26.9proj pts——

Dak PrescottQB313 pass yd · 1.2 TD · 0.7 INT · 18 rush yd17%TD

George PickensWR75 rec yd · 5.1 rec18%TD

CeeDee LambWR69 rec yd · 4.9 rec10%TD

Javonte WilliamsRB50 rush yd · 12 rec yd · 2.1 rec66%TD

Phil MafahRB12 rush yd · 16 rec yd · 2.1 rec31%TD

Other receivers58 rec yd · 0.0 rec

NYGNew York Giants65%43%market32.4proj pts——

Jaxson DartQB269 pass yd · 1.5 TD · 0.7 INT · 39 rush yd47%TD

Malik NabersWR68 rec yd · 5.0 rec38%TD

Cam SkatteboRB38 rush yd · 24 rec yd · 3.0 rec65%TD

Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB35 rush yd · 18 rec yd · 2.3 rec9%TD

Theo JohnsonTE36 rec yd · 3.2 rec24%TD

Other receivers10 rec yd · 0.0 rec

Monday, September 14

8:15 PM ET40.0our total42.5market

DENDenver Broncos51%42%market20.6proj pts——

Bo NixQB267 pass yd · 0.9 TD · 0.7 INT · 27 rush yd12%TD

Jaylen WaddleWR53 rec yd · 3.8 rec15%TD

J.K. DobbinsRB46 rush yd · 6 rec yd · 1.0 rec25%TD

Troy FranklinWR46 rec yd · 4.0 rec27%TD

RJ HarveyRB21 rush yd · 19 rec yd · 2.5 rec40%TD

Other receivers26 rec yd · 0.0 rec

KCKansas City Chiefs49%58%market20.2proj pts——

Patrick MahomesQB265 pass yd · 1.0 TD · 0.8 INT · 34 rush yd14%TD

Kenneth Walker IIIRB43 rush yd · 19 rec yd · 2.2 rec43%TD

Rashee RiceWR60 rec yd · 5.3 rec42%TD

Xavier WorthyWR41 rec yd · 3.3 rec2%TD

Travis KelceTE43 rec yd · 3.9 rec10%TD

Other receivers46 rec yd · 0.0 rec

Projected points, spread and win probability come from a drive-level Monte Carlo built on play-by-play, snap counts and depth charts. Player lines are the same simulation read a different way. Model nfl-sim-1/19of20. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).