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Every play our model likes more than the book does, across every sport, in one table. Beside each one: how plays like it have actually done. Sort it, filter it, tag what you like and cast it as a slip.

240plays today112strong0–1graded so far102final · awaiting grade
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  1. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGFilip Chytil · Shots on goal · DET at VANWizLine52% · 1.6 SOGBook35% +165betmgm+17.5%strong54% on 450 plays since Oct 2 · −1.8% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)1st · 14:43—
  2. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGLeon Draisaitl · Shots on goal · CAR at EDMWizLine61% · 2.3 SOGBook45% +110draftkings+15.7%strong54% on 450 plays since Oct 2 · −1.8% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)2nd · 14:14—
  3. NHLSTL under 3.5St. Louis Blues · Team total · VGK at STLWizLine69%Book56% −190williamhill us+13.2%strongUnmeasured bar · 45% on 86 plays since Oct 2 · −21.3% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)3rd · 10:14—
  4. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGErik Karlsson · Shots on goal · FLA at PITWizLine69% · 1.9 SOGBook57% −155draftkings+12.6%strong54% on 450 plays since Oct 2 · −1.8% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 0-4—
  5. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGColton Parayko · Shots on goal · VGK at STLWizLine66% · 1.2 SOGBook54% −140draftkings+12.6%strong54% on 450 plays since Oct 2 · −1.8% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)3rd · 10:14—
  6. NHLFLA under 3.5Florida Panthers · Team total · FLA at PITWizLine65%Book53% −136williamhill us+11.4%strongUnmeasured bar · 45% on 86 plays since Oct 2 · −21.3% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 0-4—
  7. NHLOver 1.5 SOGMavrik Bourque · Shots on goal · NSH at BOSWizLine60% · 2.1 SOGBook48% −104fanduel+11.4%strong54% on 450 plays since Oct 2 · −1.8% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 0-6—
  8. NHLPIT MLPittsburgh Penguins · Moneyline · FLA at PITWizLine60%Book49% −105betmgm+10.6%strongUnmeasured bar · 30% on 37 plays since Oct 2 · −31.5% ROI · worse than backing the home side (57%)Final 0-4—
  9. NHLSJS under 3San Jose Sharks · Team total · SJS at OTTWizLine58%Book48% −182williamhill us+10.2%strongUnmeasured bar · 45% on 86 plays since Oct 2 · −21.3% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 6-2—
  10. NBAUnder 29.5 praEvan Mobley · PRA · CLE at PHIWizLine28.2Book29.5+10.0%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 106-114—
  11. NBAOver 7.5 rebChet Holmgren · Rebounds · DEN at OKCWizLine8.7Book7.5 −1541 book+10.0%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Q1 0.0 · 27-24—
  12. NBAOver 22.5 prChet Holmgren · PR · DEN at OKCWizLine24.4Book22.5 −1182 books+10.0%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Q1 0.0 · 27-24—
  13. NHLOver 2.5 SOGDylan Larkin · Shots on goal · DET at VANWizLine61% · 3.3 SOGBook51% −140betmgm+9.9%strong54% on 450 plays since Oct 2 · −1.8% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)1st · 14:43—
  14. NBAUnder 8.5 ptsCason Wallace · Points · DEN at OKCWizLine8.2Book8.5+9.9%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Q1 0.0 · 27-24—
  15. NBAOver 15.5 paAaron Gordon · PA · DEN at OKCWizLine16.3Book15.5 −1181 book+9.9%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Q1 0.0 · 27-24—
  16. NHLOver 1.5 SOGAndrew Copp · Shots on goal · DET at VANWizLine56% · 1.9 SOGBook46% +105draftkings+9.8%strong54% on 450 plays since Oct 2 · −1.8% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)1st · 14:43—
  17. NBAOver 1.5 3pVJ Edgecombe · Threes Made · CLE at PHIWizLine1.9Book1.5 +1234 books+9.7%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 106-114—
  18. NHLOver 1.5 SOGRyan O'Reilly · Shots on goal · NSH at BOSWizLine64% · 2.2 SOGBook54% −132fanduel+9.6%strong54% on 450 plays since Oct 2 · −1.8% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 0-6—
  19. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGAndrew Peeke · Shots on goal · UTA at SEAWizLine75% · 1.0 SOGBook65% −225draftkings+9.6%strong54% on 450 plays since Oct 2 · −1.8% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)1st · 16:22—
  20. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGJake Sanderson · Shots on goal · SJS at OTTWizLine70% · 1.9 SOGBook60% −180draftkings+9.5%strong54% on 450 plays since Oct 2 · −1.8% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 6-2—
  21. NBAJoel Embiid Double Double — NoJoel Embiid · Double Double · CLE at PHIWizLine29.2%Book38.7%+9.5%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 106-114—
  22. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGTommy Novak · Shots on goal · FLA at PITWizLine54% · 1.6 SOGBook44% +110betmgm+9.4%strong54% on 450 plays since Oct 2 · −1.8% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 0-4—
  23. NBAUnder 23.5 paJalen Williams · PA · DEN at OKCWizLine21.2Book23.5+9.3%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Q1 0.0 · 27-24—
  24. NHLVGK under 3.5Vegas Golden Knights · Team total · VGK at STLWizLine60%Book51% −152fanduel+9.1%strongUnmeasured bar · 45% on 86 plays since Oct 2 · −21.3% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)3rd · 10:14—
  25. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGMason McTavish · Shots on goal · VGK at STLWizLine69% · 1.9 SOGBook60% −180draftkings+9.1%strong54% on 450 plays since Oct 2 · −1.8% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)3rd · 10:14—
  26. NBAOver 12.5 ptsDeMar DeRozan · Points · DEN at OKCWizLine14.9Book12.5 −1214 books+9.1%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Q1 0.0 · 27-24—
  27. NBAUnder 0.5 blkNikola Jokic · Blocks · DEN at OKCWizLine0.8Book0.5+9.0%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Q1 0.0 · 27-24—
  28. NBAUnder 0.5 3pJalen Williams · Threes Made · DEN at OKCWizLine0.8Book0.5+9.0%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Q1 0.0 · 27-24—
  29. NBAOver 15.5 prVJ Edgecombe · PR · CLE at PHIWizLine19.0Book15.5 −1242 books+9.0%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 106-114—
  30. NBAUnder 16.5 praChristian Braun · PRA · DEN at OKCWizLine16.4Book16.5+9.0%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Q1 0.0 · 27-24—
  31. NBAOver 1.5 3pSam Merrill · Threes Made · CLE at PHIWizLine2.7Book1.5 −1862 books+8.9%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 106-114—
  32. NHLPIT +1.5Pittsburgh Penguins · Puck line · FLA at PITWizLine77%Book68% −250betmgm+8.9%strongUnmeasured bar · 47% on 34 plays since Oct 2 · −24.3% ROIFinal 0-4—
  33. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGPhilip Broberg · Shots on goal · VGK at STLWizLine65% · 1.2 SOGBook56% −145draftkings+8.8%strong54% on 450 plays since Oct 2 · −1.8% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)3rd · 10:14—
  34. NBAOver 14.5 ptsLeBron James · Points · CLE at PHIWizLine16.1Book14.5 −1301 book+8.8%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 106-114—
  35. NBAOver 10.5 paIsaiah Hartenstein · PA · DEN at OKCWizLine12.0Book10.5 −1181 book+8.8%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Q1 0.0 · 27-24—
  36. NBAOver 27.5 paTyrese Maxey · PA · CLE at PHIWizLine28.8Book27.5 −1251 book+8.8%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 106-114—
  37. NBAUnder 7.5 astLeBron James · Assists · CLE at PHIWizLine7.0Book7.5+8.8%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 106-114—
  38. NBAUnder 24.5 ptsNikola Jokic · Points · DEN at OKCWizLine23.2Book24.5+8.6%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Q1 0.0 · 27-24—
  39. NBAUnder 8.5 paAlex Caruso · PA · DEN at OKCWizLine9.0Book8.5+8.6%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Q1 0.0 · 27-24—
  40. NBAOver 15.5 paChet Holmgren · PA · DEN at OKCWizLine17.2Book15.5 −1271 book+8.6%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Q1 0.0 · 27-24—
  41. NBAEvan Mobley Double Double — NoEvan Mobley · Double Double · CLE at PHIWizLine34.9%Book43.4%+8.6%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 106-114—
  42. NBAOver 17.5 ptsJames Harden · Points · CLE at PHIWizLine20.2Book17.5 −1273 books+8.6%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 106-114—
  43. NBAUnder 1.5 3pCason Wallace · Threes Made · DEN at OKCWizLine1.4Book1.5+8.5%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Q1 0.0 · 27-24—
  44. NBAOver 6.5 raPeyton Watson · RA · CLE at PHIWizLine7.0Book6.5 −1041 book+8.5%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 106-114—
  45. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGKyle Palmieri · Shots on goal · LAK at NYIWizLine69% · 2.0 SOGBook61% −180draftkings+8.4%strong54% on 450 plays since Oct 2 · −1.8% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)OT · 04:33—
  46. NBAOver 5.5 raAjay Mitchell · RA · DEN at OKCWizLine7.3Book5.5 −1482 books+8.3%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Q1 0.0 · 27-24—
  47. NBAUnder 14.5 paPeyton Watson · PA · CLE at PHIWizLine14.1Book14.5+8.2%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 106-114—
  48. NBAUnder 2.5 bsShai Gilgeous-Alexander · Blocks + Steals · DEN at OKCWizLine2.2Book2.5+8.1%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Q1 0.0 · 27-24—
  49. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGTyler Seguin · Shots on goal · WPG at DALWizLine56% · 1.5 SOGBook48% +105draftkings+8.1%strong54% on 450 plays since Oct 2 · −1.8% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)3rd · 10:14—
  50. NBAUnder 13.5 praCason Wallace · PRA · DEN at OKCWizLine14.1Book13.5+8.0%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Q1 0.0 · 27-24—

How to read it

Every row is one play our model likes more than the book does. The WizLine is our number, Book is theirs with the best price we found, and the WizEdge is the gap between them. Gold rows are the biggest gaps for that market. The bar a play has to clear is set per sport and market, because a 1.5-strikeout gap in baseball and a four-point lean in soccer aren't the same thing, and “Elite” is just a filter for the very biggest ones.

Track record is the honest column. It's how plays like this one have actually done — hit rate, how many, since when, and whether that beats the dumbest possible rule, like betting every over. Some rows say we haven't measured that yet, or that plays like this have run worse than the blind rule. We show those anyway and say so, rather than hide them. “Has a track record” hides the unmeasured ones with one tap.

Two markets never appear: NBA game totals and team totals. We've graded them and lost, so they stay on their own board under a caveat. The graded so far tile counts only plays a sport has actually graded; a finished game whose grader hasn't run yet sits under awaiting grade.

Sports on this build: NFL · CFB · NBA · NHL · MLB · Soccer · Golf · UFC. Boards: Plays of the Day · MLB leans · NFL · NHL · NBA · SlipCast.