MatchWiz

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Every play our model likes more than the book does, across every sport, in one table. Beside each one: how plays like it have actually done. Sort it, filter it, tag what you like and cast it as a slip.

74plays today35strong28–34–8graded so far4final · awaiting grade
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  1. CFBRMU +27.5Robert Morris Colonials · SpreadRMU at BUFWizLine−1.0Book+27.5 −115+11.1 ptsleanNo track record yet for plays like this.Final 28-31awaiting grade—
  2. CFBBUF under 37.5Buffalo Bulls · Team totalRMU at BUFWizLine17.0Book37.5 −108+10.7 ptsleanNo track record yet for plays like this.Final 28-31awaiting grade—
  3. CFBRMU MLRobert Morris Colonials · MoneylineRMU at BUFWizLine53%Book6% +1400+46.3%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 28-31✗—
  4. CFBGWEB MLGardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs · MoneylineGWEB at MRSHWizLine51%Book8% +1100+43.0%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 35-36✗—
  5. CFBUnder 58.5NCCU at ECU · Game totalNCCU at ECUWizLine37.0Book58.5 −114+13.3 ptsleanNo track record yet for plays like this.Final 9-42awaiting grade—
  6. CFBUnder 63.5BUCK at PITT · Game totalBUCK at PITTWizLine43.0Book63.5 −112+10.1 ptsleanNo track record yet for plays like this.Final 0-59awaiting grade—
  7. CFBTOL −2.5Toledo Rockets · SpreadSDSU at TOLWizLine−14.5Book−2.5 −118+13.4 ptsleanNo track record yet for plays like this.Final 16-41✓—
  8. CFBTOL MLToledo Rockets · MoneylineSDSU at TOLWizLine86%Book56% −142+29.7%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 16-41✓—
  9. UFCUFC Fight NightMelissa Amaya to winMelissa Amaya · MoneylineMelissa Amaya vs Valesca Machado · UFC Fight NightWizLine60%Book35% +185betmgm+25.7%strongUnmeasured bar · 60% on 1901 plays since Jul 12 · worse than backing every favourite (63%)Final · KO/TKO✗—
  10. CFBND −27.5Notre Dame Fighting Irish · SpreadND at PURWizLine−20.0Book−27.5 −110+10.2 ptsleanNo track record yet for plays like this.Final 49-10✓—
  11. SoccerMLSAntoine Griezmann 2+ Shots on TargetAntoine Griezmann · Shots on TargetPhiladelphia Union v Orlando City SC · MLSWizLine44.6%Book30.3% +230fanduel+14.3%strong19% on 1633 plays · −39.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 4–2✗—
  12. UFCUFC Fight NightRaul Rosas Jr. to winRaul Rosas Jr. · MoneylineRaul Rosas Jr. vs Raoni Barcelos · UFC Fight NightWizLine72%Book58% −148draftkings+14.0%strongUnmeasured bar · 60% on 1901 plays since Jul 12 · worse than backing every favourite (63%)Final · KO/TKO✓—
  13. MLBYRFICOL at CWS · 1st inning · NRFICOL at CWSWizLine62%Book48% −105+13.8%strongNo track record yet for plays like this.1st: 3 R✓—
  14. CFBWYO MLWyoming Cowboys · MoneylineHAW at WYOWizLine60%Book46% +105+13.6%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 10-27✓—
  15. UFCUFC Fight NightBrady Hiestand to winBrady Hiestand · MoneylineBrady Hiestand vs Rinya Nakamura · UFC Fight NightWizLine38%Book25% +300draftkings+13.2%strongUnmeasured bar · 60% on 1901 plays since Jul 12 · worse than backing every favourite (63%)Final · Submission✓—
  16. CFBUCF MLUCF Knights · MoneylineTCU at UCFWizLine53%Book40% +138+13.1%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 13-21✓—
  17. SoccerMLSOscar Verhoeven 1+ ShotsOscar Verhoeven · ShotsAustin FC v San Diego FC · MLSWizLine39.8%Book27.0% +270fanduel+12.8%strong19% on 1633 plays · −39.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 3–3✗—
  18. MLBWSH MLWashington Nationals · MoneylineNYM at WSHWizLine62%Book50% −110+12.1%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 7-1✗—
  19. SoccerMLSPeyton Miller 1+ GoalsPeyton Miller · Anytime ScorerReal Salt Lake v New England Revolution · MLSWizLine33.0%Book21.1% +375betmgm+11.9%strong19% on 1633 plays · −39.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 3–0=—
  20. SoccerMLSKévin Denkey 1+ GoalsKévin Denkey · Anytime ScorerCF Montréal v FC Cincinnati · MLSWizLine55.3%Book43.5% +130betmgm+11.8%strong19% on 1633 plays · −39.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 3–1=—
  21. UFCUFC Fight NightIlimbek Akylbek Uulu to winIlimbek Akylbek Uulu · MoneylineMehemmedeli Osmanli vs Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu · UFC Fight NightWizLine40%Book28% +240williamhill us+11.5%strongUnmeasured bar · 60% on 1901 plays since Jul 12 · worse than backing every favourite (63%)Final · DQ✓—
  22. SoccerMLSAntoine Griezmann 3+ ShotsAntoine Griezmann · ShotsPhiladelphia Union v Orlando City SC · MLSWizLine60.2%Book48.8% +105fanduel+11.5%strong19% on 1633 plays · −39.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 4–2✓—
  23. SoccerMLSKelvin Yeboah 1+ GoalsKelvin Yeboah · Anytime ScorerSeattle Sounders FC v Minnesota United FC · MLSWizLine47.5%Book36.4% +195draftkings+11.1%strong19% on 1633 plays · −39.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 3–1✗—
  24. SoccerMLSAntoine Griezmann 1+ GoalsAntoine Griezmann · Anytime ScorerPhiladelphia Union v Orlando City SC · MLSWizLine47.4%Book36.4% +188betmgm+11.0%strong19% on 1633 plays · −39.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 4–2✗—
  25. SoccerMLSAntoine Griezmann 4+ ShotsAntoine Griezmann · ShotsPhiladelphia Union v Orlando City SC · MLSWizLine37.9%Book27.0% +270fanduel+10.8%strong19% on 1633 plays · −39.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 4–2✗—
  26. SoccerMLSOscar Verhoeven 1+ Shots on TargetOscar Verhoeven · Shots on TargetAustin FC v San Diego FC · MLSWizLine20.8%Book10.0% +900fanduel+10.8%strong19% on 1633 plays · −39.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 3–3✗—
  27. CFBOKST MLOklahoma State Cowboys · MoneylineOKST at WVUWizLine57%Book46% +105+10.8%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 41-24✓—
  28. CFBTROY MLTroy Trojans · MoneylineTROY at USUWizLine54%Book43% +122+10.7%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 10-21✗—
  29. SoccerMLSOver 2.5 goalsFC Dallas · Over/Under 2.5FC Dallas v LAFC · MLSWizLine60.3%Book50.2%+10.1%strong41% on 108 plays since Feb 21 · −22.5% ROI · no better than betting every over (54%)FT 1–0✗—
  30. SoccerMLSRyan Hollingshead 1+ GoalsRyan Hollingshead · Anytime ScorerFC Dallas v LAFC · MLSWizLine13.6%Book3.9% +2700fanduel+9.7%strong19% on 1633 plays · −39.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 1–0✗—
  31. SoccerMLSAndrew Privett 1+ ShotsAndrew Privett · ShotsCharlotte FC v Chicago Fire FC · MLSWizLine40.7%Book31.3% +220fanduel+9.4%strong19% on 1633 plays · −39.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 0–1=—
  32. SoccerMLSAntoine Griezmann 3+ Shots on TargetAntoine Griezmann · Shots on TargetPhiladelphia Union v Orlando City SC · MLSWizLine19.4%Book10.0% +900fanduel+9.4%strong19% on 1633 plays · −39.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 4–2✗—
  33. SoccerMLSRyan Hollingshead 2+ ShotsRyan Hollingshead · ShotsFC Dallas v LAFC · MLSWizLine30.5%Book21.3% +370fanduel+9.3%strong19% on 1633 plays · −39.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 1–0✗—
  34. SoccerMLSAntoine Griezmann 1+ Shots on TargetAntoine Griezmann · Shots on TargetPhiladelphia Union v Orlando City SC · MLSWizLine77.9%Book68.8% −220fanduel+9.2%strong19% on 1633 plays · −39.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 4–2✗—
  35. CFBOver 59.0MISS at FLA · Game totalMISS at FLAWizLine63.0Book59.0 −110+12.4 ptsleanNo track record yet for plays like this.Final 28-52✓—
  36. SoccerMLSBoth teams to score — YesVancouver Whitecaps · Both teams to scoreVancouver Whitecaps v D.C. United · MLSWizLine61.2%Book52.1%+9.0%strong38% on 64 plays since Aug 21 · −26.8% ROI · no better than betting yes every time (65%)FT 3–3✓—
  37. CFBOver 54.0ILL at OSU · Game totalILL at OSUWizLine58.0Book54.0 −110+10.1 ptsleanNo track record yet for plays like this.Final 19-42✓—
  38. SoccerMLSAntoine Griezmann 2+ ShotsAntoine Griezmann · ShotsPhiladelphia Union v Orlando City SC · MLSWizLine81.8%Book73.7% −280fanduel+8.1%strong19% on 1633 plays · −39.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 4–2✓—
  39. SoccerMLSRyan Hollingshead 1+ ShotsRyan Hollingshead · ShotsFC Dallas v LAFC · MLSWizLine67.1%Book59.2% −145fanduel+7.9%lean18% on 2589 plays · −42.8% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 1–0✗—
  40. SoccerMLSNew England Revolution to winNew England Revolution · Match resultReal Salt Lake v New England Revolution · MLSWizLine38.7%Book30.8%+7.9%lean34% on 101 plays since Feb 22 · −16.5% ROI · worse than backing the home side (44%)FT 3–0✗—
  41. SoccerMLSOwen Gene 1+ ShotsOwen Gene · ShotsSeattle Sounders FC v Minnesota United FC · MLSWizLine42.9%Book35.1% +185fanduel+7.8%lean18% on 2589 plays · −42.8% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 3–1✗—
  42. CFBNEB MLNebraska Cornhuskers · MoneylineNEB at MSUWizLine74%Book67% −230+7.6%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 31-13✓—
  43. CFBFLA MLFlorida Gators · MoneylineMISS at FLAWizLine69%Book61% −178+7.5%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 28-52✓—
  44. SoccerMLS1H Under 1.5Nashville SC · 1st-half totalNashville SC v Toronto FC · MLSWizLine63.3%Book56.1%+7.2%lean66% on 50 plays since Sep 14 · +5.4% ROI · beats betting every over (37%)FT 2–0✗—
  45. SoccerMLSAntoine Griezmann 5+ ShotsAntoine Griezmann · ShotsPhiladelphia Union v Orlando City SC · MLSWizLine20.5%Book13.3% +650fanduel+7.1%lean18% on 2589 plays · −42.8% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 4–2✗—
  46. SoccerMLSTaylor Calheira 1+ GoalsTaylor Calheira · Anytime ScorerHouston Dynamo FC v Sporting Kansas City · MLSWizLine30.4%Book23.3% +340draftkings+7.1%lean18% on 2589 plays · −42.8% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 0–2✗—
  47. CFBKENT MLKent State Golden Flashes · MoneylineBALL at KENTWizLine62%Book55% −135+6.8%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 13-26✓—
  48. SoccerMLSCF Montréal to winCF Montréal · Match resultCF Montréal v FC Cincinnati · MLSWizLine41.3%Book34.6%+6.7%lean34% on 101 plays since Feb 22 · −16.5% ROI · worse than backing the home side (44%)FT 3–1✓—
  49. UFCUFC Fight NightElves Brener to winElves Brener · MoneylineElves Brener vs Josiah Harrell · UFC Fight NightWizLine54%Book48% +102draftkings+6.7%strongUnmeasured bar · 60% on 1901 plays since Jul 12 · worse than backing every favourite (63%)Final · KO/TKO✓—
  50. CFBUL MLLouisiana Ragin' Cajuns · MoneylineUL at CLTWizLine83%Book76% −400+6.6%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 34-7✓—

How to read it

Every row is one play our model likes more than the book does. The WizLine is our number, Book is theirs with the best price we found, and the WizEdge is the gap between them. Gold rows are the biggest gaps for that market. The bar a play has to clear is set per sport and market, because a 1.5-strikeout gap in baseball and a four-point lean in soccer aren't the same thing, and “Elite” is just a filter for the very biggest ones.

Track record is the honest column. It's how plays like this one have actually done — hit rate, how many, since when, and whether that beats the dumbest possible rule, like betting every over. Some rows say we haven't measured that yet, or that plays like this have run worse than the blind rule. We show those anyway and say so, rather than hide them. “Has a track record” hides the unmeasured ones with one tap.

Two markets never appear: NBA game totals and team totals. We've graded them and lost, so they stay on their own board under a caveat. The graded so far tile counts only plays a sport has actually graded; a finished game whose grader hasn't run yet sits under awaiting grade.

Sports on this build: NFL · CFB · NBA · NHL · MLB · Soccer · Golf · UFC. Boards: Plays of the Day · MLB leans · NFL · NHL · NBA · SlipCast.