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Every play our model likes more than the book does, across every sport, in one table. Beside each one: how plays like it have actually done. Sort it, filter it, tag what you like and cast it as a slip.

240plays today112strong123–101graded so far16final · awaiting grade
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  1. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGFilip Chytil · Shots on goalDET at VANWizLine52% · 1.6 SOGBook35% +165betmgm+17.5%strong54% on 465 plays since Oct 2 · −2.2% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 5-2✓—
  2. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGLeon Draisaitl · Shots on goalCAR at EDMWizLine61% · 2.3 SOGBook45% +110draftkings+15.7%strong54% on 465 plays since Oct 2 · −2.2% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/SO 5-6✗—
  3. NHLSTL under 3.5St. Louis Blues · Team totalVGK at STLWizLine69%Book56% −190williamhill us+13.2%strongUnmeasured bar · 46% on 91 plays since Oct 2 · −19.2% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 2-6✗—
  4. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGErik Karlsson · Shots on goalFLA at PITWizLine69% · 1.9 SOGBook57% −155draftkings+12.6%strong54% on 465 plays since Oct 2 · −2.2% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 0-4✗—
  5. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGColton Parayko · Shots on goalVGK at STLWizLine66% · 1.2 SOGBook54% −140draftkings+12.6%strong54% on 465 plays since Oct 2 · −2.2% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-6✗—
  6. NHLFLA under 3.5Florida Panthers · Team totalFLA at PITWizLine65%Book53% −136williamhill us+11.4%strongUnmeasured bar · 46% on 91 plays since Oct 2 · −19.2% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 0-4✓—
  7. NHLOver 1.5 SOGMavrik Bourque · Shots on goalNSH at BOSWizLine60% · 2.1 SOGBook48% −104fanduel+11.4%strong54% on 465 plays since Oct 2 · −2.2% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 0-6✓—
  8. NHLPIT MLPittsburgh Penguins · MoneylineFLA at PITWizLine60%Book49% −105betmgm+10.6%strongUnmeasured bar · 32% on 38 plays since Oct 2 · −28.2% ROI · worse than backing the home side (57%)Final 0-4✓—
  9. NHLSJS under 3San Jose Sharks · Team totalSJS at OTTWizLine58%Book48% −182williamhill us+10.2%strongUnmeasured bar · 46% on 91 plays since Oct 2 · −19.2% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 6-2✗—
  10. NBAUnder 29.5 praEvan Mobley · PRACLE at PHIWizLine28.2Book29.5+10.0%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 106-114✓—
  11. NBAOver 7.5 rebChet Holmgren · ReboundsDEN at OKCWizLine8.7Book7.5 −1541 book+10.0%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 84-96✓—
  12. NBAOver 22.5 prChet Holmgren · PRDEN at OKCWizLine24.4Book22.5 −1182 books+10.0%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 84-96✓—
  13. NHLOver 2.5 SOGDylan Larkin · Shots on goalDET at VANWizLine61% · 3.3 SOGBook51% −140betmgm+9.9%strong54% on 465 plays since Oct 2 · −2.2% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 5-2✗—
  14. NBAUnder 8.5 ptsCason Wallace · PointsDEN at OKCWizLine8.2Book8.5+9.9%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 84-96✗—
  15. NBAOver 15.5 paAaron Gordon · PADEN at OKCWizLine16.3Book15.5 −1181 book+9.9%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 84-96✓—
  16. NHLOver 1.5 SOGAndrew Copp · Shots on goalDET at VANWizLine56% · 1.9 SOGBook46% +105draftkings+9.8%strong54% on 465 plays since Oct 2 · −2.2% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 5-2✗—
  17. NBAOver 1.5 3pVJ Edgecombe · Threes MadeCLE at PHIWizLine1.9Book1.5 +1234 books+9.7%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 106-114✗—
  18. NHLOver 1.5 SOGRyan O'Reilly · Shots on goalNSH at BOSWizLine64% · 2.2 SOGBook54% −132fanduel+9.6%strong54% on 465 plays since Oct 2 · −2.2% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 0-6✗—
  19. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGAndrew Peeke · Shots on goalUTA at SEAWizLine75% · 1.0 SOGBook65% −225draftkings+9.6%strong54% on 465 plays since Oct 2 · −2.2% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-5✓—
  20. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGJake Sanderson · Shots on goalSJS at OTTWizLine70% · 1.9 SOGBook60% −180draftkings+9.5%strong54% on 465 plays since Oct 2 · −2.2% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 6-2✓—
  21. NBAJoel Embiid Double Double — NoJoel Embiid · Double DoubleCLE at PHIWizLine29.2%Book38.7%+9.5%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 106-114✓—
  22. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGTommy Novak · Shots on goalFLA at PITWizLine54% · 1.6 SOGBook44% +110betmgm+9.4%strong54% on 465 plays since Oct 2 · −2.2% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 0-4✓—
  23. NBAUnder 23.5 paJalen Williams · PADEN at OKCWizLine21.2Book23.5+9.3%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 84-96✗—
  24. NHLVGK under 3.5Vegas Golden Knights · Team totalVGK at STLWizLine60%Book51% −152fanduel+9.1%strongUnmeasured bar · 46% on 91 plays since Oct 2 · −19.2% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 2-6✓—
  25. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGMason McTavish · Shots on goalVGK at STLWizLine69% · 1.9 SOGBook60% −180draftkings+9.1%strong54% on 465 plays since Oct 2 · −2.2% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-6✓—
  26. NBAOver 12.5 ptsDeMar DeRozan · PointsDEN at OKCWizLine14.9Book12.5 −1214 books+9.1%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 84-96✓—
  27. NBAUnder 0.5 blkNikola Jokic · BlocksDEN at OKCWizLine0.8Book0.5+9.0%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 84-96✗—
  28. NBAUnder 0.5 3pJalen Williams · Threes MadeDEN at OKCWizLine0.8Book0.5+9.0%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 84-96✗—
  29. NBAOver 15.5 prVJ Edgecombe · PRCLE at PHIWizLine19.0Book15.5 −1242 books+9.0%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 106-114✓—
  30. NBAUnder 16.5 praChristian Braun · PRADEN at OKCWizLine16.4Book16.5+9.0%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 84-96✓—
  31. NBAOver 1.5 3pSam Merrill · Threes MadeCLE at PHIWizLine2.7Book1.5 −1862 books+8.9%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 106-114✗—
  32. NHLPIT +1.5Pittsburgh Penguins · Puck lineFLA at PITWizLine77%Book68% −250betmgm+8.9%strongUnmeasured bar · 50% on 36 plays since Oct 2 · −16.3% ROIFinal 0-4✓—
  33. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGPhilip Broberg · Shots on goalVGK at STLWizLine65% · 1.2 SOGBook56% −145draftkings+8.8%strong54% on 465 plays since Oct 2 · −2.2% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-6✗—
  34. NBAOver 14.5 ptsLeBron James · PointsCLE at PHIWizLine16.1Book14.5 −1301 book+8.8%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 106-114✓—
  35. NBAOver 10.5 paIsaiah Hartenstein · PADEN at OKCWizLine12.0Book10.5 −1181 book+8.8%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 84-96✗—
  36. NBAOver 27.5 paTyrese Maxey · PACLE at PHIWizLine28.8Book27.5 −1251 book+8.8%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 106-114✓—
  37. NBAUnder 7.5 astLeBron James · AssistsCLE at PHIWizLine7.0Book7.5+8.8%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 106-114✓—
  38. NBAUnder 24.5 ptsNikola Jokic · PointsDEN at OKCWizLine23.2Book24.5+8.6%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 84-96✓—
  39. NBAUnder 8.5 paAlex Caruso · PADEN at OKCWizLine9.0Book8.5+8.6%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 84-96✗—
  40. NBAOver 15.5 paChet Holmgren · PADEN at OKCWizLine17.2Book15.5 −1271 book+8.6%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 84-96✗—
  41. NBAEvan Mobley Double Double — NoEvan Mobley · Double DoubleCLE at PHIWizLine34.9%Book43.4%+8.6%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 106-114✓—
  42. NBAOver 17.5 ptsJames Harden · PointsCLE at PHIWizLine20.2Book17.5 −1273 books+8.6%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 106-114✗—
  43. NBAUnder 1.5 3pCason Wallace · Threes MadeDEN at OKCWizLine1.4Book1.5+8.5%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 84-96✗—
  44. NBAOver 6.5 raPeyton Watson · RACLE at PHIWizLine7.0Book6.5 −1041 book+8.5%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 106-114✗—
  45. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGKyle Palmieri · Shots on goalLAK at NYIWizLine69% · 2.0 SOGBook61% −180draftkings+8.4%strong54% on 465 plays since Oct 2 · −2.2% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 3-2✓—
  46. NBAOver 5.5 raAjay Mitchell · RADEN at OKCWizLine7.3Book5.5 −1482 books+8.3%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 84-96✗—
  47. NBAUnder 14.5 paPeyton Watson · PACLE at PHIWizLine14.1Book14.5+8.2%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 106-114✓—
  48. NBAUnder 2.5 bsShai Gilgeous-Alexander · Blocks + StealsDEN at OKCWizLine2.2Book2.5+8.1%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 84-96✓—
  49. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGTyler Seguin · Shots on goalWPG at DALWizLine56% · 1.5 SOGBook48% +105draftkings+8.1%strong54% on 465 plays since Oct 2 · −2.2% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 2-3✗—
  50. NBAUnder 13.5 praCason Wallace · PRADEN at OKCWizLine14.1Book13.5+8.0%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 84-96✓—

How to read it

Every row is one play our model likes more than the book does. The WizLine is our number, Book is theirs with the best price we found, and the WizEdge is the gap between them. Gold rows are the biggest gaps for that market. The bar a play has to clear is set per sport and market, because a 1.5-strikeout gap in baseball and a four-point lean in soccer aren't the same thing, and “Elite” is just a filter for the very biggest ones.

Track record is the honest column. It's how plays like this one have actually done — hit rate, how many, since when, and whether that beats the dumbest possible rule, like betting every over. Some rows say we haven't measured that yet, or that plays like this have run worse than the blind rule. We show those anyway and say so, rather than hide them. “Has a track record” hides the unmeasured ones with one tap.

Two markets never appear: NBA game totals and team totals. We've graded them and lost, so they stay on their own board under a caveat. The graded so far tile counts only plays a sport has actually graded; a finished game whose grader hasn't run yet sits under awaiting grade.

Sports on this build: NFL · CFB · NBA · NHL · MLB · Soccer · Golf · UFC. Boards: Plays of the Day · MLB leans · NFL · NHL · NBA · SlipCast.