Best MLB Doubles Matchups — Saturday, October 17, 2026
Top doubles spot: Jonathan Aranda
Jonathan Aranda (TB) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Shawn Armstrong. The lefty is driving the ball at .044 2B/PA against righties this year — and .500 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a double in about 5% of his trips. And Shawn Armstrong has been thin against righties lately. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .000 in 2 career PA against Shawn Armstrong, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Chase DeLauter (CLE) (93) vs RHP Nick Martinez: a strong bat at .049 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.222).
- Liam Hicks (TB) (88) vs RHP Shawn Armstrong: an excellent bat at .058 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- José Ramírez (CLE) (79) vs RHP Nick Martinez: a solid bat at .043 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.222).
- Steven Kwan (CLE) (71) vs RHP Nick Martinez: a league-average bat at .039 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.222).
- Travis Bazzana (CLE) (65) vs RHP Nick Martinez: a strong bat at .053 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.222).
- Nathaniel Lowe (CLE) (60) vs RHP Nick Martinez: a solid bat at .048 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.222).
- Jo Adell (CLE) (56) vs RHP Nick Martinez: a solid bat at .042 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.286).
Platoon edges to target
- Jonathan Aranda (TB) — lefty bat vs RHP, .044 against righties this year.
- Chase DeLauter (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .050 against righties this year.
- Liam Hicks (TB) — lefty bat vs RHP, .034 against righties this year.
- José Ramírez (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .042 against righties this year.
- Steven Kwan (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .037 against righties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Petey Halpin (CLE) and Jonny DeLuca (TB).
How it played out
0 of the top 10 doubles matchups landed at least one double. Top play Jonathan Aranda finished with 0 doubles. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these doubles matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's doubles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.