MatchWiz

Best MLB walks allowed matchupsSunday, July 26, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Sunday, July 26, 2026 slate — ranked by walk risk against today's lineup. Tap any card for the full breakdown.

PROJ30 on a projected lineup — updates ~2h before first pitch
#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher walks Rate5.1% BB / BF

vs LHB3.4%
vs RHB5.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.7%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.0 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Amed Rosario (R)6.1%3.0
2. Ben Rice (L)7.5%3.0
3. Paul Goldschmidt (R)9.8%3.0
4. Cody Bellinger (L)9.0%3.0
5. Trent Grisham (L)12.1%2.9
6. Jasson Domínguez (R)7.7%2.0
7. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)7.0%2.0
8. José Caballero (R)8.9%2.0
9. Austin Wells (L)7.2%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Cristopher Sánchez's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate6.8% BB / BF

vs LHB4.0%
vs RHB7.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.9%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload15.0 BF

Expected batters faced15.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.1 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Nathan Lukes (L)8.8%2.0
2. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)15.3%2.0
3. Kazuma Okamoto (R)9.0%2.0
4. George Springer (R)12.5%2.0
5. Daulton Varsho (L)6.4%2.0
6. Ernie Clement (R)4.5%2.0
7. Yohendrick Piñango (L)8.5%1.0
8. Andrés Giménez (L)3.6%1.0
9. Brandon Valenzuela (R)11.6%1.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Ranger Suarez's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate5.2% BB / BF

vs LHB6.5%
vs RHB3.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.0%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.2 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)9.2%3.0
2. Jake Cronenworth (L)13.0%3.0
3. Manny Machado (R)9.1%3.0
4. Ty France (R)5.0%3.0
5. Jackson Merrill (L)7.2%3.0
6. Luis Rengifo (L)8.0%2.1
7. Gavin Sheets (L)9.8%2.0
8. Xander Bogaerts (R)9.5%2.0
9. Freddy Fermin (R)7.1%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Janson Junk's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate4.9% BB / BF

vs LHB5.1%
vs RHB4.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.2%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.9 BF

Expected batters faced21.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.2 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Corbin Carroll (L)11.7%3.0
2. Geraldo Perdomo (L)14.1%3.0
3. Gabriel Moreno (R)11.5%3.0
4. Ketel Marte (L)10.1%2.9
5. Ildemaro Vargas (L)5.4%2.0
6. Nolan Arenado (R)7.5%2.0
7. Tim Tawa (R)8.7%2.0
8. James McCann (R)5.2%2.0
9. Ryan Waldschmidt (R)5.9%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Miles Mikolas's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate5.3% BB / BF

vs LHB6.1%
vs RHB4.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.8%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.8 BF

Expected batters faced20.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.2 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Steven Kwan (L)11.0%3.0
2. José Ramírez (L)11.6%3.0
3. Travis Bazzana (L)11.1%2.8
4. Brayan Rocchio (L)7.1%2.0
5. Angel Martínez (L)3.5%2.0
6. Kyle Manzardo (L)9.3%2.0
7. Gabriel Arias (R)5.9%2.0
8. Patrick Bailey (L)6.2%2.0
9. Petey Halpin (L)4.6%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Drew Rasmussen's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate5.0% BB / BF

vs LHB4.4%
vs RHB5.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.5 BF

Expected batters faced24.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.3 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Christian Yelich (L)9.2%3.0
2. Jackson Chourio (R)8.3%3.0
3. Brice Turang (L)8.4%3.0
4. William Contreras (R)14.0%3.0
5. Jake Bauers (L)10.8%3.0
6. Garrett Mitchell (L)8.4%3.0
7. Luis Lara (R)8.5%2.5
8. Cooper Pratt (R)7.9%2.0
9. David Hamilton (L)7.8%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Kyle Freeland's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate6.4% BB / BF

vs LHB8.3%
vs RHB4.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.4%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.4 BF

Expected batters faced21.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.4 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Jake Mangum (L)5.2%3.0
2. Nick Gonzales (R)5.8%3.0
3. Bryan Reynolds (L)11.2%3.0
4. Esmerlyn Valdez (R)11.0%2.4
5. Ryan O'Hearn (L)10.1%2.0
6. Marcell Ozuna (R)11.7%2.0
7. Jared Triolo (R)9.4%2.0
8. Jacob Gonzalez (L)8.5%2.0
9. Henry Davis (R)8.7%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Jameson Taillon's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate7.1% BB / BF

vs LHB7.2%
vs RHB7.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.2%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.4 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Anthony Seigler (L)9.1%3.0
2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)4.3%3.0
3. Wilyer Abreu (L)9.3%3.0
4. Willson Contreras (R)7.4%3.0
5. Masataka Yoshida (L)7.3%3.0
6. Caleb Durbin (R)6.7%2.2
7. Jarren Duran (L)7.7%2.0
8. Andruw Monasterio (R)4.2%2.0
9. Connor Wong (R)7.7%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Kevin Gausman's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate5.6% BB / BF

vs LHB6.1%
vs RHB5.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)22.0%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.4 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Cole Young (L)8.3%3.0
2. Julio Rodríguez (R)6.2%3.0
3. Dominic Canzone (L)6.8%3.0
4. Randy Arozarena (R)10.4%3.0
5. Josh Naylor (L)8.7%3.0
6. Cal Raleigh (L)14.3%2.2
7. Luke Raley (L)7.0%2.0
8. J.P. Crawford (L)12.0%2.0
9. Colt Emerson (L)7.6%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Jacob deGrom's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.0% BB / BF

vs LHB6.9%
vs RHB8.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.2%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.4 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness6.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Carter Jensen (L)6.3%3.0
2. Lane Thomas (R)12.8%3.0
3. Jac Caglianone (L)3.2%3.0
4. Salvador Perez (R)4.6%3.0
5. Vinnie Pasquantino (L)5.6%3.0
6. Nick Loftin (R)9.1%2.0
7. Michael Massey (L)4.1%2.0
8. Isaac Collins (R)7.4%2.0
9. Andrew Velazquez (R)8.1%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Framber Valdez's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate5.3% BB / BF

vs LHB6.2%
vs RHB4.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.9%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.1 BF

Expected batters faced24.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.5 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Joc Pederson (L)11.6%3.0
2. Wyatt Langford (R)8.7%3.0
3. Ezequiel Duran (R)5.9%3.0
4. Brandon Nimmo (L)9.1%3.0
5. Evan Carter (L)11.2%3.0
6. Nicky Lopez (L)7.4%3.0
7. Alejandro Osuna (L)10.8%2.1
8. Josh Smith (L)9.8%2.0
9. Austin Wynns (R)6.4%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Logan Gilbert's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate7.4% BB / BF

vs LHB8.2%
vs RHB6.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.1%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.8 BF

Expected batters faced20.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.5 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. A.J. Ewing (L)9.3%3.0
2. Francisco Lindor (L)8.3%3.0
3. Bo Bichette (R)6.4%2.8
4. Carson Benge (L)7.4%2.0
5. Luis Robert Jr. (R)7.0%2.0
6. Jorge Polanco (L)9.1%2.0
7. Marcus Semien (R)7.3%2.0
8. Brett Baty (L)8.2%2.0
9. Francisco Alvarez (R)7.8%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Emmet Sheehan's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.6% BB / BF

vs LHB14.2%
vs RHB1.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)22.2%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload16.9 BF

Expected batters faced16.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.5 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Dylan Beavers (L)13.4%2.0
2. Pete Alonso (R)11.0%2.0
3. Gunnar Henderson (L)9.7%2.0
4. Taylor Ward (R)12.8%2.0
5. Christian Encarnacion-Strand (R)3.9%2.0
6. Leody Taveras (L)7.3%2.0
7. Tyler O'Neill (R)10.5%2.0
8. Jackson Holliday (L)10.4%1.9
9. Chadwick Tromp (R)4.5%1.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Reynaldo López's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate6.9% BB / BF

vs LHB6.9%
vs RHB7.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.6%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.6 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Yandy Díaz (R)9.9%3.0
2. Jonathan Aranda (L)12.1%3.0
3. Junior Caminero (R)11.8%3.0
4. Cedric Mullins (L)9.4%3.0
5. Chandler Simpson (L)3.7%2.2
6. Victor Mesa Jr. (L)8.7%2.0
7. Richie Palacios (L)11.8%2.0
8. Ben Williamson (R)6.1%2.0
9. Hunter Feduccia (L)4.3%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Parker Messick's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF

vs LHB10.3%
vs RHB6.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)22.0%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.0 BF

Expected batters faced21.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.7 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Trea Turner (R)5.4%3.0
2. Kyle Schwarber (L)15.2%3.0
3. Bryce Harper (L)13.6%3.0
4. Alec Bohm (R)6.0%2.0
5. Edmundo Sosa (R)2.5%2.0
6. Bryan De La Cruz (R)4.2%2.0
7. J.T. Realmuto (R)7.0%2.0
8. Bryson Stott (L)7.8%2.0
9. Derek Hill (R)5.4%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Will Warren's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate6.6% BB / BF

vs LHB8.3%
vs RHB4.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.7%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.7 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)8.3%3.0
2. Seiya Suzuki (R)10.5%3.0
3. Michael Busch (L)12.0%3.0
4. Alex Bregman (R)8.5%3.0
5. Ian Happ (L)14.1%2.7
6. Nico Hoerner (R)7.6%2.0
7. Pedro Ramírez (L)8.5%2.0
8. Dansby Swanson (R)9.9%2.0
9. Miguel Amaya (R)6.6%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Braxton Ashcraft's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF

vs LHB9.1%
vs RHB8.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.2%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.7 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Jacob Wilson (R)5.3%3.0
2. Nick Kurtz (L)10.4%3.0
3. Tyler Soderstrom (L)7.2%3.0
4. Jonah Heim (R)6.6%3.0
5. Tommy White (R)8.5%3.0
6. Donovan Walton (L)4.6%2.1
7. Jeff McNeil (L)11.7%2.0
8. Henry Bolte (R)3.8%2.0
9. Lawrence Butler (L)6.8%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Connor Prielipp's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate7.8% BB / BF

vs LHB11.1%
vs RHB4.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.1%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.6 BF

Expected batters faced20.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.8 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Elly De La Cruz (L)10.6%3.0
2. Sal Stewart (R)8.9%3.0
3. JJ Bleday (L)12.4%2.6
4. Eugenio Suárez (R)6.2%2.0
5. Tyler Stephenson (R)8.8%2.0
6. Noelvi Marte (R)4.6%2.0
7. TJ Friedl (L)10.5%2.0
8. Edwin Arroyo (L)8.5%2.0
9. Ke'Bryan Hayes (R)6.1%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Kyle Leahy's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.0% BB / BF

vs LHB7.4%
vs RHB8.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.0%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.8 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Trevor Larnach (L)8.7%3.0
2. Byron Buxton (R)8.4%3.0
3. Kody Clemens (L)6.3%3.0
4. Josh Bell (R)8.2%3.0
5. Royce Lewis (R)10.3%2.8
6. Victor Caratini (R)7.8%2.0
7. Alan Roden (L)8.7%2.0
8. Brooks Lee (R)4.8%2.0
9. Ryan Kreidler (R)11.1%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Jeffrey Springs's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate7.9% BB / BF

vs LHB8.6%
vs RHB7.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.8%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.9 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Jake McCarthy (L)5.5%3.0
2. Kyle Karros (R)12.5%3.0
3. Cole Carrigg (L)12.4%3.0
4. Hunter Goodman (R)6.3%3.0
5. TJ Rumfield (L)10.3%3.0
6. Willi Castro (L)9.3%2.6
7. Braxton Fulford (R)8.4%2.0
8. Tyler Freeman (R)6.8%2.0
9. Ezequiel Tovar (R)4.3%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Jacob Misiorowski's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.4% BB / BF

vs LHB6.3%
vs RHB9.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.5%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.9 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. JJ Wetherholt (L)11.3%3.0
2. Jordan Walker (R)10.2%3.0
3. Alec Burleson (L)4.7%3.0
4. Iván Herrera (R)16.3%3.0
5. Lars Nootbaar (L)12.0%2.9
6. Masyn Winn (R)8.4%2.0
7. Bryan Torres (L)7.7%2.0
8. Blaze Jordan (R)3.1%2.0
9. Nathan Church (L)5.2%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Andrew Abbott's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF

vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.9 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. James Wood (L)9.3%3.0
2. Curtis Mead (R)9.3%3.0
3. Andrés Chaparro (R)12.7%3.0
4. CJ Abrams (L)5.2%3.0
5. Dylan Crews (R)7.8%3.0
6. Jacob Young (R)7.5%2.0
7. Daylen Lile (L)6.1%2.0
8. Nasim Nuñez (R)13.4%2.0
9. Keibert Ruiz (R)3.3%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Kohl Drake's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate9.4% BB / BF

vs LHB11.3%
vs RHB7.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.0%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.0 BF

Expected batters faced20.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.0 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Jeremy Peña (R)6.0%3.0
2. Yordan Alvarez (L)15.9%3.0
3. Isaac Paredes (R)11.1%2.0
4. Jose Altuve (R)8.0%2.0
5. LaMonte Wade Jr. (L)12.8%2.0
6. Christian Walker (R)6.5%2.0
7. Yainer Diaz (R)3.7%2.0
8. Lucas Spence (L)8.5%2.0
9. Cam Smith (R)7.7%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Erick Fedde's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF

vs LHB8.9%
vs RHB8.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.5%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.6 BF

Expected batters faced24.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.1 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Drake Baldwin (L)10.2%3.0
2. Ozzie Albies (L)9.7%3.0
3. Matt Olson (L)13.6%3.0
4. Michael Harris II (L)3.2%3.0
5. Mauricio Dubón (R)6.1%3.0
6. Dominic Smith (L)6.6%3.0
7. Austin Riley (R)6.5%2.6
8. Mike Yastrzemski (L)11.5%2.0
9. Jim Jarvis (L)8.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Shane Baz's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate10.2% BB / BF

vs LHB10.9%
vs RHB9.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.1%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.5 BF

Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.3 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Otto Lopez (R)6.8%3.0
2. Kyle Stowers (L)9.8%3.0
3. Heriberto Hernández (R)9.0%3.0
4. Xavier Edwards (L)10.7%2.5
5. Liam Hicks (L)10.0%2.0
6. Javier Sanoja (R)5.5%2.0
7. Griffin Conine (L)9.5%2.0
8. Esteury Ruiz (R)8.6%2.0
9. Jakob Marsee (L)11.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Walker Buehler's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate10.8% BB / BF

vs LHB11.8%
vs RHB9.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.2%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.4 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Luis Arraez (L)6.1%3.0
2. Heliot Ramos (R)6.1%3.0
3. Bryce Eldridge (L)14.5%3.0
4. Rafael Devers (L)13.7%3.0
5. Casey Schmitt (R)4.5%2.5
6. Jung Hoo Lee (L)6.5%2.0
7. Willy Adames (R)8.9%2.0
8. Drew Gilbert (L)8.5%2.0
9. Daniel Susac (R)4.3%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

José Soriano's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate12.3% BB / BF

vs LHB8.8%
vs RHB16.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)4.3%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.5 BF

Expected batters faced20.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Colt Keith (L)7.5%3.0
2. Kevin McGonigle (L)15.6%3.0
3. Gleyber Torres (R)12.0%2.5
4. Kerry Carpenter (L)6.1%2.0
5. Riley Greene (L)8.8%2.0
6. Hao-Yu Lee (R)4.8%2.0
7. Zach McKinstry (L)9.0%2.0
8. Matt Vierling (R)6.7%2.0
9. Jake Rogers (R)9.6%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Luinder Avila's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate9.5% BB / BF

vs LHB10.0%
vs RHB9.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.1%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.8 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness10.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Shohei Ohtani (L)16.3%3.0
2. Andy Pages (R)6.1%3.0
3. Freddie Freeman (L)10.9%3.0
4. Max Muncy (L)15.9%3.0
5. Mookie Betts (R)8.0%2.9
6. Tommy Edman (L)6.6%2.0
7. Kyle Tucker (L)13.7%2.0
8. Teoscar Hernández (R)6.4%2.0
9. Dalton Rushing (L)9.3%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Freddy Peralta's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate11.0% BB / BF

vs LHB12.7%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.9%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.0 BF

Expected batters faced22.0
From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.1 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Sam Antonacci (L)8.4%3.0
2. Munetaka Murakami (L)17.8%3.0
3. Miguel Vargas (R)11.1%3.0
4. Colson Montgomery (L)9.6%3.0
5. Andrew Benintendi (L)9.6%2.0
6. Braden Montgomery (L)8.4%2.0
7. Tristan Peters (L)6.3%2.0
8. Chase Meidroth (R)9.0%2.0
9. Edgar Quero (L)8.2%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Ronel Blanco's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate11.7% BB / BF

vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB12.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)0.1%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.4 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Zach Neto (R)10.9%3.0
2. Mike Trout (R)16.5%3.0
3. Vaughn Grissom (R)11.6%3.0
4. Jorge Soler (R)11.4%3.0
5. Nolan Schanuel (L)9.1%3.0
6. Jo Adell (R)5.6%2.0
7. Denzer Guzman (R)8.1%2.0
8. Jose Siri (R)6.7%2.0
9. Logan O'Hoppe (R)9.4%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Carson Whisenhunt's full player page →

What the walks allowed board is

The Walks Allowed board projects how many free passes a starter issues. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

  • His control.
  • The lineup's patience.
  • Count leverage.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Walks are near-unpredictable at the margin and the market prices them efficiently. Transparency board.

How to use it

A read on a starter's command for the night; no edge to bet.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.