MatchWiz

Best MLB walks allowed matchupsFriday, July 31, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Friday, July 31, 2026 slate — ranked by walk risk against today's lineup. Tap any card for the full breakdown.

PROJ29 on a projected lineup — updates ~2h before first pitch
#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher walks Rate9.8% BB / BF

vs LHB11.7%
vs RHB8.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.3%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload9.5 BF

Expected batters faced9.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection0.7 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness6.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Jahmai Jones (R)6.5%1.6
2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)4.3%1.0
3. Wilyer Abreu (L)9.2%1.0
4. Willson Contreras (R)7.8%1.0
5. Caleb Durbin (R)6.7%1.0
6. Romy Gonzalez (R)3.6%1.0
7. Andruw Monasterio (R)5.0%1.0
8. Nick Sogard (L)9.1%1.0
9. Connor Wong (R)7.4%1.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Edgardo Henriquez's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF

vs LHB8.4%
vs RHB8.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.6%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload9.2 BF

Expected batters faced9.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection0.7 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Luis Arraez (L)6.0%1.2
2. Bryce Eldridge (L)14.6%1.0
3. Heliot Ramos (R)6.1%1.0
4. Rafael Devers (L)13.9%1.0
5. Jung Hoo Lee (L)6.4%1.0
6. Willy Adames (R)9.0%1.0
7. Daniel Susac (R)4.2%1.0
8. Grant McCray (L)6.9%1.0
9. Christian Koss (R)6.2%1.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Bradgley Rodriguez's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate5.0% BB / BF

vs LHB6.2%
vs RHB3.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.3%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.1 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. A.J. Ewing (L)9.5%3.0
2. Francisco Lindor (L)8.4%3.0
3. Bo Bichette (R)6.3%3.0
4. Carson Benge (L)7.5%3.0
5. Luis Robert Jr. (R)7.5%2.9
6. Brett Baty (L)8.3%2.0
7. Marcus Semien (R)7.1%2.0
8. Jorge Polanco (L)9.2%2.0
9. Francisco Alvarez (R)7.9%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Janson Junk's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate4.9% BB / BF

vs LHB5.7%
vs RHB4.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.2%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.6 BF

Expected batters faced20.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.1 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Chase Meidroth (R)9.0%3.0
2. Munetaka Murakami (L)17.4%3.0
3. Miguel Vargas (R)11.1%2.6
4. Randal Grichuk (R)3.6%2.0
5. Colson Montgomery (L)9.5%2.0
6. Everson Pereira (R)6.3%2.0
7. Braden Montgomery (L)9.8%2.0
8. Luisangel Acuña (R)5.6%2.0
9. Edgar Quero (L)8.0%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Nick Martinez's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate5.7% BB / BF

vs LHB5.1%
vs RHB6.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.2 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Drake Baldwin (L)8.3%3.0
2. Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)17.1%3.0
3. Matt Olson (L)7.6%3.0
4. Michael Harris II (L)4.1%3.0
5. Ozzie Albies (R)3.3%2.4
6. Mauricio Dubón (R)6.2%2.0
7. Dominic Smith (L)8.7%2.0
8. Mike Yastrzemski (L)7.1%2.0
9. Jim Jarvis (L)8.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Foster Griffin's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate6.6% BB / BF

vs LHB3.9%
vs RHB7.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.3%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.2 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Shohei Ohtani (L)7.9%3.0
2. Andy Pages (R)8.8%3.0
3. Freddie Freeman (L)8.8%3.0
4. Max Muncy (L)8.3%3.0
5. Tommy Edman (R)6.1%2.5
6. Mookie Betts (R)9.6%2.0
7. Kyle Tucker (L)11.6%2.0
8. Teoscar Hernández (R)9.4%2.0
9. Dalton Rushing (L)7.8%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Ranger Suarez's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate6.3% BB / BF

vs LHB8.2%
vs RHB4.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.1%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.3 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Austin Martin (R)10.2%3.0
2. Ryan Jeffers (R)8.7%3.0
3. Royce Lewis (R)7.9%3.0
4. Josh Bell (L)9.6%3.0
5. Kody Clemens (L)6.6%3.0
6. Luke Keaschall (R)9.8%2.1
7. Brooks Lee (L)7.3%2.0
8. Alex Jackson (R)5.6%2.0
9. Ryan Kreidler (R)5.0%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Bryce Miller's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate5.9% BB / BF

vs LHB5.3%
vs RHB6.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.0%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.7 BF

Expected batters faced21.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.3 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Jacob Wilson (R)5.0%3.0
2. Nick Kurtz (L)18.2%3.0
3. Tommy White (R)8.5%3.0
4. Tyler Soderstrom (L)11.6%2.7
5. Jonah Heim (L)6.5%2.0
6. Colby Thomas (R)3.1%2.0
7. Henry Bolte (R)8.8%2.0
8. Lawrence Butler (L)10.8%2.0
9. Alika Williams (R)3.1%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Casey Mize's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate5.3% BB / BF

vs LHB5.5%
vs RHB5.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)22.2%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.8 BF

Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.3 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Jeremy Peña (R)5.9%3.0
2. Yordan Alvarez (L)16.2%3.0
3. Isaac Paredes (R)10.9%3.0
4. Christian Walker (R)6.5%3.0
5. Jose Altuve (R)7.9%3.0
6. Taylor Trammell (L)10.0%2.8
7. Yainer Diaz (R)3.6%2.0
8. Cam Smith (R)7.6%2.0
9. Lucas Spence (L)8.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Nathan Eovaldi's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate6.7% BB / BF

vs LHB6.6%
vs RHB6.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.9%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.4 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Jake McCarthy (L)5.4%3.0
2. Cole Carrigg (L)12.3%3.0
3. Hunter Goodman (R)6.2%3.0
4. TJ Rumfield (L)10.3%3.0
5. Willi Castro (L)9.6%3.0
6. Tyler Freeman (R)6.8%2.1
7. Mickey Moniak (L)5.3%2.0
8. Ezequiel Tovar (R)4.4%2.0
9. Brett Sullivan (L)6.2%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Michael Wacha's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate5.7% BB / BF

vs LHB6.9%
vs RHB4.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.8%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.5 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Carter Jensen (L)10.8%3.0
2. John Rave (L)10.9%3.0
3. Jac Caglianone (L)9.2%3.0
4. Salvador Perez (R)4.8%3.0
5. Michael Massey (L)5.6%2.5
6. Nick Loftin (R)8.2%2.0
7. Isaac Collins (L)14.1%2.0
8. Josh Rojas (L)8.6%2.0
9. Tyler Tolbert (R)5.3%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Tomoyuki Sugano's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate7.7% BB / BF

vs LHB11.1%
vs RHB4.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.6%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.1 BF

Expected batters faced21.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.5 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Yohendrick Piñango (L)8.5%3.0
2. Nathan Lukes (L)7.1%3.0
3. Kazuma Okamoto (R)9.0%3.0
4. George Springer (R)9.8%2.1
5. Alejandro Kirk (R)9.4%2.0
6. Daulton Varsho (L)7.9%2.0
7. Ernie Clement (R)3.7%2.0
8. Andrés Giménez (L)5.1%2.0
9. Davis Schneider (R)11.6%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Kyle Leahy's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate6.1% BB / BF

vs LHB7.3%
vs RHB4.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)24.8%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.3 BF

Expected batters faced23.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.5 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Elly De La Cruz (L)10.5%3.0
2. Sal Stewart (R)9.1%3.0
3. JJ Bleday (L)12.6%3.0
4. Tyler Stephenson (R)8.5%3.0
5. Nathaniel Lowe (L)10.5%3.0
6. Eugenio Suárez (R)6.1%2.3
7. Dane Myers (R)8.7%2.0
8. Noelvi Marte (R)4.5%2.0
9. Matt McLain (R)9.4%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Paul Skenes's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate5.3% BB / BF

vs LHB7.3%
vs RHB4.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.4%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.5 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Trent Grisham (L)12.2%3.0
2. Ben Rice (L)7.3%3.0
3. Jasson Domínguez (R)7.2%3.0
4. Paul Goldschmidt (R)10.9%3.0
5. Spencer Jones (L)10.0%2.5
6. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)6.9%2.0
7. Anthony Volpe (R)9.3%2.0
8. Ryan McMahon (L)8.9%2.0
9. Austin Wells (L)7.0%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Shota Imanaga's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.3% BB / BF

vs LHB10.3%
vs RHB5.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.8%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.5 BF

Expected batters faced24.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.7 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness6.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Trea Turner (R)5.3%3.0
2. Bryson Stott (L)7.9%3.0
3. Bryce Harper (L)13.7%3.0
4. Alec Bohm (R)6.1%3.0
5. J.T. Realmuto (R)6.9%3.0
6. Brandon Marsh (L)7.7%3.0
7. Bryan De La Cruz (R)5.0%2.5
8. Justin Crawford (L)5.6%2.0
9. Edmundo Sosa (R)2.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Brandon Young's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate9.8% BB / BF

vs LHB11.6%
vs RHB7.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.1%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.8 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Wyatt Langford (R)8.4%3.0
2. Ezequiel Duran (R)5.7%3.0
3. Brandon Nimmo (L)8.9%3.0
4. Jake Burger (R)5.2%3.0
5. Justin Foscue (R)5.0%2.5
6. Cam Cauley (R)8.5%2.0
7. Nicky Lopez (L)8.2%2.0
8. Austin Wynns (R)6.9%2.0
9. Alejandro Osuna (L)10.6%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Hunter Brown's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate7.1% BB / BF

vs LHB9.0%
vs RHB5.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.9%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.2 BF

Expected batters faced24.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.8 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Cole Young (L)8.3%3.0
2. Randy Arozarena (R)10.1%3.0
3. Julio Rodríguez (R)6.1%3.0
4. Dominic Canzone (L)6.6%3.0
5. Cal Raleigh (L)14.2%3.0
6. Josh Naylor (L)8.7%3.0
7. Rob Refsnyder (R)6.7%2.2
8. Weston Wilson (R)10.4%2.0
9. Colt Emerson (L)7.2%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Zebby Matthews's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate6.8% BB / BF

vs LHB9.0%
vs RHB4.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.9%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.3 BF

Expected batters faced23.3
From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.9 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Jake Mangum (L)5.0%3.0
2. Brandon Lowe (L)8.6%3.0
3. Bryan Reynolds (L)11.3%3.0
4. Esmerlyn Valdez (R)10.8%3.0
5. Ryan O'Hearn (L)10.0%3.0
6. Nick Gonzales (R)5.7%2.3
7. Endy Rodríguez (L)13.3%2.0
8. Jacob Gonzalez (L)8.5%2.0
9. Jhostynxon Garcia (R)5.8%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Hunter Greene's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate7.6% BB / BF

vs LHB8.9%
vs RHB6.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.7%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.9 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. James Wood (L)17.0%3.0
2. Luis García Jr. (L)5.1%3.0
3. Dylan Crews (R)7.3%3.0
4. CJ Abrams (L)8.0%3.0
5. Daylen Lile (L)6.3%3.0
6. Keibert Ruiz (L)4.1%2.2
7. José Tena (L)7.0%2.0
8. Jorbit Vivas (L)9.1%2.0
9. Nasim Nuñez (L)8.9%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Bryce Elder's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate7.0% BB / BF

vs LHB7.7%
vs RHB6.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.8 BF

Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.0 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Corbin Carroll (L)11.6%3.0
2. Geraldo Perdomo (L)14.1%3.0
3. Gabriel Moreno (R)11.4%3.0
4. Ketel Marte (L)9.9%3.0
5. Max Kepler (L)9.5%3.0
6. Nolan Arenado (R)7.5%2.8
7. Tim Tawa (R)8.5%2.0
8. Ildemaro Vargas (L)5.7%2.0
9. Jorge Barrosa (L)6.2%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Tanner Bibee's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.0% BB / BF

vs LHB7.4%
vs RHB8.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.8%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.6 BF

Expected batters faced21.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.0 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Gleyber Torres (R)16.5%3.0
2. Kevin McGonigle (L)9.3%3.0
3. Hao-Yu Lee (R)5.6%3.0
4. Dillon Dingler (R)7.3%2.6
5. Riley Greene (L)11.1%2.0
6. Eduardo Valencia (R)8.5%2.0
7. Spencer Torkelson (R)13.7%2.0
8. Matt Vierling (R)10.4%2.0
9. Javier Báez (R)3.8%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Jeffrey Springs's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.6% BB / BF

vs LHB10.5%
vs RHB6.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)22.4%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.7 BF

Expected batters faced20.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.1 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness10.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)8.1%3.0
2. Seiya Suzuki (R)10.2%3.0
3. Michael Busch (L)11.8%2.7
4. Alex Bregman (R)8.5%2.0
5. Ian Happ (L)14.2%2.0
6. Nico Hoerner (R)7.7%2.0
7. Michael Conforto (L)10.9%2.0
8. Carson Kelly (R)9.5%2.0
9. Dansby Swanson (R)9.9%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Will Warren's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate9.3% BB / BF

vs LHB11.3%
vs RHB7.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.8%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload19.6 BF

Expected batters faced19.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.1 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Yandy Díaz (R)8.7%3.0
2. Jonathan Aranda (L)10.3%2.6
3. Junior Caminero (R)8.2%2.0
4. Cedric Mullins (L)9.7%2.0
5. Jonny DeLuca (R)4.5%2.0
6. Victor Mesa Jr. (L)12.2%2.0
7. Ben Williamson (R)7.4%2.0
8. Taylor Walls (L)11.0%2.0
9. Hunter Feduccia (L)12.2%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Erick Fedde's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate13.1% BB / BF

vs LHB6.3%
vs RHB15.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)2.2%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.5 BF

Expected batters faced20.5
From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.1 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Steven Kwan (L)10.6%3.0
2. José Ramírez (R)9.6%3.0
3. Chase DeLauter (L)7.9%2.5
4. Travis Bazzana (L)12.3%2.0
5. Brayan Rocchio (R)6.6%2.0
6. Kyle Manzardo (L)10.4%2.0
7. Gabriel Arias (R)5.6%2.0
8. Patrick Bailey (R)8.2%2.0
9. Petey Halpin (L)6.0%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Mitch Bratt's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF

vs LHB10.3%
vs RHB6.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload18.8 BF

Expected batters faced18.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.2 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness10.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Brice Turang (L)11.9%2.8
2. Jackson Chourio (R)5.8%2.0
3. Jake Bauers (L)13.7%2.0
4. Christian Yelich (L)10.4%2.0
5. Gary Sánchez (R)14.0%2.0
6. Garrett Mitchell (L)11.8%2.0
7. Luis Lara (L)8.5%2.0
8. David Hamilton (L)8.4%2.0
9. Cooper Pratt (R)11.9%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Ryan Johnson's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate10.2% BB / BF

vs LHB11.8%
vs RHB8.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)24.1%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.2 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. JJ Wetherholt (L)9.4%3.0
2. Jordan Walker (R)6.3%3.0
3. Alec Burleson (L)9.0%3.0
4. Iván Herrera (R)8.1%3.0
5. Lars Nootbaar (L)12.6%2.7
6. Masyn Winn (R)6.8%2.0
7. Bryan Torres (L)7.4%2.0
8. Blaze Jordan (R)4.8%2.0
9. Nathan Church (L)5.3%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Dylan Cease's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF

vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.2 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Zach Neto (R)11.0%3.0
2. Mike Trout (R)16.4%3.0
3. Nolan Schanuel (L)9.3%3.0
4. Vaughn Grissom (R)11.7%3.0
5. Jo Adell (R)5.9%3.0
6. Wade Meckler (L)10.6%2.4
7. Denzer Guzman (R)7.4%2.0
8. Josh Lowe (L)6.0%2.0
9. Tyler Heineman (R)4.8%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Shane Drohan's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate9.4% BB / BF

vs LHB9.6%
vs RHB9.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.7%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.3 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Liam Hicks (L)10.0%3.0
2. Xavier Edwards (L)10.8%3.0
3. Otto Lopez (R)6.9%3.0
4. Kyle Stowers (L)9.9%3.0
5. Heriberto Hernández (R)8.6%2.2
6. Griffin Conine (L)9.6%2.0
7. Jakob Marsee (L)11.6%2.0
8. Graham Pauley (L)7.7%2.0
9. Joe Mack (L)6.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Freddy Peralta's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate11.4% BB / BF

vs LHB9.9%
vs RHB11.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)5.0%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)13.7%3.0
2. Jake Cronenworth (L)9.3%3.0
3. Manny Machado (R)10.3%3.0
4. Ty France (R)5.0%3.0
5. Jackson Merrill (L)5.4%2.7
6. Luis Rengifo (R)6.6%2.0
7. Gavin Sheets (L)7.2%2.0
8. Xander Bogaerts (R)9.9%2.0
9. Freddy Fermin (R)7.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Carson Whisenhunt's full player page →

What the walks allowed board is

The Walks Allowed board projects how many free passes a starter issues. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

  • His control.
  • The lineup's patience.
  • Count leverage.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Walks are near-unpredictable at the margin and the market prices them efficiently. Transparency board.

How to use it

A read on a starter's command for the night; no edge to bet.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.