Which pitcher has the best walks allowed matchup today (Saturday, August 1, 2026)?

Logan Gilbert (SEA) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 1.2 BB against MIN.

What are the best pitcher walks props today?

The top projected starts on Saturday, August 1, 2026: Logan Gilbert (~1.2 BB), Cristopher Sánchez (~1.2 BB), Miles Mikolas (~1.2 BB), Jack Perkins (~1.3 BB), Jacob deGrom (~1.4 BB). The full board ranks every starter.

Why are pitcher walk lines usually 1.5?

The average start produces right around two walks, and books shade the line to 1.5 with juice doing the fine-tuning. That makes the price, not the number, the thing to read — over 1.5 at −160 and at +120 are different bets entirely.

Does the opposing lineup really change a walk prop?

More than any other pitcher prop. Chase-heavy lineups turn borderline pitches into strikes and at-bats into quick outs; patient ones force full counts. The same command profile can project half a walk apart depending on who's standing in.

How is the walks allowed score calculated?

Ranked by walk risk against today's lineup — his command, the lineup's plate discipline, and his workload. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected walks number alongside, and graded against the box score. The exact weighting is our own, tuned weekly against results.

Can I use this for pitcher props or DFS?

Yes — the board surfaces the best walks spots and projects a number. Where there's a posted line we show the over/under and which side our projection leans. We show the data and grade it, not picks.

Best MLB walks allowed matchups — Saturday, August 1, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Saturday, August 1, 2026 slate — ranked by walk risk against today's lineup. Tap any card for the full breakdown.

3:07 PM ET

STLaway

TORhomeTop matchup78 4:10 PM ET

CWSaway

TBhomeTop matchup87 4:10 PM ET

MIAaway

NYMhomeTop matchup69 4:10 PM ET

MINaway

SEAhomeTop matchup100 6:40 PM ET

PITaway

CINhomeTop matchup76 7:05 PM ET

PHIaway

BALhomeTop matchup99 7:10 PM ET

TEXaway

HOUhomeTop matchup90 7:15 PM ET

WSHaway

ATLhomeTop matchup97 7:15 PM ET

NYYaway

CHChomeTop matchup73 7:15 PM ET

AZaway

CLEhomeTop matchup83 8:10 PM ET

KCaway

COLhomeTop matchup44 8:40 PM ET

SFaway

SDhomeTop matchup47 9:10 PM ET

BOSaway

LADhomeTop matchup80 9:38 PM ET

MILaway

LAAhomeTop matchup77 9:40 PM ET

DETaway

ATHhomeTop matchup92

PROJ30 on a projected lineup — updates ~2h before first pitch

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#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher walks Rate5.4% BB / BF

vs LHB6.3%

vs RHB4.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)22.0%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.3 BF

Expected batters faced24.3

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.2 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Austin Martin (R)10.3%3.0

2. Ryan Jeffers (R)8.7%3.0

3. Royce Lewis (R)7.8%3.0

4. Josh Bell (L)9.7%3.0

5. Kody Clemens (L)6.6%3.0

6. Luke Keaschall (R)9.7%3.0

7. Brooks Lee (L)7.3%2.3

8. Alex Jackson (R)5.6%2.0

9. Ryan Kreidler (R)5.0%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Logan Gilbert's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate5.2% BB / BF

vs LHB3.2%

vs RHB5.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.7%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.2 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Dylan Beavers (L)10.9%3.0

2. Pete Alonso (R)9.3%3.0

3. Gunnar Henderson (L)7.0%3.0

4. Taylor Ward (R)14.5%3.0

5. Leody Taveras (R)9.0%3.0

6. Jackson Holliday (L)9.5%2.2

7. Coby Mayo (R)9.5%2.0

8. Colton Cowser (L)7.3%2.0

9. Yohel Pozo (R)3.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Cristopher Sánchez's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate4.9% BB / BF

vs LHB5.2%

vs RHB4.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.4%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.0 BF

Expected batters faced22.0

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.2 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)14.5%3.0

2. Drake Baldwin (L)10.7%3.0

3. Matt Olson (L)13.7%3.0

4. Ozzie Albies (L)9.6%3.0

5. Michael Harris II (L)3.1%2.0

6. Mauricio Dubón (R)6.1%2.0

7. Austin Riley (R)6.6%2.0

8. Joey Bart (R)7.8%2.0

9. Jim Jarvis (L)8.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Miles Mikolas's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate9.4% BB / BF

vs LHB10.0%

vs RHB8.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.7%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload14.4 BF

Expected batters faced14.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.3 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Gleyber Torres (R)11.9%2.0

2. Kevin McGonigle (L)15.3%2.0

3. Hao-Yu Lee (R)5.1%2.0

4. Dillon Dingler (R)4.9%2.0

5. Riley Greene (L)9.2%2.0

6. Eduardo Valencia (R)8.5%1.4

7. Spencer Torkelson (R)9.7%1.0

8. Matt Vierling (R)6.3%1.0

9. Javier Báez (R)3.2%1.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Jack Perkins's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate5.4% BB / BF

vs LHB5.9%

vs RHB5.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.7%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.3 BF

Expected batters faced23.3

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.4 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jeremy Peña (R)5.8%3.0

2. Yordan Alvarez (L)16.1%3.0

3. Isaac Paredes (R)10.8%3.0

4. Christian Walker (R)6.6%3.0

5. Jose Altuve (R)7.8%3.0

6. Taylor Trammell (L)10.3%2.3

7. Yainer Diaz (R)3.6%2.0

8. LaMonte Wade Jr. (L)12.9%2.0

9. Cam Smith (R)7.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Jacob deGrom's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate5.3% BB / BF

vs LHB6.1%

vs RHB4.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.0%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.8 BF

Expected batters faced20.8

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.4 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Sam Antonacci (L)8.3%3.0

2. Munetaka Murakami (L)17.9%3.0

3. Miguel Vargas (R)11.0%2.8

4. Colson Montgomery (L)9.6%2.0

5. Andrew Benintendi (L)9.5%2.0

6. Braden Montgomery (L)10.1%2.0

7. Tristan Peters (L)6.6%2.0

8. Chase Meidroth (R)8.9%2.0

9. Drew Romo (L)6.6%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Drew Rasmussen's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate12.6% BB / BF

vs LHB14.8%

vs RHB10.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.8%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload9.0 BF

Expected batters faced9.0

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.4 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Yandy Díaz (R)8.7%1.0

2. Jonathan Aranda (L)10.2%1.0

3. Junior Caminero (R)8.1%1.0

4. Cedric Mullins (L)9.5%1.0

5. Chandler Simpson (L)5.6%1.0

6. Victor Mesa Jr. (L)12.0%1.0

7. Richie Palacios (L)11.8%1.0

8. Taylor Walls (L)11.0%1.0

9. Hunter Feduccia (L)12.2%1.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Jordan Hicks's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.1% BB / BF

vs LHB6.7%

vs RHB8.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.7%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.5 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Nick Kurtz (L)10.3%3.0

2. Jacob Wilson (R)4.9%3.0

3. Tyler Soderstrom (L)7.2%3.0

4. Jonah Heim (R)6.7%3.0

5. Tommy White (R)8.5%3.0

6. Lawrence Butler (L)7.6%2.2

7. Jeff McNeil (L)11.3%2.0

8. Carlos Cortes (L)4.5%2.0

9. Donovan Walton (L)4.2%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Framber Valdez's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate6.6% BB / BF

vs LHB6.6%

vs RHB6.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.8%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.5 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Corbin Carroll (L)9.6%3.0

2. Geraldo Perdomo (R)12.1%3.0

3. Gabriel Moreno (R)9.5%3.0

4. Ketel Marte (R)8.6%3.0

5. Max Kepler (L)6.1%2.5

6. Nolan Arenado (R)8.7%2.0

7. Adrian Del Castillo (L)3.8%2.0

8. Tim Tawa (R)8.1%2.0

9. Ryan Waldschmidt (R)7.7%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Parker Messick's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate7.2% BB / BF

vs LHB6.5%

vs RHB7.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.1%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.5 BF

Expected batters faced25.5

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.6 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Anthony Seigler (L)9.7%3.0

2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)4.2%3.0

3. Wilyer Abreu (L)9.1%3.0

4. Willson Contreras (R)8.1%3.0

5. Masataka Yoshida (L)7.3%3.0

6. Caleb Durbin (R)6.9%3.0

7. Jarren Duran (L)7.6%3.0

8. Andruw Monasterio (R)4.9%2.5

9. Connor Wong (R)7.7%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate7.5% BB / BF

vs LHB4.9%

vs RHB8.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.8%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.6 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Tommy Edman (R)6.1%3.0

2. Andy Pages (R)8.8%3.0

3. Freddie Freeman (L)8.8%3.0

4. Max Muncy (L)8.3%3.0

5. Mookie Betts (R)9.6%2.6

6. Kyle Tucker (L)11.6%2.0

7. Teoscar Hernández (R)9.4%2.0

8. Dalton Rushing (L)7.8%2.0

9. Enrique Hernández (R)7.3%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Payton Tolle's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate7.0% BB / BF

vs LHB7.1%

vs RHB6.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.4%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.6 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. JJ Wetherholt (L)9.6%3.0

2. Jordan Walker (R)6.2%3.0

3. Alec Burleson (L)8.9%3.0

4. Iván Herrera (R)8.0%3.0

5. Lars Nootbaar (L)12.7%3.0

6. Masyn Winn (R)6.9%2.5

7. Nathan Church (L)5.3%2.0

8. José Fermín (R)8.5%2.0

9. Jimmy Crooks (L)6.0%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Kevin Gausman's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate6.6% BB / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB4.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.0%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.3 BF

Expected batters faced22.3

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.6 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Zach Neto (R)11.0%3.0

2. Mike Trout (R)16.3%3.0

3. Nolan Schanuel (L)9.3%3.0

4. Vaughn Grissom (R)11.6%3.0

5. Jo Adell (R)5.9%2.3

6. Wade Meckler (L)10.3%2.0

7. Denzer Guzman (R)7.4%2.0

8. Josh Lowe (L)6.0%2.0

9. Tyler Heineman (R)4.7%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Robert Gasser's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate6.7% BB / BF

vs LHB8.4%

vs RHB4.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.0%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.6 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Elly De La Cruz (L)10.8%3.0

2. Sal Stewart (R)9.2%3.0

3. JJ Bleday (L)12.7%3.0

4. Tyler Stephenson (R)8.5%3.0

5. Nathaniel Lowe (L)10.6%3.0

6. Eugenio Suárez (R)6.2%2.1

7. Dane Myers (R)9.0%2.0

8. Noelvi Marte (R)4.4%2.0

9. Matt McLain (R)9.4%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Braxton Ashcraft's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.3% BB / BF

vs LHB13.9%

vs RHB1.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)22.1%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload18.5 BF

Expected batters faced18.5

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.7 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. James Wood (L)17.3%2.5

2. Luis García Jr. (L)5.1%2.0

3. Dylan Crews (R)7.2%2.0

4. CJ Abrams (L)8.1%2.0

5. Brady House (R)4.6%2.0

6. Daylen Lile (L)6.2%2.0

7. Harry Ford (R)8.4%2.0

8. José Tena (L)7.2%2.0

9. Jacob Young (R)6.2%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Reynaldo López's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.9% BB / BF

vs LHB4.3%

vs RHB10.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)5.6%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.0 BF

Expected batters faced21.0

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.7 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Paul Goldschmidt (R)10.9%3.0

2. Ben Rice (L)7.6%3.0

3. Amed Rosario (R)5.9%3.0

4. Jasson Domínguez (R)7.1%2.0

5. Trent Grisham (L)12.0%2.0

6. Anthony Volpe (R)9.2%2.0

7. Spencer Jones (L)10.0%2.0

8. Ali Sánchez (R)3.6%2.0

9. José Caballero (R)9.2%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

David Peterson's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate7.4% BB / BF

vs LHB7.1%

vs RHB7.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.2%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.4 BF

Expected batters faced21.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.7 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)8.1%3.0

2. Pedro Ramírez (R)8.5%3.0

3. Michael Busch (L)10.9%3.0

4. Alex Bregman (R)14.4%2.4

5. Ian Happ (R)9.1%2.0

6. Nico Hoerner (R)4.4%2.0

7. Michael Conforto (L)10.3%2.0

8. Dansby Swanson (R)6.2%2.0

9. Miguel Amaya (R)10.2%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Max Fried's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF

vs LHB8.5%

vs RHB8.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.8 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Liam Hicks (L)9.3%3.0

2. Xavier Edwards (R)8.1%3.0

3. Otto Lopez (R)5.1%3.0

4. Kyle Stowers (L)7.2%3.0

5. Griffin Conine (L)6.7%2.4

6. Heriberto Hernández (R)10.5%2.0

7. Jakob Marsee (L)12.4%2.0

8. Joe Mack (L)7.0%2.0

9. Javier Sanoja (R)5.6%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Zac Thornton's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate9.3% BB / BF

vs LHB11.1%

vs RHB7.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.3%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.4 BF

Expected batters faced20.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.9 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. A.J. Ewing (L)9.2%3.0

2. Francisco Lindor (L)8.5%3.0

3. Bo Bichette (R)6.2%2.4

4. Carson Benge (L)7.4%2.0

5. Luis Robert Jr. (R)7.5%2.0

6. Jared Young (L)7.4%2.0

7. Brett Baty (L)8.2%2.0

8. Jorge Polanco (L)9.1%2.0

9. Francisco Alvarez (R)8.3%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Tyler Phillips's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.6% BB / BF

vs LHB6.2%

vs RHB9.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.1%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.9 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jake Mangum (R)4.3%3.0

2. Brandon Lowe (L)5.2%3.0

3. Bryan Reynolds (R)10.8%3.0

4. Esmerlyn Valdez (R)13.9%3.0

5. Ryan O'Hearn (L)6.4%2.9

6. Nick Gonzales (R)7.1%2.0

7. Endy Rodríguez (R)14.6%2.0

8. Jacob Gonzalez (L)8.5%2.0

9. Henry Davis (R)4.9%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Andrew Abbott's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.3% BB / BF

vs LHB9.5%

vs RHB7.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.0%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.0 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Cole Young (L)6.7%3.0

2. Randy Arozarena (R)7.7%3.0

3. Dominic Canzone (L)13.9%3.0

4. Julio Rodríguez (R)8.5%3.0

5. Josh Naylor (L)6.1%2.6

6. Cal Raleigh (R)9.2%2.0

7. Luke Raley (L)6.8%2.0

8. Weston Wilson (R)8.5%2.0

9. Colt Emerson (L)7.2%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Connor Prielipp's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF

vs LHB8.5%

vs RHB8.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.0 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Nathan Lukes (L)9.2%3.0

2. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)15.2%3.0

3. Kazuma Okamoto (R)8.6%3.0

4. George Springer (R)11.9%3.0

5. Daulton Varsho (L)5.9%3.0

6. Ernie Clement (R)4.5%2.0

7. Jesús Sánchez (L)6.0%2.0

8. Brandon Valenzuela (R)11.3%2.0

9. Andrés Giménez (L)3.6%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Quinn Mathews's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF

vs LHB8.9%

vs RHB8.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.0%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.0 BF

Expected batters faced24.0

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.1 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Trea Turner (R)5.3%3.0

2. Kyle Schwarber (L)15.0%3.0

3. Bryce Harper (L)13.7%3.0

4. Alec Bohm (R)6.0%3.0

5. Brandon Marsh (L)7.7%3.0

6. J.T. Realmuto (R)7.1%3.0

7. Bryson Stott (L)8.0%2.0

8. Gabriel Rincones Jr. (L)8.5%2.0

9. Justin Crawford (L)5.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Shane Baz's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF

vs LHB8.5%

vs RHB8.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.0 BF

Expected batters faced22.0

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.1 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Angel Martínez (R)6.0%3.0

2. José Ramírez (R)9.7%3.0

3. Chase DeLauter (L)7.9%3.0

4. Rhys Hoskins (R)14.0%3.0

5. Brayan Rocchio (R)6.7%2.0

6. David Fry (R)11.0%2.0

7. Travis Bazzana (L)12.3%2.0

8. Austin Hedges (R)9.5%2.0

9. Steven Kwan (L)10.7%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Kohl Drake's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.8% BB / BF

vs LHB7.0%

vs RHB10.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)5.4%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.2 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)9.1%3.0

2. Luis Rengifo (L)7.9%3.0

3. Manny Machado (R)9.0%3.0

4. Ty France (R)4.8%3.0

5. Jackson Merrill (L)7.1%2.4

6. Luis Campusano (R)12.9%2.0

7. Xander Bogaerts (R)9.7%2.0

8. Jake Cronenworth (L)12.8%2.0

9. Jase Bowen (R)8.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Tyler Mahle's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate10.1% BB / BF

vs LHB11.0%

vs RHB9.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.9%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.5 BF

Expected batters faced21.5

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.2 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Luis Arraez (L)6.0%3.0

2. Heliot Ramos (R)6.0%3.0

3. Bryce Eldridge (L)14.7%3.0

4. Rafael Devers (L)14.0%2.5

5. Jung Hoo Lee (L)6.5%2.0

6. Willy Adames (R)9.0%2.0

7. Daniel Susac (R)4.9%2.0

8. Grant McCray (L)6.7%2.0

9. Christian Koss (R)5.9%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Walker Buehler's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.8% BB / BF

vs LHB10.9%

vs RHB6.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.1%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.2 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Carter Jensen (L)10.9%3.0

2. Lane Thomas (R)8.4%3.0

3. Jac Caglianone (L)9.0%3.0

4. Salvador Perez (R)4.7%3.0

5. Michael Massey (L)5.3%2.5

6. Isaac Collins (L)14.1%2.0

7. John Rave (L)10.6%2.0

8. Josh Rojas (L)8.0%2.0

9. Andrew Velazquez (L)5.9%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Ryan Feltner's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate12.7% BB / BF

vs LHB8.8%

vs RHB17.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)2.8%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.8 BF

Expected batters faced20.8

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.3 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jake McCarthy (L)5.4%3.0

2. Mickey Moniak (L)5.3%3.0

3. Hunter Goodman (R)6.2%2.8

4. TJ Rumfield (L)10.3%2.0

5. Kyle Karros (R)12.6%2.0

6. Tyler Freeman (R)6.8%2.0

7. Troy Johnston (L)9.4%2.0

8. Brenton Doyle (R)6.2%2.0

9. Ezequiel Tovar (R)4.4%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Luinder Avila's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate11.1% BB / BF

vs LHB13.6%

vs RHB7.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.6%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.0 BF

Expected batters faced22.0

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Joc Pederson (L)11.0%3.0

2. Wyatt Langford (R)8.7%3.0

3. Corey Seager (L)12.8%3.0

4. Brandon Nimmo (L)8.9%3.0

5. Ezequiel Duran (R)5.7%2.0

6. Evan Carter (L)11.7%2.0

7. Jake Burger (R)5.2%2.0

8. Nicky Lopez (L)8.7%2.0

9. Austin Wynns (R)7.0%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Ronel Blanco's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate10.9% BB / BF

vs LHB11.7%

vs RHB9.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.1%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.0 BF

Expected batters faced22.0

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.0 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness10.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Brice Turang (L)12.0%3.0

2. Jackson Chourio (R)5.8%3.0

3. Jake Bauers (L)13.6%3.0

4. Christian Yelich (L)10.7%3.0

5. Gary Sánchez (R)13.7%2.0

6. Garrett Mitchell (L)11.7%2.0

7. Luis Lara (L)8.5%2.0

8. David Hamilton (L)8.4%2.0

9. Cooper Pratt (R)11.6%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

José Soriano's full player page →

Best MLB Walks Allowed Matchups — Saturday, August 1, 2026

Logan Gilbert (SEA) leads the Saturday, August 1, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 1.2 BB owns today's cleanest command matchup. Cristopher Sánchez (PHI) is next at 99. Walks are the most pitcher-controlled number on the board — and the market where a patient lineup quietly changes everything.

Top spot: Logan Gilbert

Logan Gilbert (SEA) projects for the stingiest free-pass line of the slate — about 1.2 BB against MIN. Command is the skill, but the lineup sets the test: some clubs chase, some make an arm throw strike three.

The rest of the top of the board

Cristopher Sánchez (PHI) (99) — about 1.2 BB vs BAL.
Miles Mikolas (WSH) (97) — about 1.2 BB vs ATL.
Jack Perkins (ATH) (92) — about 1.3 BB vs DET.
Jacob deGrom (TEX) (90) — about 1.4 BB vs HOU.
Drew Rasmussen (TB) (87) — about 1.4 BB vs CWS.

Walks are a two-sided discipline stat

No allowed stat is more in the pitcher's hands than the walk — no defense, no park, no batted-ball luck. But the batter's box matters more than most bettors credit: the spread between the league's most patient lineup and its most chase-happy one is worth a full walk a night to the same arm. The model reads both sides — this pitcher's strike-throwing against this lineup's swing decisions, split by hand. And because walk lines live down at 1.5, a half-walk of projection is an enormous gap: small line, coarse outcomes, price matters more than anywhere else.

How to read the walks allowed board

Every starter is scored 0–100 on tonight's command setup — his walk rate by handedness against how patiently this lineup actually swings. The projection is expected walks for the start; at a 1.5 line a projection near 1.0 or 2.0 is a real lean, and the juice decides whether it's worth anything. Graded against the box score, always.

Keep reading

What the walks allowed board is

The Walks Allowed board projects how many free passes a starter issues. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

His control.
The lineup's patience.
Count leverage.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Walks are near-unpredictable at the margin and the market prices them efficiently. Transparency board.

How to use it

A read on a starter's command for the night; no edge to bet.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays