Not on the current slate
Aaron hasn't been scored in 43 days — his last matchup was against Texas Rangers on Friday, September 25, 2026. A gap that long usually means an injury, a minor-league option, or a roster move rather than a rest day. Everything below is his most recent real production, not a projection.
Small sample, handle with care
Aaron has just 6 at-bats in our graded season log — not enough to say much. He's hitting .000 across them, but a number built on this little data moves wildly with one good week. His confidence rating on any board reflects that: the model will still score his matchup, it's just honest that it's working with thin information. Treat the projection as a starting point, not a read.
He's a right-handed bat
Aaron hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.
No graded record on him yet
We haven't ranked Aaron a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — 1 time so far. He's appeared in 3 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.
Where he lands across our boards
Aaron was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: hits graded 51.2/100 while triples came in at 12.7/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.
How the model reads him
Aaron's score rates the matchup in front of him — his rates against the arm he's facing, expected plate appearances, the park, the weather and recent form — normalized 0–100 against the slate and graded against the box score. The weighting is ours and re-tunes weekly; the record is public. For Aaron specifically, his sample is small (6 at-bats logged), and we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.
The full method, and the season-wide graded record, is on how MatchWiz works.