Best MLB Doubles Matchups — Thursday, October 1, 2026
Top doubles spot: Bryson Stott
Bryson Stott (PHI) tops the board at 100, facing RHP the starter. The lefty is driving the ball at .059 2B/PA against righties this year — and .160 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a double in about 8% of his trips. And the starter has been thin against righties lately. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.3 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against the starter. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Alex Bregman (CHC) (65) vs RHP the starter: a strong bat at .051 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) (62) vs RHP the starter: a strong bat at .049 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Michael Harris II (ATL) (62) vs RHP the starter: an excellent bat at .061 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Ian Happ (CHC) (58) vs RHP the starter: a strong bat at .052 into an arm with little track record against the same side, due to bounce back.
- Mauricio Dubón (ATL) (57) vs RHP the starter: a strong bat at .052 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Drake Baldwin (ATL) (57) vs RHP the starter: a solid bat at .045 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Ty France (SD) (55) vs RHP the starter: a strong bat at .050 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Cold but due to bounce back: Ian Happ (CHC), Ronald Acuña Jr. (ATL), Alec Bohm (PHI), Ozzie Albies (ATL), and Nico Hoerner (CHC).
Lineup watch
36 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these doubles matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's doubles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.